Benedict Evans

Benedict Evans

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Independent technology analyst, former a16z partner and newsletter author

Questioning Microsoft’s Progress on Foundation Models
SocialMay 12, 2026

Questioning Microsoft’s Progress on Foundation Models

He’s not wrong, but what can they do? How are those Microsoft foundation models going?

By Benedict Evans
From Stats to First‑Principles: Understanding User Intent
SocialMay 5, 2026

From Stats to First‑Principles: Understanding User Intent

"Instead of just looking at statistical patterns of what types of people engage with what content, for the first time we're going to be able to develop a first-principles understanding of what you care about and what each piece of...

By Benedict Evans
Apple Music Bug Persists; Spotify Lacks Classical Support
SocialMay 2, 2026

Apple Music Bug Persists; Spotify Lacks Classical Support

Serious question - is anyone still working on Apple Music? Anyone at all? This bug has been around for half a decade now. Meanwhile Spotify has no classical product at all and Apple’s ‘Classical’ app is worthless)

By Benedict Evans
Agentic Commerce Strips Control From Brands and Users
SocialApr 27, 2026

Agentic Commerce Strips Control From Brands and Users

The funny thing about agentic commerce is that not only does the retailer or brand no longer have control - the user doesn't either

By Benedict Evans
China’s Manus Cancellation Exposes Singapore Regulatory Loophole Myth
SocialApr 27, 2026

China’s Manus Cancellation Exposes Singapore Regulatory Loophole Myth

China cancelling the Manus deal has been so heavily flagged in the last month that it shouldn’t surprise anybody now.  The notable thing is that the convenient fiction where you could get around both American and Chinese regulations by...

By Benedict Evans
Token Pricing Mirrors Early Mobile Data’s Flawed Cost Model
SocialApr 26, 2026

Token Pricing Mirrors Early Mobile Data’s Flawed Cost Model

The parallel between token pricing now and mobile mobile data pricing 15 and 20 years ago is almost perfect. You have marginal cost for a unit of measure that doesn’t mean anything to most people and doesn’t map well to...

By Benedict Evans
WordPress: From Publishing Democracy to Tech‑Team Necessity
SocialApr 26, 2026

WordPress: From Publishing Democracy to Tech‑Team Necessity

The fundamental irony of WordPress is that the dream was about democratising publishing and it ended up as something you would be insane to use if you don’t have your own tech team

By Benedict Evans
Uber Poised to Achieve Cumulative Positive Free Cash Flow This Year
SocialApr 19, 2026

Uber Poised to Achieve Cumulative Positive Free Cash Flow This Year

A very rough back-of-the-envelope calculation suggests that Uber will reach positive cumulative free cashflow since inception at some point this year.

By Benedict Evans
AI Spending Rivals Global Infrastructure, Outpacing Historic Megaprojects
SocialApr 18, 2026

AI Spending Rivals Global Infrastructure, Outpacing Historic Megaprojects

Comparing AI capex spend of ~$650bn this year to charismatic megafauna like the Manhattan Project ($30bn) or the Apollo Program (~$250-300bn) is cute but dumb. Telcos spend $300bn a year on capex. Oil & gas is double that. No-one knows...

By Benedict Evans
Claude Lalanne Mirrors for Y
SocialApr 12, 2026

Claude Lalanne Mirrors for Y

If you're in New York or can be, run to see the mirrors that Claude Lalanne made for Yves Saint Laurent and Pierre Berger, on display now at Sotheby's Breuer for $15m as part of the Gunzberg sale.

By Benedict Evans
AI Will Erase Complex Reward Calculations Across Industries
SocialApr 12, 2026

AI Will Erase Complex Reward Calculations Across Industries

I wonder what happens to the profitability of airline and credit card point systems when an agent can do the hard work of calculating how and where to apply your rewards and make the bookings for you, instead of you...

By Benedict Evans
Generative AI's Biggest Flaw: You Can't Verify Results
SocialApr 11, 2026

Generative AI's Biggest Flaw: You Can't Verify Results

For every new technology there’s a bunch of stuff that doesn’t work yet, and some of that will be fixed next week, some next month and some not for five or 10 years. The difference for generative AI is that...

By Benedict Evans
Northern Europe Matches US AI Adoption, Others Lag
SocialApr 10, 2026

Northern Europe Matches US AI Adoption, Others Lag

The spread of AI use across the EU is entirely unsurprising, and look like any other digital adoption stat. Scandi, Benelux and other small northern countries (plus the UK) are at par with the USA and sometimes ahead - others...

By Benedict Evans
AI's Real Impact Hides In
SocialApr 9, 2026

AI's Real Impact Hides In

One interesting aspect of AI deployment is that for any given industry, the use case that seems really obvious and immediate to outsiders is quite different from one that insiders immediately think of, and often that’s a use case that...

By Benedict Evans
Benedict Evans | Pulse