SPY Chop Likely Holds; Minor Dip to 740 Acceptable
Who knows how long this chop will last on $SPY. $744 is the current MVC, and negative exposure is growing at $740. The downside from $743 to $740 doesn't look like a horrible move.
Nasdaq Rallies, Then Stalls Ahead of CPI
$QQQ 5-Minute Chart. Nasdaq pops to Friday mid-afternoon levels before the end of day swoon. Initial test to see if selling into strength before CPI on Wed.. https://t.co/squHQimLCj
SPX Tests 7445 Support After Sharp Drop
$SPX broke 7551 and 7516 and made a low of 7368 - now we’ll measure the bounce to see if it needs more time before adding risk. Watch if sellers reject near 7445, or if it can push back up....
Tech Signals Risk Cut; Watch Bounce at $718–$732
Tech gave many signals last week to reduce risk after 7-8 weeks of upside. Now we see how long things take to re-build and set up. We’ll measure the bounce to see what happens in the weeks ahead. Lots...
AIM Shares Hover Near Resistance, Bullish EMAs Signal Caution
#AIM All Share small Down Candle and Sideways 2 months. Support 786, 763, 726. Resistance 824, 837. RSI 50 Neutral. 13/21 day EMAs Bullish. Down Candle on Weekly. Top Bollinger Band 826. Midpoint Line 811. Bottom Band 796.
Brent Oil Holds Sideways Range Amid Bearish Signals
#BrentOil Comp small Down Candle but still in bigger Sideways Range. Support $86.1, $83.2, $80. Resistance $99, $105.2, $112.7. RSI 43 bit off Neutral. 13/21 day EMAs Bearish. Big Down Candle on Wkly but inside Sideways Range. Top Bollger Band...
MSFT Needs to Stay Above 20‑Week MA to Remain Bullish
$MSFT - The week ended with a big bearish reversal around the yearly pivot at 461. Despite that the weekly trend is still bullish as long as it trades above the 20 week MA(currently at 408). A weekly close below...
Bitcoin Hits Extreme Oversold Levels, Mirrors February Trend
#Bitcoin has reached extreme oversold conditions, very similar to those seen in February. Price action relative to the Bollinger Bands and RSI mirrors those conditions closely. #BTC #Crypto Key levels to recover posted in the Weekly Compass. Link in bio.
VIX/VXV Spike Signals Potential SPX Bottom
One factor that is supportive of $SPX bottoming on Friday is the $VIX: $VXV ratio which had a quick spike from 0.80 to 0.99. That spike is similar to the spike from 0.81 to 0.96 on August 1, 2025. SPX...
Options Call Overload Triggered Friday’s Market Selloff
When someone answers "What do you think triggered the big stock market selloff Friday?" They will come up with a large list of narratives, none of which mention positioning: People were choking on calls on Thursday, and purging all those...
Silver Holds Above 200‑Day MA, Gold Slides Below
$Silver - Hit its 200 day MA on Friday but closed above it. A close below the 200 DMA will lead to a retest of the March low at 61. Unlike silver gold closed below its 200 DMA so we'll...
Nasdaq 100 Breaks Technical Pattern After 33% Surge
The Nasdaq 100 paints the picture well. Clean technical break on the backdrop of an extreme move - 33% over 45 days and peak of spot running 13% over its 50-day SMA (biggest disparity since May 2009). Has this unseated...
Wide‑Range Reversal Sell Signals Extended Downtrend
GS: Wide Range Reversal Sell - climax bar with range exapnsion up, then takek out the low of that bar within the next bar. Trend down can carry for awhile. https://t.co/rnyOGlyRQb
Buy June 60 Call Calendar, Sell 47 Put
$DOCU "Trade Idea 3: Buy the June 5 Expiry/June 60 Call Calendar (65 cents) and sell the June 5 Expiry 47 Put for 10 cents." June 5 Expiry pieces look to expire leaving a June 60 call to sell or...
Tesla Recast as AI Powerhouse, Price Target Soars
🚀 $TSLA Paradigm Shift: The Rise of "Physical AI" Wall Street is fundamentally rewriting the valuation framework for Tesla. JPMorgan's massive upgrade to Neutral—skyrocketing their price target from $145 to $475—is proof that institutional money is no longer looking at this...