Andrew Thrasher, CMT

Andrew Thrasher, CMT

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Senior PM; founder, Thrasher Analytics; creator of Volatility Risk Trigger; award-winning research on forecasting VIX spikes.

RSI Jumps 30‑70 in 15 Days—Rare Historic Signal
SocialApr 15, 2026

RSI Jumps 30‑70 in 15 Days—Rare Historic Signal

RSI has gone from under 30 to over 70 in 15 days just two prior times since 1980: Nov. '16 & Aug. '82. It's not quite there yet but it's very close. $SPX $SPY https://t.co/qhQVEqh9QX

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
Travel Stocks Lead Large‑Cap Gains Amid Growth Surge
SocialApr 8, 2026

Travel Stocks Lead Large‑Cap Gains Amid Growth Surge

83% of large cap stocks up today with mid and small cap growth leading. Seeing travel stocks (airlines, cruises, booking sites) holding several of the top performing large cap stocks on the day.

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
First 2026 Breadth Thrust Signals Positive, More Needed
SocialApr 7, 2026

First 2026 Breadth Thrust Signals Positive, More Needed

We got the first breadth thrust of 2026 yesterday (at least the first of the many that I track). Is that a good sign? Yes. Is one enough? No. I prefer to see at least 4 over a two-week period....

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
One Week Below 50‑week MA Signals Seller Exhaustion
SocialMar 31, 2026

One Week Below 50‑week MA Signals Seller Exhaustion

I shared in Sunday's Thrasher Analytics note that if the S&P 500 was able to spend just one week under its 50-week MA then history has shown it's been indicator sellers were exhausted and price kept climbing. Week isn't over...

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
Large‑Growth Stocks Pull S&P Down, Value Holds
SocialMar 26, 2026

Large‑Growth Stocks Pull S&P Down, Value Holds

Large growth having a heavy impact on the S&P 500 today. Index down just over -1% but only 57% of large stocks are negative right now. Large Growth down 2x, (-2.1%) the broad index while Large Value is off only...

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
New Data Backs 5% Canary Theory Despite Market Anomalies
SocialMar 21, 2026

New Data Backs 5% Canary Theory Despite Market Anomalies

More data that supports the idea behind my 5% Canary paper. Markets don’t always follow historical precedence, but still important to know.

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
S&P 500
SocialMar 19, 2026

S&P 500

Will look closer later, but this might be the first time in a while the S&P 500 gapped under its 200-day MA without having previously breached it even intraday in the prior months. Interesting.

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
S&P 500 Weekly Momentum Remains Low
SocialMar 19, 2026

S&P 500 Weekly Momentum Remains Low

Week isn't over, but weekly momentum for the S&P 500 is at a pretty low level..... https://t.co/4q8LlgwKjX

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
S&P 500 Slides to Three‑month Low, Quarter of Stocks Follow
SocialMar 13, 2026

S&P 500 Slides to Three‑month Low, Quarter of Stocks Follow

first three-month low in the SP 500 since April '25 with 25% of stocks also hitting a three-month low as well. $SPX $SPY https://t.co/NwLD3rcyjO

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
Fertilizer Stocks Surge Despite Oil Price Pullback
SocialMar 11, 2026

Fertilizer Stocks Surge Despite Oil Price Pullback

Crude oil has pulled back from its high of over $110/barrel, but fertilizer stocks are still moving, hitting multi-year highs. This corner of the market still appears to be expecting petro price pressure. https://t.co/r6Y5yIn6hu

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
Jakarta Stock Exchange Posts 5% Canary Signal
SocialMar 5, 2026

Jakarta Stock Exchange Posts 5% Canary Signal

One market that has shown a recent 5% canary signal with confirmation is Indonesia's Jakarta Stock Exchange. https://t.co/dls4RSmwO4

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
S&P Outpaces Russell, Growth Stocks Lead Rally
SocialMar 4, 2026

S&P Outpaces Russell, Growth Stocks Lead Rally

$SPX up about double $RSP and 57% of large cap stocks are advancing this morning. Large cap growth leading the drive, up 1.28% compared to LC Value up 0.31%.

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
S&P Falls, yet Most Large Caps Rally—Rare Since 2000
SocialMar 4, 2026

S&P Falls, yet Most Large Caps Rally—Rare Since 2000

As of yesterday, the S&P 500 has a three-month negative return. However, more than half of large cap stocks are up 5% or more over the last three months & 38% have advanced 10% or more. We'd have to go back...

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
Large‑cap Average Outpaces S&P 500 Despite Mega‑cap Slump
SocialMar 4, 2026

Large‑cap Average Outpaces S&P 500 Despite Mega‑cap Slump

Chart from Sunday's Thrasher Analytics note.... While the S&P 500 has stagnated due to the poor performance of mega caps and specifically the Mag 7, the average performance of large cap stocks has been strong and is up double that of...

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT