Doug Kass

Doug Kass

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Investor (Seabreeze); market diary on U.S. equities and macro.

Iran's Confidence: Why It Thinks It Holds Advantage
SocialApr 3, 2026

Iran's Confidence: Why It Thinks It Holds Advantage

Opinion | Why Iran Believes It Has the Upper Hand - The New York Times

By Doug Kass
FinTV's Squawk Box Flattens Cathie Wood Interview
SocialApr 2, 2026

FinTV's Squawk Box Flattens Cathie Wood Interview

Coming up on @thestreetpro Another Failure of Journalism * Yesterday's obsequious Squawk Box interview with Cathie Wood underscored the failure of FinTV journalism * Good god, man (host) - do your homework and stop bootlicking the egos of "talking heads" that have not...

By Doug Kass
Weiss Liquidates All Long Positions, Says Show
SocialApr 2, 2026

Weiss Liquidates All Long Positions, Says Show

Today we will learn on the show that Weiss sold out of all his longs.... @thestreetpro @dougkass

By Doug Kass
Cathie Wood, Biggest ARKK Loser, Now Teaching Investing
SocialApr 1, 2026

Cathie Wood, Biggest ARKK Loser, Now Teaching Investing

Now up on @SquawkCNBC Cathie Wood who has lost more money in $ARKK than any other actively managed ETF in history. She is giving viewers investing lessons now. Wash, rinse, repeat. @dougkass @cnbc

By Doug Kass
BAT Converts Debt to Equity, Now Holds 40% of CWEB
SocialMar 31, 2026

BAT Converts Debt to Equity, Now Holds 40% of CWEB

$MSOS @thestreetpro Apropos to the possibility of takeover optionality in cannabis stocks mentioned in my previous post: https://t.co/PAAYQbNLtA In the first real precedent of tobacco companies taking an equity stake in cannabis - $BAT has elected to convert its debenture into...

By Doug Kass
New Strait Strategy Sparks Slugflation, Overvalued Stocks
SocialMar 31, 2026

New Strait Strategy Sparks Slugflation, Overvalued Stocks

@jimcramer @carlquintanilla Jim I respectfully disagree with your upbeat assessment (as it relates to equities) of the new strategy to cede control of the Strait. The knock on consequences of this new strategy are broad, inflationary and economic dulling. The policy...

By Doug Kass
Trump’s Hormuz Hint Sparks Overnight Futures Volatility
SocialMar 31, 2026

Trump’s Hormuz Hint Sparks Overnight Futures Volatility

Coming up on @TheStreetPro Strategic Ambiguity or Absence of A Strategy? * You can't make up what happened last night in futures trading * A confusing statement by the Administration on abandoning the strategy of taking the Strait of Hurmuz makes little...

By Doug Kass
Buffett's Relentless Work Ethic Outshines Raw Talent
SocialMar 30, 2026

Buffett's Relentless Work Ethic Outshines Raw Talent

Hard work beats talent when talent doesnt work hard. Buffett outworked everyone. Most people know he read the Moody's Manual front to back. Twice. But did you know he brought Moody's Manuals on his honeymoon? He copied...

By Doug Kass
Buy the Dip Dispassionately, Unlike Cramer’s Approach
SocialMar 30, 2026

Buy the Dip Dispassionately, Unlike Cramer’s Approach

Respectfully, we are "playing" the precipitous drop much differently than @jimcramer. We are buying and dispassionately. We view dips as opportunities given, among other things, the valuation and consensus (EPS) resets. @dougkass

By Doug Kass
Buying Oversold Indices Tonight: SPY and QQQ Surge
SocialMar 30, 2026

Buying Oversold Indices Tonight: SPY and QQQ Surge

Buying the oversold. Trading long rentals in Indices tonite: Dougie Kass (timestamped) 20m ago Sunday night trading. Added to Indices ("buying at the sound of cannons"): * $SPY $629.64 * $QQQ $557.57 805PM @tomkeene @business @cnbc @guyadami

