Venezuela, Iran and the US-China Resource War

MoneyWeek
MoneyWeekMay 20, 2026

Why It Matters

Control of oil and rare‑earths will dictate the balance of power, forcing the U.S. to rethink its supply‑chain strategy to stay competitive with China.

Key Takeaways

  • US controls 60% of oil flows, 70% of reserves.
  • Venezuela and Iran drift from China, boosting US strategic leverage.
  • China’s rare‑earth dominance became its unexpected geopolitical card.
  • US lacked a counter‑strategy to China’s rare‑earth advantage.
  • Future conflicts will hinge on resource control, not just military might.

Summary

The video examines the emerging resource war between the United States and China, using Venezuela’s oil crisis and Iran’s isolation as case studies to illustrate how control of energy and mineral supplies is reshaping geopolitical calculations.

It notes that the U.S. currently dominates roughly 60 % of global oil flows and 70 % of proven reserves, giving Washington a powerful bargaining chip. By contrast, Beijing has leveraged its near‑monopoly on rare‑earth elements as a strategic counter, a move that caught U.S. policymakers off‑guard.

The speaker cites the “rare‑earth card” as an example of China’s unexpected leverage, recalling how Trump’s tariff campaign forced a tactical retreat when the U.S. realized it lacked an equivalent asset. The alignment of Venezuela and Iran away from China further amplifies Washington’s oil advantage but also raises the stakes of a broader resource contest.

The analysis warns that future great‑power confrontations will be decided less by military deployments and more by who controls critical commodities, urging the United States to develop its own rare‑earth supply chain and diversify energy sources to blunt China’s growing influence.

Original Description

Can Washington afford to lose the resource war against China?
Diana Choyleva, founder and chief economist at Enodo Economics, breaks down why the extraction of Maduro and the war in Iran are strategic manoeuvres to counter China's rare earths dominance.
#china #usa #economy #iranwar #venezuela #maduro #trump #xijinping

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