US Military 'Trapped' In Iran - 'We're in Uncharted Territory': Col. Douglas Macgregor

Commodity Culture
Commodity CultureMay 22, 2026

Why It Matters

Escalation with Iran risks major disruption to global energy and supply chains, fueling inflation and financial strain that would amplify already-high U.S. debt and borrowing costs — turning a regional military crisis into a worldwide economic and strategic problem.

Summary

Retired Col. Douglas Macgregor warns the US is trapped in a self-created quagmire with Iran — a “Hotel California” in the Persian Gulf where Washington can enter but cannot exit without damage to credibility. He argues President Trump lacks the means to decisively control the situation, and that renewed strikes would inflict far more pain on global trade and energy supplies than on Iran, which retains most of its missile and ISR capabilities and has received Russian and Chinese assistance. Macgregor predicts severe, long-lasting regional disruption — including potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz and a shock to oil markets that could push prices dramatically higher — and says the conflict will redraw geopolitical alignments even as he sees the Russia-Ukraine war possibly winding down.

Original Description

Col. Douglas Macgregor believes that Trump is trapped in Hotel California in Iran, he can check in but he can never leave, and as the Strait of Hormuz closure continues to squeeze global supply chains, the Colonel sees oil at $200 a barrel before the end of the year.
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Macgregor Warrior Substack: https://macgregorwarrior.substack.com
The National Conversation: https://thenationalconversation.org
Col. Macgregor's Website: https://www.douglasmacgregor.com
Follow Col. Macgregor on X: https://x.com/DougAMacgregor
00:00 Introduction
00:48 Trump Can't Pull Out of Iran
06:49 Iranian Response to Potential Attack
12:49 China Summit Made One Thing Clear
21:12 Oil to $200 This Year
23:03 Why Can't Russia Finish Ukraine War?
31:27 The New Geopolitical Order Ahead

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