By Doug Kass
S&P Short‑Range Oscillator Improves, Less Oversold
SocialMar 27, 2026

S&P Short‑Range Oscillator Improves, Less Oversold

The S&P Short Range Oscillator again moved to be less oversold at -2.85% vs. -3.13%

By Doug Kass
Tech Sector Finds Stability After S&P Cash Drop
SocialMar 27, 2026

Tech Sector Finds Stability After S&P Cash Drop

@thestreetpro An Observation With S&P cash -65 handles I am seeing some "stability" in the tech sector for the first time in several days. None. BY Doug Kass · Mar 27, 2026

By Doug Kass
Re‑entering Consumer Staples at Lower Prices
SocialMar 6, 2026

Re‑entering Consumer Staples at Lower Prices

@TheStreetPro Starting to Buy We sold almost all our consumer staples much higher a few weeks ago.T This afternoon I began to buy back and I am working on a scale lower in consumer staples now —  (PG $153.67) ,  (PEP $157.73)...

By Doug Kass
Profits Locked on Multiple Longs After S&P Dip
SocialMar 6, 2026

Profits Locked on Multiple Longs After S&P Dip

With S and P cash -61 handles we took profits in following longs: $APO $BX $MX $C $KKR $SPY $QQQ

By Doug Kass
Slugfation Ahead: Weak Jobs, Sticky Inflation
SocialMar 6, 2026

Slugfation Ahead: Weak Jobs, Sticky Inflation

After seeing the weak jobs data, my view is ever stronger that "slugfation" (sluggish economic growth coupled with sticky inflation) lies ahead. @thestreetpro @dougkass @tomkeene @ferrotv @business @SquawkCNBC @CNBCFastMoney @HalftimeReport @ScottWapnerCNBC @carlquintanilla @jimcramer @pboockvar @guyadami @saraeisen @SullyCNBC @WhitneyTilson @andrewrsorkin @BeckyQuick

By Doug Kass
Ignore Media Spin: WMT Weakness Reveals Consumer Reality
SocialMar 5, 2026

Ignore Media Spin: WMT Weakness Reveals Consumer Reality

Beware of False Narratives When we were shorting $WMT $10 higher than today's price (which is -$4.98 in trading), the "talking heads" made up narratives that the $WMT strength confirmed the notion that the consumer is swell. Stay independent and turn the...

By Doug Kass
Shorted Indices, S&P Futures Spike, Positions Closed
SocialMar 4, 2026

Shorted Indices, S&P Futures Spike, Positions Closed

We shorted the Indices on this BS report. The S and P futures ripped (+28 handles) and we put them out: * $SPY $682.35 * $QQQ $604.37 @dougkass @thestreetpro @tomkeene @business

By Doug Kass
Bull Market Ends; Rigorous Research Becomes Essential
SocialMar 3, 2026

Bull Market Ends; Rigorous Research Becomes Essential

The last two years have not been demanding for the bulls. But genius is a rising market. Large portfolio and individual stock drawdowns may emerge. (Already, in the case of $CRM and software, as well as other sectors -- individual...

By Doug Kass
Returning to Short SPY Calls After S&P Rally
SocialMar 2, 2026

Returning to Short SPY Calls After S&P Rally

Back Shorting SPY Calls @thestreetpro With S&P cash -9 handles (a big rally from the lows of -70 handles) I am back shorting  (SPY)  calls. By Doug Kass Mar 2, 2026 11:21 AM EST @guyadami @dougkass

By Doug Kass
Contrarian Insight: Cap Spending Crowds Out Hyperscaler Buybacks
SocialFeb 27, 2026

Contrarian Insight: Cap Spending Crowds Out Hyperscaler Buybacks

Come on, Scott - some of us brought up that the gargantuan cap spending will crowd out buybacks of hyperscalers several months ago.... this is not new, its just a narrative to fit the lower stock prices. This is why...

