Blog•Apr 26, 2026
Global Recession Alert
The International Monetary Fund’s April 2026 World Economic Outlook trims global growth to 3.1% for the year, down from 3.4% in 2025. On a quarter‑to‑quarter basis the forecast slides to 2.9%, nudging the world into the “danger zone” of 2.5‑3.0% growth. New geopolitical and energy shocks – notably the ongoing Middle‑East conflict and a choke‑point in the Strait of Hormuz – are eroding the resilience that previously buffered the $126 trillion economy. The author warns that these combined pressures could trigger a global recession by late 2026 or early 2027.
