Adam Tooze

Adam Tooze

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Economic historian; author of Chartbook; analyzes global macro, policy, and geopolitics

China May Begin Food Decoupling, FT Data Shows
SocialMay 3, 2026

China May Begin Food Decoupling, FT Data Shows

Is China about to decouple on food? Riffing on a piece in the FT in the latest chartbook this morning. https://t.co/a0lMMdOOgC https://t.co/fqNWpHCXJi

By Adam Tooze
US Leads High‑tech Weapons Thanks to Massive R&D
SocialMay 2, 2026

US Leads High‑tech Weapons Thanks to Massive R&D

If you ask why the US dominates so many areas of high-tech weaponry in the West, the scale of defense R&D gives you an answer. More featured on today's Chartbook Top Links in the comment below. https://t.co/svG6LEtgbH

By Adam Tooze
U.S. Retail Electricity Prices Surge Ahead of CPI
SocialMay 2, 2026

U.S. Retail Electricity Prices Surge Ahead of CPI

American retail electricity prices are running very far ahead of CPI - striking report by Grace Fan featured on today's Chartbook Top Links in the comment below. https://t.co/JRfEtYTzPA

By Adam Tooze
Short‑term Oil Loss From Hormuz Can Be Offset
SocialMay 1, 2026

Short‑term Oil Loss From Hormuz Can Be Offset

In the short-term and for a limited time, the losses of oil from the Straits of Hormuz can be made up. More at today's Chartbook Top Links: https://t.co/xfKk6k7sQC

By Adam Tooze
Post‑COVID US Consumer Spending Surge: Will It Last?
SocialMay 1, 2026

Post‑COVID US Consumer Spending Surge: Will It Last?

Since COVID, the US has been riding a sustained surge in consumer spending. Will it continue? Today's Chartbook Top Links just dropped, check it out: https://t.co/6zzy84M54y

By Adam Tooze
Iran's 2024 Defense Spending Drops to Just 2% GDP
SocialApr 28, 2026

Iran's 2024 Defense Spending Drops to Just 2% GDP

In 2024 Iran, according to official figures, spent only 2 percent of GDP on defense. Chartbook Top Links of the day just dropped, check it out: https://t.co/nz8DKMgcO9

By Adam Tooze
US Oil and Gas Exports Surge, Europe Leads Demand
SocialApr 27, 2026

US Oil and Gas Exports Surge, Europe Leads Demand

US oil and gas exports are booming, especially in Europe. More on this in the Chartbook Top Links today. https://t.co/W3YGHCpF3J

By Adam Tooze
Bipartisan Shift: US Turns Against Data Center Construction
SocialApr 27, 2026

Bipartisan Shift: US Turns Against Data Center Construction

Across both parties the mood in the US is turning against data center construction. This and more featured in the Chartbook Top Link today. https://t.co/nCW92Pf3bF

By Adam Tooze
US Inflation's New Normal Exceeds 2% Threshold
SocialApr 26, 2026

US Inflation's New Normal Exceeds 2% Threshold

The “new normal” for US inflation is no longer below 2 percent - EXCELLENT series of graphs from Mike Nolan at Reuters. More featured on today's Chartbook Top Links in the comment below. https://t.co/awyDZqNpdy

By Adam Tooze
America Isn't the New Edwardian Britain, Reject 1914 Analogies
SocialApr 26, 2026

America Isn't the New Edwardian Britain, Reject 1914 Analogies

Hard-working hegemon? Why 21st-century America is not like Edwardian Britain. Thanks to the Hobsonian vision of @michaelxpettis and @M_C_Klein and the pervasiveness of the Thucydides trap argument we are haunted right now by analogies to the per 1914 moment. https://t.co/1lYqmbDzDY

By Adam Tooze
Bessent's Treasury Launches Politically Driven Financial Packages
SocialApr 24, 2026

Bessent's Treasury Launches Politically Driven Financial Packages

Bessent's Treasury is pioneering a new kind of highly political financial agency. First there was the financial package for Millei in September 2025, now for UAE and other allies. https://t.co/DWcVQjLMhx

By Adam Tooze
Chinese Competition Doesn't Stifle EV Innovation for VW
SocialApr 23, 2026

Chinese Competition Doesn't Stifle EV Innovation for VW

Interesting indeed. But we dont disagree in any way, other, perhaps, than your assertion that Chinese competition is discouraging EV innovation elsewhere. Surely not true for players like VW. @LucaFornaro3

By Adam Tooze
Explore Far-Right France: Le Pen, Bardella, Europe's Future
SocialApr 23, 2026

Explore Far-Right France: Le Pen, Bardella, Europe's Future

André Rougé in 2022, considered to be the leader of Les Horaces. In today's Chartbook Top Links, I recommend reading Far-Right France: Le Pen, Bardella and the Future of Europe, by Victor Mallet. More charts and links featured on today's...