By Doug Kass
Financials Lead Market Weakness with Biggest Daily Loss
SocialFeb 27, 2026

Financials Lead Market Weakness with Biggest Daily Loss

The real market story today is the weakness in financials and not the hyperscalers @ScottWapnerCNBC @HalftimeReport @dougkass Observe these massive individual financial stock losses: $C -$7 $AXP -$25 $GS -$72 $MS -$13 $APO -$10 Since this is the single largest daily loss, it might...

By Doug Kass
Questioning Inflation Outlook: Is 10‑Year Rally a Flight‑to‑Quality?
SocialFeb 27, 2026

Questioning Inflation Outlook: Is 10‑Year Rally a Flight‑to‑Quality?

@jimcramer I dont understand your response to the inflation print. It is not positive. And couldnt the short term strength in the 10 year (something you just mentioned) be a flight to quality with rising credit conerns and...

By Doug Kass
Inflation Pressures Persist Despite Bullish Equity Outlook
SocialFeb 27, 2026

Inflation Pressures Persist Despite Bullish Equity Outlook

Scott @ScottWapnerCNBC @HalftimeReport kindly forward this to Slink, @saraeisen (who has expressed the view that inflation is declining) and your panelists who mostly insist as part of their bullish stance on equities that inflation has been conquered. From Peter Boockvar...

By Doug Kass
Futures and Microsoft Dip After XYZ Cuts, ZS Earnings
SocialFeb 26, 2026

Futures and Microsoft Dip After XYZ Cuts, ZS Earnings

Back to the numbers... Stock futures and $MSFT (good job @hedgeye for highlighting Mr. Softee's share price weakness over the last week while the shows were talking about its "value") move lower after the close after $XYZ job reduction...

By Doug Kass
We Shorted Nvidia After Hours – Yesterday’s Call
SocialFeb 26, 2026

We Shorted Nvidia After Hours – Yesterday’s Call

I posted this yesterday with regard to $NVDA (when we shorted it in the after hours).... @dougkass

By Doug Kass
CRM Faces Margin Pressure From Compensation, M&A Costs
SocialFeb 26, 2026

CRM Faces Margin Pressure From Compensation, M&A Costs

$CRM Look at the headwinds of stock based compensation, merger & acquisition costs. Then look at margin projections and scale problems. @dougkass @SeabreezeLP @jimcramer @SquawkCNBC @andrewrsorkin @BeckyQuick @gnoble79 @KeithMcCullough @HedgeyeDJ @tomkeene @lisaabramowicz1 @business @CNBCFastMoney @HalftimeReport @carlquintanilla @ScottWapnerCNBC @SaraEisen @SullyCNBC...

By Doug Kass
Nvidia's Obligations Surge, Raising Structural Risk
SocialFeb 26, 2026

Nvidia's Obligations Surge, Raising Structural Risk

Short Thought: Nvidia Ratchets Up the Risk Michael BurryFeb 26 Welcome to one short thought. Just going through the Nvidia numbers. I would like to highlight for you one specific aspect of their financials that I find troubling. The 2026 Form 10K...

By Doug Kass
S&P Short‑Range Oscillator Still Slightly Overbought
SocialFeb 25, 2026

S&P Short‑Range Oscillator Still Slightly Overbought

Wed, Feb 25 at 5:16 AM The S&P Short Range Oscillator remained modestly overbought at 1.26% v 1.03% . @dougkass @thestreetpro

By Doug Kass
Cannabis Refinancings Signal Imminent Rescheduling and Rally
SocialFeb 24, 2026

Cannabis Refinancings Signal Imminent Rescheduling and Rally

The largest multi state cannabis companies have announced meaningful refinancings (with relatively good terms - interest rates and maturities) over the last two weeks - presaging, in our view, a much anticipated and favorable rescheduling decision by the Administration. The "refinancing...

