Blog•Feb 20, 2026
Inflation’s Back In America. Not That It Ever Left
The Federal Reserve’s January FOMC minutes confirm that inflation remains entrenched in the United States, contrary to earlier optimism. Core consumer‑price index rose 0.3% month‑over‑month, keeping annual inflation above the Fed’s 2% target. The minutes show policymakers acknowledging persistent price pressures and limited room for further easing. As a result, the central bank is expected to maintain a restrictive stance for the foreseeable future.
By Heisenberg Report
Blog•Feb 20, 2026
Government Dysfunction Torpedoes US Economic Growth
The U.S. economy grew at a 1.4% annualized rate in the fourth quarter of 2025, roughly half of analysts' expectations. This marks a sharp deceleration from the 4.4% surge recorded in the preceding quarter and is the slowest expansion since...
By Heisenberg Report
Blog•Feb 20, 2026
M'tourist Private Feed Recap
In this private feed episode, Kevin Muir reviews the latest macroeconomic data and market trends, focusing on recent inflation reports, central bank policy shifts, and emerging market dynamics. He highlights how unexpected CPI readings are reshaping bond yields and discusses...
By The MacroTourist
Blog•Feb 18, 2026
Dispersion Trade ‘Cash-In’ Risks Index Vol Spike
A historic surge in dispersion across large‑cap U.S. equities has pushed the one‑month change in average S&P 500 constituent values to unprecedented levels. The spike stems from a confluence of early‑year sector rotation, the AI disruption theme, and divergent earnings outcomes....
By Heisenberg Report
Blog•Feb 16, 2026
☕ Did We Just Miss the Turn in Dutch Bros?
In this episode, Edward Corona examines Dutch Bros (BROS), a drive‑thru coffee chain that just reported one of its strongest quarters, asking whether the stock is showing an early momentum shift that could signal a broader market turn. He breaks...
By The Options Oracle (Closing Bell Recap & Premarket)
Blog•Feb 11, 2026
AI Disrupts Financials. Bad Data Misleads On Economy.
Altruist, a wealth‑management startup, rolled out AI‑driven tax‑planning tools, prompting a sharp sell‑off in legacy financial firms such as Charles Schwab, LPL Financial and Morgan Stanley. The reaction reflects investor anxiety that AI could erode traditional advisory revenue streams. Despite...
By Yardeni QuickTakes
Blog•Feb 10, 2026
Americans’ Credit Card Balance Hits $1.3 Trillion
The New York Federal Reserve’s latest household‑debt report shows U.S. credit‑card balances climbing to a record $1.3 trillion in the fourth quarter, while the number of open accounts also hit an all‑time high. The surge reflects persistent consumer spending despite elevated...
By Heisenberg Report
Blog•Feb 10, 2026
US Employment Costs Are Still Falling
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Employment Cost Index (ECI) fell for the second straight quarter, marking the slowest annual wage growth in more than four years. In Q4, total compensation rose just 2.8% year‑over‑year, down from...
By Heisenberg Report
Blog•Feb 10, 2026
American Consumers Slam On The Brakes
The U.S. Commerce Department reported that January 2026 consumer spending stalled, with retail sales slipping amid unusually cold weather. Month‑over‑month retail sales fell 1.2%, while personal consumption expenditures dropped 0.8% year‑over‑year. Analysts say the weather‑induced headwind temporarily depressed demand, but...
By Heisenberg Report
Blog•Feb 10, 2026
Emerging Markets Continuing To Emerge
The US MSCI index has underperformed global peers in 2025, ending a year of relative strength. Investors are shifting toward high‑growth emerging‑market stocks such as South Korea, Brazil, Mexico, and Taiwan, while Japan rallied 5.7% after a decisive election. The...
By Yardeni QuickTakes
Blog•Feb 10, 2026
Despite 4 Years of Mass-Layoffs at Alphabet & Amazon, Headcount Rose in 2025, Nearly Flat with Peak, as Hiring Continued
Alphabet’s 2025 year‑end headcount rose by 7,497 employees, barely below its 2023 peak, while Amazon added roughly 20,000 workers to reach 1.576 million, just 2% shy of its 2021 high. Both companies experienced massive hiring surges in 2020‑21—Alphabet grew 60% and...
By Wolf Street
Blog•Feb 9, 2026
Will Job Losses Spoil America’s ‘Goldilocks Plus’ Economy?
The United States continues to be described as a ‘Goldilocks Plus’ economy, balancing low inflation with solid growth. Recent data show the labor market still tight, but a wave of layoffs in technology and manufacturing raises concerns. Analysts warn that...
By Heisenberg Report
Blog•Feb 9, 2026
The Biggest Buyer Of US Stocks Isn’t Going Away
Investors are confronting a new capital‑allocation landscape as hyper‑scale cloud firms pour record capex into AI infrastructure, squeezing the cash traditionally earmarked for share buybacks. The article argues that despite this shift, the market’s largest shareholder – passive index funds...
By Heisenberg Report
Blog•Feb 9, 2026
Software Company monday.com Plunges 22% Today, -82% From High, -50% From IPO Price, Into Our Imploded Stocks
Monday.com’s shares tumbled 22% to about $76.70 after its earnings release, marking a record‑low close. The stock is now 82% below its November 2021 peak and 51% beneath the $155 IPO price. While Q4 revenue rose 25% to $334 million and beat...
By Wolf Street
Blog•Feb 9, 2026
A New Oil Era—Or Just Noise? The Venezuela Factor Lifts Big Oil
Big Oil’s XLE ETF has surged 19.1% year‑to‑date, outpacing the clean‑energy ICLN’s 13.2% gain. The rally follows the Trump administration’s move to ease sanctions on Venezuela, a country with the world’s largest proven oil reserves. While the prospect of tapping...
By The Capital Spectator