Brent Johnson

Brent Johnson

Creator
0 followers

CEO, Santiago Capital; known for “Dollar Milkshake” FX thesis; USD and global liquidity.

Focus on Ships that Departed a Month Earlier
SocialApr 2, 2026

Focus on Ships that Departed a Month Earlier

This is not in reference to ships arriving in the Strait of Hormuz. This is in reference to the ones that left a month ago…

By Brent Johnson
Final Ships Arrive, Forcing Forgotten Truths to Resurface
SocialApr 2, 2026

Final Ships Arrive, Forcing Forgotten Truths to Resurface

The last ships arrive this weekend. Then a lot of hard forgotten truths get relearned. https://t.co/XWTqCzutYT

By Brent Johnson
AI Race: Karp Warns Second Place Means Extinction
SocialMar 30, 2026

AI Race: Karp Warns Second Place Means Extinction

‘Second place is extinction’: This is how Palantir Tech CEO Alex Karp frames the artificial intelligence race between the US & China. Do you agree?

By Brent Johnson
Reserve Currency Advantage No Longer Erodes Domestic Industry
SocialMar 28, 2026

Reserve Currency Advantage No Longer Erodes Domestic Industry

the idea that the privilege of the reserve currency automatically guts the domestic industrial base was true when the world was globalizing, there was one supply chain, and the law of one price was intact. Those days are over....

By Brent Johnson
IRGC Supporters Misunderstand Their Own Motives
SocialMar 28, 2026

IRGC Supporters Misunderstand Their Own Motives

The point is that those claiming the IRGC is fighting for the country and it’s Poe people and not themselves have no idea what they are talking about

By Brent Johnson
Military Secrecy: War Plans Aren't Public
SocialMar 28, 2026

Military Secrecy: War Plans Aren't Public

Imagine being confused as to why a military doesn't publicly disclose their war plans to you...

By Brent Johnson
US Elite Motives Vs. Iran’s Ruling Clergy and Masses
SocialMar 28, 2026

US Elite Motives Vs. Iran’s Ruling Clergy and Masses

For those who think the US involvement in Iran is being driven by a minority elite who benefit from the current conflict while the larger American populace suffers...how exactly would you classify the Theocracy and IRGC in Iran...as it compares...

By Brent Johnson
Iran's 40-Year Prep Reveals U.S. Strategic Plan
SocialMar 28, 2026

Iran's 40-Year Prep Reveals U.S. Strategic Plan

For those who think the U.S. does not have a plan with regards to Iran, pls answer this one question: If the U.S. has no plan, then why did Iran spend the last 40 years preparing to counter the U.S.'s plan...?

By Brent Johnson
Floating Storage Delays Iranian Oil Sales, Relief Unlikely.
SocialMar 23, 2026

Floating Storage Delays Iranian Oil Sales, Relief Unlikely.

Despite some accounts on this app implying that all oil that Iran has shipped is already sold…that is not the case. Some oil is shipped and is floating storage…to then be sold later. This does not mean the USTs...

By Brent Johnson
US Troops to Guard Iran's Energy Assets—Stay Informed
SocialMar 23, 2026

US Troops to Guard Iran's Energy Assets—Stay Informed

If the possible deployment of US boots on the ground to Iran in an effort to manage/control the energy assets come as a surprise to you…you have not been paying attention

By Brent Johnson
Life Mirrors Camino: Simple Steps, Daily Journey
SocialMar 22, 2026

Life Mirrors Camino: Simple Steps, Daily Journey

The beauty of the Camino is its simplicity. All you do is wake up in the morning and start walking. Kind of like Life...

By Brent Johnson
Oil Price Gap Sparks Sarcastic Optimism for China
SocialMar 20, 2026

Oil Price Gap Sparks Sarcastic Optimism for China

Oil is $100 in the U.S. and $150 in Asia. I’m looking forward to the all the reports by the usual suspects this weekend explaining how this is a positive development for China.

By Brent Johnson
Now's the Perfect Time to Read This Book
SocialMar 20, 2026

Now's the Perfect Time to Read This Book

If you have not yet read this book now would be a good time to do so https://t.co/MFmozbXFQz

By Brent Johnson
Prefer Energy Supplies That Bypass Religious Conflict Zones
SocialMar 19, 2026

Prefer Energy Supplies That Bypass Religious Conflict Zones

1. Buy your needed energy inputs from a region that needs to traverse a religious war zone 2. Buy your needed energy inputs from a region that does not need to traverse a religious war zone

By Brent Johnson
Inflation‑adjusted Loans only Default if Contract Mandates Parity
SocialMar 17, 2026

Inflation‑adjusted Loans only Default if Contract Mandates Parity

A default “via inflation” is not a default. For it to be a default the underlying contract would have to stipulate that the money received in the future has the same purchasing power and the money lent today. ...