By Adam Tooze
Sanctions Spur Dramatic Diversification of Iran’s Trade
SocialApr 23, 2026

Sanctions Spur Dramatic Diversification of Iran’s Trade

Under the sanctions regime, Iran’s trade has diversified dramatically. More featured on today's Chartbook Top Links in the comment below https://t.co/YVEjDdiUTn

By Adam Tooze
New Mix of Old Global Imbalance Trends
SocialApr 22, 2026

New Mix of Old Global Imbalance Trends

Global imbalances - April 2026. A new cocktail in old bottles. The latest Chartbook newsletter just dropped. Check it out here: https://t.co/mMfEDcYvoJ https://t.co/4w6QpQDXwo

By Adam Tooze
Brad Setser Weighs in on Chinese Current Account Puzzles
SocialApr 21, 2026

Brad Setser Weighs in on Chinese Current Account Puzzles

Curious what @Brad_Setser makes of the arguments made in "The Chinese current account imbalances: Puzzles, patterns, and possible causes" by Chang Ma and Shang-Jin Wei of Fudan. https://t.co/Ysceo5gx1a https://t.co/ZvoJfqSbzn

By Adam Tooze
Libya's Central Bank Funded Tripoli Assault Through Abu Dhabi
SocialApr 21, 2026

Libya's Central Bank Funded Tripoli Assault Through Abu Dhabi

Eastern Libya’s Top Money Man - or how Libya’s central bank financed the assault on Tripoli by way of Abu Dhabi. The Sentry article featured in the Chartbook Top Links today. https://t.co/zY0VaxASFE https://t.co/unp3sIz4If

By Adam Tooze
Asian Empty Tankers Queue up From Cape to Gulf
SocialApr 21, 2026

Asian Empty Tankers Queue up From Cape to Gulf

Empty tankers mainly from Asia form long lines from Cape of Good Hope to US Gulf Coast. Find out more in the Chartbook Top Links today. https://t.co/otCxFTFsEp

By Adam Tooze
U.S. Experiencing Hidden Surge in Manufacturing Output
SocialApr 20, 2026

U.S. Experiencing Hidden Surge in Manufacturing Output

America Is in the Middle of a Stealth Manufacturing Boom, as shown in this visual from the WSJ. More featured on today's Chartbook Top Links in the comment below. https://t.co/RLtkQKVSdm

By Adam Tooze
Gum Arabic Powers Sudan Conflict Amid Global Demand
SocialApr 19, 2026

Gum Arabic Powers Sudan Conflict Amid Global Demand

How gum arabic – the ingredient that puts the gloss in Coke, Pepsi and M&Ms – is fuelling the conflict in Sudan (from Jeune Afrique). Find out more in the Chartbook Top Link of today. https://t.co/qwSPakGyT4

By Adam Tooze
US Equity Market Stays Upward, Not Looking Down
SocialApr 18, 2026

US Equity Market Stays Upward, Not Looking Down

“Looking through”, “looking beyond”, one way or another the US equity market is not looking down. More on this in the Chartbook Top Links today. https://t.co/0qop5Uo3Zt

By Adam Tooze
IMF Forecasts Resilient Global Growth Through 2025
SocialApr 18, 2026

IMF Forecasts Resilient Global Growth Through 2025

Explaining the Resilience of Global Growth in 2025 from the IMF. Lower tariffs or other variables? More featured on today's Chartbook Top Links in the comment below. https://t.co/54emD8YVH4

By Adam Tooze
European Actors, Even French Socialists, Drove Market Liberalization
SocialApr 17, 2026

European Actors, Even French Socialists, Drove Market Liberalization

Abdelal shows how capital market liberalization was pushed by groups of European actors including leading French socialists. Today's Chrtbook Top Links in the comment below https://t.co/BHXhe2jvTI

By Adam Tooze
War Slashes Growth in Middle East, Low‑Income Nations
SocialApr 17, 2026

War Slashes Growth in Middle East, Low‑Income Nations

The impact of the war on the global economy as measured by revisions to the IMF’s World Economic Outlook: a very significant hit to the Middle East itself and Low-income Developing Economics. More featured on today's Chartbook Top Links in...

