Alfonso Straffon

Alfonso Straffon

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Sell‑side equity analyst; gaming/sports betting and sports business coverage.

Washington Moves to Regulate Deep‑Pocket Prediction Markets
SocialApr 25, 2026

Washington Moves to Regulate Deep‑Pocket Prediction Markets

"...could prove to be a tipping point for Congress, regulators and President Donald Trump’s administration to impose new guardrails on a deep-pocketed industry..." ‘Shot across the bow’: How Washington plans to take on prediction markets https://t.co/L2Df0vi88s

By Alfonso Straffon
Nevada AG Leads 38-State Coalition Defending Betting Regulation
SocialApr 25, 2026

Nevada AG Leads 38-State Coalition Defending Betting Regulation

Nevada "co-leading a coalition of 38 attorneys general in filing an amicus curiae brief defending states’ longstanding authority to regulate sports betting.." Attorney General Aaron Ford files brief defending states’ authority to regulate sports betting https://t.co/eEHGbHzzL8

By Alfonso Straffon
DraftKings and FanDuel Surge, Saracen Loses Arkansas Lead
SocialApr 24, 2026

DraftKings and FanDuel Surge, Saracen Loses Arkansas Lead

And just like that 🫰... Saracen Casino has given up its market leadership in Arkansas. Both FanDuel and Draftkings launched on March 20th... the y/y change in handle reflects that... promos will do that... ☕️ Southland (DKNG) +138% y/y Saracen -5% y/y Oaklawn...

By Alfonso Straffon
Billionaire Funds Study on Online Betting's Male Harm
SocialApr 17, 2026

Billionaire Funds Study on Online Betting's Male Harm

"John Arnold, a former energy trader, is pouring millions of dollars into research on the ills of online betting" Billionaire Investor Warns Sports Prediction Markets Harm Men https://t.co/6zixGBWDY5

By Alfonso Straffon
BetMGM’s Heavy Spend Inflates Sports Betting Acquisition Costs
SocialApr 17, 2026

BetMGM’s Heavy Spend Inflates Sports Betting Acquisition Costs

"...driving up customer acquisition costs by “buying sports betting keywords as well as throwing money at any sports media property that will take it.”" BetMGM’s Adam Greenblatt: Prediction markets ‘throwing money at’ sports media properties https://t.co/vjfmR3CoKa

By Alfonso Straffon
Traders Wager $760M on Oil Dip Before Hormuz Reopening
SocialApr 17, 2026

Traders Wager $760M on Oil Dip Before Hormuz Reopening

"...around 20 minutes before Iran's foreign minister announced on Friday that the Strait of Hormuz was open" Traders place $760 million bet on falling oil ahead of Hormuz announcement https://t.co/CGzgaSsWa9

By Alfonso Straffon
CFTC Chair Faces Bipartisan Pushback Over Crypto Prediction Markets
SocialApr 16, 2026

CFTC Chair Faces Bipartisan Pushback Over Crypto Prediction Markets

"Sports and war prediction markets and crypto-backed perpetual futures came under fire during a House committee hearing Thursday." CFTC Chair Mike Selig Faces Bipartisan Pushback on Prediction Markets, Hyperliquid Perps https://t.co/eRt5FRHcd1

By Alfonso Straffon
Ohio Sues Kalshi for Evading Sports Betting Rules
SocialApr 16, 2026

Ohio Sues Kalshi for Evading Sports Betting Rules

“How Is that not gambling?” Ohio Takes on Kalshi for dodging sports betting regulations https://t.co/3RWYMlEg4q

By Alfonso Straffon
Citadel Sees Prediction Markets, Not Sports Betting, as Geopolitical Hedge
SocialApr 16, 2026

Citadel Sees Prediction Markets, Not Sports Betting, as Geopolitical Hedge

"Esposito said Citadel Securities isn’t interested in sports betting, which makes up a large chunk of the activity on online prediction sites." Citadel Securities says prediction markets are a good hedge for geopolitical risks https://t.co/IChz3UtFCE

By Alfonso Straffon
Citadel Watches Prediction Markets, Not Trading Yet
SocialApr 16, 2026

Citadel Watches Prediction Markets, Not Trading Yet

"Citadel Securities isn’t involved in trading event contracts currently, but the firm is “absolutely, keeping an eye on developments in the market”" Citadel Securities Looks at Prediction Markets as Trading Scales https://t.co/3priEzHR9U

By Alfonso Straffon
Ninth Circuit Judges Question Sports Betting vs Casino Rules
SocialApr 16, 2026

Ninth Circuit Judges Question Sports Betting vs Casino Rules

"A three-judge panel pressed the exchanges on how sports betting differs from casino gambling." Online sports betting exchanges seek win before Ninth Circuit https://t.co/HmiCfIl3qq

By Alfonso Straffon
FanDuel Pursues Prediction Market Contracts Independently of CME
SocialApr 15, 2026