By Brent Johnson
Fiat Currency Levels Dominate Markets; Gold Is Niche
SocialMar 14, 2026

Fiat Currency Levels Dominate Markets; Gold Is Niche

It actually doesn’t make it a moot point. Bc single most important variable in global markets is relative level of fiat currencies. If you only care about gold, consider yourself fortunate to be in the .0001% of people on the...

By Brent Johnson
Can Gold Reach $5,000 While DXY Stays Above 100?
SocialMar 13, 2026

Can Gold Reach $5,000 While DXY Stays Above 100?

Anyone know how we could possibly have gold over $5,000 with the DXY over $100? https://t.co/S8n1xWP4PR

By Brent Johnson
Strait of Hormuz Ship Insurance: Power Shift Looms
SocialMar 11, 2026

Strait of Hormuz Ship Insurance: Power Shift Looms

Who will control/dominate the insurance business of ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz once energy is consistently flowing again?

By Brent Johnson
US Risks Strait Closure, Pays Empty-Print Cost
SocialMar 10, 2026

US Risks Strait Closure, Pays Empty-Print Cost

- the US will not risk shutting the strait - US actions lead to strait being shut - the US cannot reopen the strait - the US Navy escorts ship through the strait - yes the US Navy escorted a ship through the strait...

By Brent Johnson
2022: Long Energy, Bet on Russia Amid U.S. Missteps
SocialMar 9, 2026

2022: Long Energy, Bet on Russia Amid U.S. Missteps

I’m old enough to remember when the most obvious trade in the world was going long Energy and Russia in Q1 of 2022 bc they held all the cards and the U.S. had a idiot in the White House

By Brent Johnson
Dollar Index May Hit Record as Other Currencies Collapse
SocialMar 6, 2026

Dollar Index May Hit Record as Other Currencies Collapse

This paints a potential scenario for how the dollar index could return to its all time high. Not bc it is great. But bc all other fiat will fail first.

By Brent Johnson
Global USD Demand Fuels Stablecoin Profits, Threatens Banks
SocialMar 5, 2026

Global USD Demand Fuels Stablecoin Profits, Threatens Banks

One of reasons banks are freaking out about stablecoins, even though stablecoins don't pay yield, is bc there is more demand for USD outside the US than there is inside the US. And that means billions (no...trillions) of profits going...

By Brent Johnson
Early Months May Launch the Monsoon Framework
SocialFeb 28, 2026

Early Months May Launch the Monsoon Framework

It’s early. VERY early. But the months ahead could set the stage for the early beginnings of the Monsoon thesis/framework. Time to start thinking about it. IYKYK @RaoulGMI

By Brent Johnson
Factor National Interests, Avoid Becoming Market Victim
SocialFeb 25, 2026

Factor National Interests, Avoid Becoming Market Victim

You can begin factoring national interests and power factors into your preferred free market analysis or you can be a victim of it. https://t.co/bDXsO4Jd8A

By Brent Johnson
USD Stays Strong; “Global Reserve Asset” Rebrands Failure
SocialFeb 21, 2026

USD Stays Strong; “Global Reserve Asset” Rebrands Failure

For what its worth, the reason the term “Global Reserve Asset” has gained traction over last 5 yrs is bc those who previously said USD would lose “Global Reserve Currency” status had to pivot after getting everything they ever dreamed...

By Brent Johnson
Stablecoin Wars: Factions Battle for USD Dominance
SocialFeb 19, 2026

Stablecoin Wars: Factions Battle for USD Dominance

Four months ago we released "Empire by Code" which laid out a thesis for the rise of USD Stablecoins. We have now released “Stablecoin Wars" which deals with the various factions vying for control of this new system. Both can be found...

By Brent Johnson
Debt-Based Money Ensures Perpetual Debt, Devalues Assets
SocialFeb 18, 2026

Debt-Based Money Ensures Perpetual Debt, Devalues Assets

Bc of the interest component & exponential function of a debt based monetary system, there is never enough money to pay off the debt. And bc debts are always paid (either by lender or borrower), if they didn’t debase the...

By Brent Johnson
Global Fiat Fears Boost Gold and USD Stablecoins
SocialFeb 17, 2026

Global Fiat Fears Boost Gold and USD Stablecoins

Wrong. Vast majority of gold buyers have been non Americans that are more worried that their own fiat currencies will lose value than they are about the USD losing value. And while foreign CBs purchased around $100B of gold...

By Brent Johnson
Assume BRICS' USD‑bypass Plans Are Real; Doubt USD Stability
SocialFeb 13, 2026

Assume BRICS' USD‑bypass Plans Are Real; Doubt USD Stability

Remember, every utterance from BRICS & Global South regarding potential new system to bypass USD is to be treated as if already operational & making material difference. And every piece of evidence that USD system isnt going anywhere is to be...

By Brent Johnson
ECB Staff Push for Tighter Oversight and Regulation
SocialFeb 13, 2026

ECB Staff Push for Tighter Oversight and Regulation

ECB staff comes up with the revolutionary idea of adding even more oversight and regulation

By Brent Johnson