Anupam Dutta
Options trader, coder, and independent researcher who posts on implied volatility, payoff math, theta/IV and practical options microstructure.
IV Collapse Threatens Nifty50 Call Upside Without Recovery
From Monday’s close, IV on this call has seen a sharp collapse....Despite the gap up, premiums aren’t expanding the way they should. That’s a concern. For this move to sustain, need to see IV on 23550 CE push back above ~25.5. Without that, upside can fade quickly due to lack of volatility support. #Nifty50 # GammaGrid #Insights #ImpliedVol
Market Makers Manage Gamma, Not Predict Direction
Today’s GammaGrid Insights: Most people think market makers are predicting direction. They’re not...They’re managing gamma. Thread 👇 #Nifty50 #OptionsTrading
Holding Nifty 23600 CE Until IV Drops Below 10
Holding Nifty 13 Apr 23600 CE. Risky trade given elevated premiums, though IV has cooled to ~16. Still not cheap. Plan is simple. Holding as long as IV stays above 10. Any further crush and I’ll look to roll over to the...
Bear Call Spread Targets Nifty Below 22650
Entered bear call spread on Nifty 7 Apr expiry. Sold 22650 CE @ 212.05 Bought 22750 CE @ 167.35 Net credit 44.70, RR ~1:1. View is for price to stay below 22650. Not expecting any meaningful upside from here. #Nifty50
Nifty50 Expected to Trade 22,208‑22,843, Watch VIX
Nifty50 closed Thursday at 22,713.10. Based on current VIX, the implied move for Monday comes in around 22,208 to 22,843. That’s the expected range for now... Any expansion or contraction in VIX will shift this, so keeping an eye on vol...
Nifty50 Remains Bearish; Await Reclaim Before Longs
Nifty50 still in a clear bearish structure with consecutive lower highs and lower lows...Price is now interacting with the 22.2k..22.3k zone, but there’s no confirmed support yet. Intraday breach shows lack of demand at this level. >> Until we see acceptance...
22,359.9 Emerges as Key Nifty 50 Support Level
Looks like 22,359.9 is acting as a nearby support zone for Nifty 50. Today’s low came in at 22,453 and buyers stepped in around that area. Feels like this zone will be important if the market dips again. #Nifty50
Nifty 23100 Put Trade Targets 405‑410 Amid High IV
Entered Nifty 23100 PE (30 Mar expiry) around 365. IV is elevated (~27), but still acceptable for me. As long as IV holds above 20, I’m staying in. Structure-wise, downside opened below 22900, so this is more of a momentum + expansion...
Nifty50 Expiry Shows Record IV, Market Tension
Quick read on today’s Nifty50's 30th March expiry option chain. Spot around 22,927. ATM .. 23,000. IV at 98 percentile… market is tense. This is not a calm setup. Something is building. Continued...👇 #Nifty50 #optionchain
Nifty50 Hovers at 22843.85 Support, Future Direction Unclear
22843.85 is a key support to watch this week on Nifty50. Today’s open: 23064.40 Current low: 23063.20 Market literally opened and kissed the same level… almost no downside follow-through so far. That’s interesting. Now the real question: Is this absorption before a move up, or just...
Booked Half, Risked House Money, Awaiting Market Verdict
Booked 50% @ 398.5… paid myself first like a responsible adult 😄....Rest is running on house money, SL at cost, will trail it till expiry. Now either market rewards me… or politely escorts me out 😄 #Nifty50 #OptionBuying
Vol‑Driven Nifty Call Bet Targets 460, IV‑Dependent
Holding Nifty 30 Mar 22850 CE, avg...294.50. > Risky trade. As long as IV holds, I stay in. If IV drops below 18, I’m out. > This is more of a vol + directional play, not just direction. Expecting 455...460 till expiry if things...
Pure Gamma Bet on Sensex 74500 CE Requires Immediate Upside
Thinking of going long Sensex 74500 CE (today’s expiry) @ ~620, but let’s be real. 🧐 This option already spiked to 1158 and cooled to 620, so most of the gamma + IV expansion is already done.... Now it’s a pure gamma...
Nifty50 Options Signal 31% Weekly Volatility, Demand Zone 23100‑228
In these uncertain times, options data tells a deeper story. Plugged today’s Nifty50 weekly options into my model, it’s pricing => 31% IV (annualized) for nxt 7 days...😳🔥 >> Structure suggests 23100 to 22800 as a strong demand zone, but remember,...
Three Timeframes Disagree, Average Points to 22,300 Bottom
Studying the Nifty50 chart in these crucial times. Today’s low came at 23112. Now the interesting part… each timeframe is telling a different story.... Daily chart suggests the bottom may be in. Weekly still hints some downside left. Monthly says the bear move may not...