By Adam Tooze
Hungary's Real Wages Fell to Eastern Europe's Bottom
SocialApr 15, 2026

Hungary's Real Wages Fell to Eastern Europe's Bottom

Hungary’s real wages have been picking up, but btw 2004 and the early 2010s they went from middle of the East European pack to the bottom of the league. More on this in the Chartbook Top Links of today. https://t.co/JcNYWpZzuJ

By Adam Tooze
One Belt One Road Lending Surges in 2025
SocialApr 15, 2026

One Belt One Road Lending Surges in 2025

Reports of the end of China’s One Belt One Road lending were very premature - 2025 was a record year for new commitments. More on this in the Chartbook Top Links today. https://t.co/KIBnk4491s

By Adam Tooze
Tech Trends Meet Macro Data in Essential Graph
SocialApr 15, 2026

Tech Trends Meet Macro Data in Essential Graph

Because it combines technological waves with macroeconomic quantities, this is such an important graph (quibbles about quantification aside). More on this in the Chartbook Top Links. https://t.co/mIjJngmXKU

By Adam Tooze
Gulf Medium‑Sour Crude Fuels West Coast Pipeline Gap
SocialApr 14, 2026

Gulf Medium‑Sour Crude Fuels West Coast Pipeline Gap

The oil that the USA imports from the Gulf is overwhelmingly medium sour, much of which ships to the West Coast which lacks pipeline access to domestic or Canadian oil. More featured on today's Chartbook Top Links in the comment...

By Adam Tooze
Australia Faces Diesel Shortage After Hormuz Crisis
SocialApr 13, 2026

Australia Faces Diesel Shortage After Hormuz Crisis

Australia is uniquely vulnerable to disruptions in diesel supply,leading to a real diesel Armada heading there in the wake of the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz. Chartbook Top Links of the day just dropped: https://t.co/phVWZTM4Em

By Adam Tooze
Middle East Energy Infrastructure Damage Survey Revealed
SocialApr 12, 2026

Middle East Energy Infrastructure Damage Survey Revealed

Surveying the Middle East’s energy infrastructure damage (from FT Alphaville Robin Wigglesworth). More on this in the Chartbook Top Links today. https://t.co/IH3jh7JsL4

By Adam Tooze
Turkey's Economy Fueled by Dwindling Gold Reserves
SocialApr 12, 2026

Turkey's Economy Fueled by Dwindling Gold Reserves

Turkey appears to be living off its gold reserves. Find out more in the Chartbook Top Link of today. https://t.co/E1jmvOnLzt

By Adam Tooze
IMF Graph Misstates 1960s Defense Spending Share
SocialApr 11, 2026

IMF Graph Misstates 1960s Defense Spending Share

Unless I am seeing things, there is something wrong with this graph in @IMFNews WEO Chp2 2026. World defense spending did no halve as a share of global gdp in the mid 1960s! Can anyone explain. Ive checked...

By Adam Tooze
Germany’s Navy Fails to Build or Acquire Ships
SocialApr 10, 2026

Germany’s Navy Fails to Build or Acquire Ships

Not only can the German defense establishment not build its own ships. It can’t even commission them competently from other people. Excellent reporting from Laura Pitel in the FT, featured on today's Chartbook Top Links: https://t.co/mD8bhmagvO

By Adam Tooze
Weak‑balance‑of‑payments Oil
SocialApr 9, 2026

Weak‑balance‑of‑payments Oil

Oil or petroleum importer with low income and shaky balance of payments? Your bond yields just shot up. This and more in the Chartbook Top Links today. https://t.co/0ZEdcZZMFR

By Adam Tooze
Methanol Prices Surge, Highlighted in Chartbook
SocialApr 9, 2026

Methanol Prices Surge, Highlighted in Chartbook

Methanol - another basic material the price of which has surged. More on this in the Chartbook Top links today. https://t.co/zsabi9bx96

By Adam Tooze
Yale's Investment Model Stumbles Amid College Financial Crisis
SocialApr 7, 2026