By Doug Kass
HalftimeReport Missed IBM Surge, Lost $30
SocialFeb 23, 2026

HalftimeReport Missed IBM Surge, Lost $30

Go to @HalftimeReport archives on $IBM recommendations (-$30 and -12%) Last sale $228 1. January 21, 2026 $295 and January 29, 2026 $308 Malcolm 2. Slink continuous over last six months (multiple prices, all much higher than last sale) Not ad hominem. That...

By Doug Kass
Doug Kass Expands Index Short Calls Amid S&P Rally
SocialFeb 23, 2026

Doug Kass Expands Index Short Calls Amid S&P Rally

Adding to Index Short Calls @thestreetpro With S&P cash +5 handles I am adding to my Index short calls. By Doug Kass Feb 23, 2026 9:39 AM EST @dougkass @tomkeene @business

By Doug Kass
CNBC Moderator Pushes Conflict‑ridded Versus Warner Trade
SocialFeb 23, 2026

CNBC Moderator Pushes Conflict‑ridded Versus Warner Trade

Another beaut from @JoeSquawk . @SquawkCNBC Only on Fin TV can a moderator who works for a company (in this case Versant Media Group $VSNT (parent of CNBC)) suggest a pairs trade of being long Versant and short Warner....

By Doug Kass
Financial Media Misuses Weak GDPNow Forecasts to Spin Bullish Narrative
SocialFeb 21, 2026

Financial Media Misuses Weak GDPNow Forecasts to Spin Bullish Narrative

Recall @HalftimeReport Slink's confidentally quoting (on almost a daily basis) of the robust GDP Now projections by the Atlanta Fed (among the worst forecasters extant) to support her "the economy is great" and bullish market thesis? That is the...

By Doug Kass
S&P Briefly Dips Negative, Marking a Ludacris Day
SocialFeb 20, 2026

S&P Briefly Dips Negative, Marking a Ludacris Day

ludacris day means that sometime in the day the s and p turns negative after being substantially higher. the s and p did turn negative (briefly) qualifying as a ludacris day.

By Doug Kass
Equity Risk Discount Signals Overvalued Market Amid Turmoil
SocialFeb 20, 2026

Equity Risk Discount Signals Overvalued Market Amid Turmoil

An equity risk premium which has recently turned into an equity risk discount. (Historically, an awful launnching pad for future returns) Policy turmoil, slowing domestic economic growth, sticky inflation, circular financing deals in AI (holding up the econ data) and traditional...

By Doug Kass
S&P Reverses Gains, Slides Downward After Recent Surge
SocialFeb 20, 2026

S&P Reverses Gains, Slides Downward After Recent Surge

S and P now down on the day (reversing 45 handles in last few minutes) From an hour ago... on @thestreetpro Dougie Kass Ludacris Day? @dougkass

By Doug Kass
Short the Rips, Buy the Dips: Grinder’s Strategy
SocialFeb 20, 2026

Short the Rips, Buy the Dips: Grinder’s Strategy

Grinder on the short side of the Indices for several months. Short the rips, buy the dips... for now, Bill. @DougKass

By Doug Kass
Shorting SPY at $686.72 in Premarket Trade
SocialFeb 20, 2026

Shorting SPY at $686.72 in Premarket Trade

Premarket Trading (4:10 AM) @TheStreetPro * Win, lose or draw - I timestamp * I don't bullshit (by sweeping losers under the rug and regaling in my winners) .... I am back shorting the indices: *  (SPY)  $686.72 By Doug Kass Feb 20, 2026...

By Doug Kass
Stay Cautious on Retail, Long Amazon, Short Walmart, Costco
SocialFeb 19, 2026

Stay Cautious on Retail, Long Amazon, Short Walmart, Costco

(In contrast to the bullish view expressed yesterday on the Fin TV show - see SLINK's confident consumer outlook on @cnbc), we remain cautious on the consumer. This week we put on a three way pairs trade - long $AMZN/Short $COST...