FanDuel Pursues Prediction Market Contracts Independently of CME

"new FCM would be wholly owned by FanDuel with no CME involvement [...] The new registration, if and when approved, may simply give FanDuel some optionality..." FanDuel Registers New Interest In Prediction Market Contracts, Without CME Involved This Time https://t.co/EGMyrzBKpX

By Alfonso Straffon
Jury Backs Polymarket Rescue, Traders Remain Outraged
SocialApr 11, 2026

Jury Backs Polymarket Rescue, Traders Remain Outraged

"... jury that handles Polymarket disputes ruled that the quick, in-and-out rescue mission satisfied the terms of the contract. Traders on the losing side of the wager were outraged." Polymarket’s $269 Million Question: Did U.S. Forces ‘Enter’ Iran? https://t.co/ETehpX08Zh

By Alfonso Straffon
White House Bans Staff Betting on Iran War Predictions
SocialApr 10, 2026

White House Bans Staff Betting on Iran War Predictions

"Well-timed bets about the war in Iran have raised eyebrows and calls from Democrats for more regulation" White House Warns Staff Not to Place Bets on Prediction Markets Amid Iran War https://t.co/4EjydM6lal

By Alfonso Straffon
Prediction Markets Prioritize Fees Over Trading Efficiency
SocialApr 9, 2026

Prediction Markets Prioritize Fees Over Trading Efficiency

"But the biggest prediction markets today are not primarily built around trading efficiency. Kalshi, for example, operates more like a square sportsbook than a sharp sportsbook. Its model is built around bringing in price-insensitive takers and letting market makers trade...

By Alfonso Straffon
Event‑betting Could Earn $10 B Annually From $1.1 T Market
SocialApr 9, 2026

Event‑betting Could Earn $10 B Annually From $1.1 T Market

"The bank's analysts say that would translate into around $10 billion in annualized revenue for event-betting companies, assuming an average fee of about 1%." Bank of America Sees a $1.1 Trillion Market for Sports Event Betting in US https://t.co/F68zNFeBVY

By Alfonso Straffon
Iran Ceasefire Sends Prediction Markets Into Turmoil
SocialApr 9, 2026

Iran Ceasefire Sends Prediction Markets Into Turmoil

"contract resolved to "yes" following Tuesday evening's announcements, but its outcome has since been changed to "disputed" given continued disruptions to Hormuz Strait shipments and enduring hostilities" Iran Ceasefire Wreaks Havoc on Prediction Markets https://t.co/uv56XlWTW9

By Alfonso Straffon
Prediction Market ETFs Could Become Viable Investment Tools
SocialApr 9, 2026

Prediction Market ETFs Could Become Viable Investment Tools

"On this episode of Trillions, Eric Balchunas and Joel Weber interview Matt Hougan, chief investment officer of Bitwise and one of those filers, about why prediction market ETFs might make sense" Prediction Markets May Be Coming for ETFs https://t.co/hRoSJZ6Jb2

By Alfonso Straffon
Bipartisan Bills Target Prediction Markets for Ban
SocialApr 9, 2026

Bipartisan Bills Target Prediction Markets for Ban

"On Thursday, both the House and Senate will look at companion bills in committee that would make prediction markets like Polymarket illegal. Both bills have bipartisan support." Minnesota Legislature to consider bills banning prediction markets https://t.co/EopmPCqi76

By Alfonso Straffon
Nevada Regulator Urges Tribal-State Unity Against Betting Prediction Threat
SocialApr 8, 2026

Nevada Regulator Urges Tribal-State Unity Against Betting Prediction Threat

"The chair of the Nevada Gaming Control Board said tribes and states must stick together to fight an “existential threat” posed by sports betting prediction platforms." IGA: Nevada regulator addresses prediction markets in deep detail https://t.co/Q2sswHYMcz

By Alfonso Straffon
DraftKings, FanDuel Seek Federal Venue for Baltimore Betting Lawsuit
SocialApr 8, 2026

DraftKings, FanDuel Seek Federal Venue for Baltimore Betting Lawsuit

"DraftKings and FanDuel are trying to convince a federal appeals court to move a sports betting lawsuit by the City of Baltimore to federal jurisdiction..." DraftKings, FanDuel Claim Sports Betting Apps Not Affected by State Policy https://t.co/UuZ3aKu8e9

By Alfonso Straffon
Low Tax, Promo Deductions Drive NC Betting Surge
SocialApr 8, 2026

Low Tax, Promo Deductions Drive NC Betting Surge

North Carolina... can still remember the first bill that came across with a single digit tax rate + promo deductibility... and look at us now. Sports wagering pace of $146M would exceed forecast https://t.co/qP0fOgCLQk

By Alfonso Straffon
Lula Calls for Ban on Online Betting Platforms
SocialApr 8, 2026

Lula Calls for Ban on Online Betting Platforms

"I am deeply worried about the indebtedness of the Brazilian people. If these platforms cause harm, why don’t we end them? We are discussing this very seriously." Brazil’s Lula argues for ban on online betting platforms https://t.co/K8LyuPjO8X

By Alfonso Straffon