Andrew Thrasher, CMT

Andrew Thrasher, CMT

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Senior PM; founder, Thrasher Analytics; creator of Volatility Risk Trigger; award-winning research on forecasting VIX spikes.

AD Lines Break S&P 500 Uptrend Since April
SocialMay 12, 2026

AD Lines Break S&P 500 Uptrend Since April

As more stocks decline than advance, the 5-, 21- and cumulative Advance-Decline Lines have all been diverging away from the uptrend in the S&P 500 since April 20th. https://t.co/NFeXr8zs3b

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
S&P Climbs 7% While Most Large Caps Lag
SocialMay 10, 2026

S&P Climbs 7% While Most Large Caps Lag

The S&P 500 is up almost 7% in the last three months. Just 29% of large cap stocks are up at least 5% and 43% are down more than -5% during the same period.

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
Nasdaq 100 Hits Rare 14% Surge Above 10‑Week Average
SocialMay 10, 2026

Nasdaq 100 Hits Rare 14% Surge Above 10‑Week Average

Nasdaq 100 is now over 14% above its 10-week moving average. This hasn't happened in quite a while, not since Nov. '22, Nov. '01, March '00, Nov. '99, Nov. '98, Jan. '92, Feb. '91 The proverbial rubber band is stretched. Only...

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
2026 Market Breadth Stays Calm, No Major Moves
SocialApr 23, 2026

2026 Market Breadth Stays Calm, No Major Moves

2026 has yet to see any major Advance or Decline moves as measured by 10:1 days. All considered, markets have remained fairly calm from a broad breadth perspective. https://t.co/V1JoXj6fXz

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
S&P 500 Hits Highest 20‑Day MA Gap Since 2000
SocialApr 23, 2026

S&P 500 Hits Highest 20‑Day MA Gap Since 2000

A chart from Sunday's Thrasher Analytics note... The S&P 500 was 6.5% above its 20-day MA, the highest it's been above the short-term average since March 2000 when filtered for periods within 1% of a 52-week high, meaning not within a...

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
S&P Hits Fresh High, but only 2.4% Stocks Follow
SocialApr 16, 2026

S&P Hits Fresh High, but only 2.4% Stocks Follow

Not a lot of confirmation by individual stocks in yesterday's new high in the S&P 500. Just 2.4% of stocks made a new 12-month high as well. $SPX https://t.co/lrAHiepiR3

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
RSI Jumps 30‑70 in 15 Days—Rare Historic Signal
SocialApr 15, 2026

RSI Jumps 30‑70 in 15 Days—Rare Historic Signal

RSI has gone from under 30 to over 70 in 15 days just two prior times since 1980: Nov. '16 & Aug. '82. It's not quite there yet but it's very close. $SPX $SPY https://t.co/qhQVEqh9QX

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
Travel Stocks Lead Large‑Cap Gains Amid Growth Surge
SocialApr 8, 2026

Travel Stocks Lead Large‑Cap Gains Amid Growth Surge

83% of large cap stocks up today with mid and small cap growth leading. Seeing travel stocks (airlines, cruises, booking sites) holding several of the top performing large cap stocks on the day.

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
First 2026 Breadth Thrust Signals Positive, More Needed
SocialApr 7, 2026

First 2026 Breadth Thrust Signals Positive, More Needed

We got the first breadth thrust of 2026 yesterday (at least the first of the many that I track). Is that a good sign? Yes. Is one enough? No. I prefer to see at least 4 over a two-week period....

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
One Week Below 50‑week MA Signals Seller Exhaustion
SocialMar 31, 2026

One Week Below 50‑week MA Signals Seller Exhaustion

I shared in Sunday's Thrasher Analytics note that if the S&P 500 was able to spend just one week under its 50-week MA then history has shown it's been indicator sellers were exhausted and price kept climbing. Week isn't over...

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
Large‑Growth Stocks Pull S&P Down, Value Holds
SocialMar 26, 2026

Large‑Growth Stocks Pull S&P Down, Value Holds

Large growth having a heavy impact on the S&P 500 today. Index down just over -1% but only 57% of large stocks are negative right now. Large Growth down 2x, (-2.1%) the broad index while Large Value is off only...

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
New Data Backs 5% Canary Theory Despite Market Anomalies
SocialMar 21, 2026

New Data Backs 5% Canary Theory Despite Market Anomalies

More data that supports the idea behind my 5% Canary paper. Markets don’t always follow historical precedence, but still important to know.

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
S&P 500
SocialMar 19, 2026

S&P 500

Will look closer later, but this might be the first time in a while the S&P 500 gapped under its 200-day MA without having previously breached it even intraday in the prior months. Interesting.

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT
S&P 500 Weekly Momentum Remains Low
SocialMar 19, 2026

S&P 500 Weekly Momentum Remains Low

Week isn't over, but weekly momentum for the S&P 500 is at a pretty low level..... https://t.co/4q8LlgwKjX

By Andrew Thrasher, CMT