By Doug Kass
Analyst's PANW Recommendation Misses, Stock Tanks
SocialFeb 18, 2026

Analyst's PANW Recommendation Misses, Stock Tanks

I was astonished that Bryn Talkington's feet were not held to the fire today after she recommended (confidentally) $PANW yesterday. Four hours later the company guided lower and the stock tanked. Does the network basically not give a shit (about their most...

By Doug Kass
Retail Shorts Ahead as High‑Income Spending Slips
SocialFeb 18, 2026

Retail Shorts Ahead as High‑Income Spending Slips

The show panelists (don't be shocked, they are bullish) love retail/consumer stocks - we shorted $COST and $WMT in the last 24 hours. We are looking for more consumer shorts. We believe lower home and stock prices will take away from the...

By Doug Kass
AI Spending and Consumer Surge Mask Weak Underlying Growth
SocialFeb 18, 2026

AI Spending and Consumer Surge Mask Weak Underlying Growth

Recent top and bottom line (as well as profit margins) have been disproportionately impacted by massive AI cap spending and high end consumer spending. The former has a half life to it. The later may not be sustained if home and stock...

By Doug Kass
Amazon's Shift to Capital‑intensive Model Triggers Sell‑off
SocialFeb 18, 2026

Amazon's Shift to Capital‑intensive Model Triggers Sell‑off

The transition of $AMZN (and some other MAG7 constituents) from a capital light business model to a capital intensive business model is more than three months old... the transformation has been measured in multiple quarters and not in months. It...

By Doug Kass
Media Hype Ignored Risks, Gemini IPO Crashes
SocialFeb 18, 2026

Media Hype Ignored Risks, Gemini IPO Crashes

Remember the excitement in the business media about the Gemini IPO? $GEMI The shares have crashed from over $45 to $6... Remember the softballs thrown to the executives and the admiration bestowed on the Winkelvoss twins by the Fin TV community? I do....

By Doug Kass
Investors Underprice Risk as Stocks Reach Extreme Overvaluation
SocialFeb 18, 2026

Investors Underprice Risk as Stocks Reach Extreme Overvaluation

Coming up on @TheStreetPro (a multi-part series) Trouble Ahead, Trouble Behind * Investors are underpricing risk * Equities - both fundamentally and from a valuation standpoint - remain between somewhere between very overvalued and pornographically overvalued "Trouble with you Is the trouble with me Got two...

By Doug Kass
Media's Shallow Analysis Misleads Retail Investors
SocialFeb 18, 2026

Media's Shallow Analysis Misleads Retail Investors

No, Kip, not pumping and dumping $PANW. Just no or limited investment process, opinions full of hubris, memorized sound bytes, no company spreadsheets/models, no timestamps - which "works" when the tide is coming in but not when the tide is going...

By Doug Kass
CNBC Panel’s Unfounded Praise Triggers PANW Stock Drop
SocialFeb 17, 2026

CNBC Panel’s Unfounded Praise Triggers PANW Stock Drop

$PANW, the object of affection on the show (by two members) today (and a third, last week ) @cnbc is now -$17 or -10% in after hours after poor guidance. Some say I dwell on my criticism and that...

By Doug Kass
Berkshire Hathaway Trims Apple Stake by 10 Million Shares
SocialFeb 17, 2026

Berkshire Hathaway Trims Apple Stake by 10 Million Shares

Berkshire Hathaway reduces its $AAPL holdings from 238.21 million to 227.92 million shares. No biggie. @ScottWapnerCNBC @dougkass

By Doug Kass
Markets Overvalued: Between Very and Pornographically High
SocialFeb 17, 2026

Markets Overvalued: Between Very and Pornographically High

Market Update: We continue to view the market as being somewhere between very overvalued and pornographically overvalued. We have an out of consensus outlook. @dougkass @andrewrsorkin @BeckyQuick @SquawkCNBC @CNBCFastMoney @HalftimeReport @carlquintanilla @ScottWapnerCNBC @jimcramer @pboockvar @saraeisen @SullyCNBC @tomkeene @ferrotv @lisaabramowicz1 @business...

By Doug Kass