Yale's Investment Model Stumbles Amid College Financial Crisis

Yale’s Famed Investing Model Falters at a Fraught Time for Colleges. More at today's Chartbook Top Links: https://t.co/0UdW6XeX1G

By Adam Tooze
U.S. Housing Stock Ages, Maintenance Needs Surge
SocialApr 7, 2026

U.S. Housing Stock Ages, Maintenance Needs Surge

America’s homes are increasingly old and in need of maintenance. Chartbook Top Links of the day just dropped: https://t.co/MDu3qSirg2

By Adam Tooze
US Labor Data Shows Economy Still Robust
SocialApr 6, 2026

US Labor Data Shows Economy Still Robust

Labour market indicators suggest the US economy is still going strong. This and more in the today's Chartbook Top Links. https://t.co/DZsTza1fHV

By Adam Tooze
French vs South African Chains Battle African Retail
SocialApr 6, 2026

French vs South African Chains Battle African Retail

Many African retail markets are contested by dueling French and South African chains. This and more featured in the Chartbook Top Links. https://t.co/zZCQM6c25l

By Adam Tooze
China Shifts Upstream in Global Production Networks
SocialApr 6, 2026

China Shifts Upstream in Global Production Networks

China moves upstream in production networks. More on this in the Chartbook Top Links today. https://t.co/z8YSI2hXDR

By Adam Tooze
Solar Becomes Cheapest Capital-Intensive Energy Option
SocialApr 6, 2026

Solar Becomes Cheapest Capital-Intensive Energy Option

Solar is now the less capital-intensive option. More charts and graphs featured on today's Chartbook Top Links in the comment below https://t.co/Duvpz2wy16

By Adam Tooze
Nelson's Flagship Packed More Firepower than Corps
SocialApr 5, 2026

Nelson's Flagship Packed More Firepower than Corps

Added to which, a single first-rate warship in Nelson's fleet had more heavy artillery firepower than several Napoleonic corps.

By Adam Tooze
US Crude Production Hits Record, Global Impacts Loom
SocialApr 5, 2026

US Crude Production Hits Record, Global Impacts Loom

US crude oil production breaks new records. What does this mean for other countries? For the American public? More charts and graphs featured on today's Chartbook Top Links in the comment below. https://t.co/WAXH5XLi1r

By Adam Tooze
Chinese Government Bonds Stand Out as War Safe Haven
SocialApr 3, 2026

Chinese Government Bonds Stand Out as War Safe Haven

Chinese government bonds emerge as lone war haven. More on this in today's version of the Chartbook Top Links. https://t.co/jQYKfLr6kx

By Adam Tooze
US Industries Struggle over the Past 18 Months
SocialApr 3, 2026

US Industries Struggle over the Past 18 Months

Last 18 months have not been good for US industries. This and more in the Chartbook Top Links today. https://t.co/xPfF8XxwJO

By Adam Tooze
AI-Enabled Goods Lead US Imports in 2025
SocialApr 2, 2026

AI-Enabled Goods Lead US Imports in 2025

AI-enabling goods were big drivers of US imports in 2025. More charts and graphs featured on today's Chartbook Top Links in the comment below. https://t.co/hsx98RbAJP

By Adam Tooze
Fertilizer Costs Surge, Food Prices Remain Stable
SocialApr 1, 2026

Fertilizer Costs Surge, Food Prices Remain Stable

Though fertilizer prices are soaring, so far food prices are not. Good news from Alan Beattie in the Financial Times. Featured on today's Chartbook Top Links: https://t.co/4bpBb11NI9

By Adam Tooze
Chinese Imports Are Large, Stable, and Thus Stabilizing
SocialMar 31, 2026

Chinese Imports Are Large, Stable, and Thus Stabilizing

Hi @Brad_Setser I'd be a fool to argue with you about bofp issues. But what did I say? Are Chinese imports large? Yup. (Could they be larger? Sure but that is a different point). Are Chinese imports stable? Yup. (Might...

By Adam Tooze
Mexico's Labour Market Skewed Toward Informal Employment
SocialMar 31, 2026

Mexico's Labour Market Skewed Toward Informal Employment

Mexico’s dualistic labour market is weighted towards informality. More on this in the Chartbook Top Links today. https://t.co/ZRjXpKyZBq

By Adam Tooze