CNBC Ignores Iran's Crisis, Sticks to Formulaic Programming
It is amazing that @cnbc has not mentioned a word of what just occurred in Iran. Formulaic programming. Not real time.
Market Rally Drives Bullish Sentiment to January Highs
From Peter Boockvar @pboockvar "Nothing like a stock market rally to lift sentiment as mood always follows price. In the most fickle and volatile sentiment survey, the AAII retail one today saw Bulls jump by 14.3 pts to 46, the...
CNBC Panel Hype Drives Tesla Buy, Price Quickly Retreats
$TSLA traded +$12 (to $404) from the close (in the after market) following its EPS release. It is now -$20 (at $384) from the peak after market print. At 5PM, on @CNBCFastMoney panelists mostly praised the company (and endorsed the stock)......
Capex Boom Fuels Profit Spike, Then Order Collapse
James Chanos on X: "A massive capex boom wherein the sellers recognize revenues and profits while the buyers capitalize the costs, will do that. Look at mid-1998 to mid-2000, when S&P 500 profits rose 30%. Then look at the next...
S&P Short‑Range Oscillator Hits Extreme Overbought Level
Neither overboughts/oversolds nor sentiment/surveys are good clocks... but they are (especially in the extreme) a good weather forecast .. S&P Short Range Oscillator at close stands at 7.61% - very overbought. @SquawkCNBC @andrewrsorkin @BeckyQuick @CNBCFastMoney @HalftimeReport @carlquintanilla @ScottWapnerCNBC @SullyCNBC @saraeisen @tomkeene...
Trump Claims U.S. Has Good News Amid Hormuz Closure
Trump says U.S. has 'good news' on Iran as Tehran closes Strait of Hormuz @CNBC https://t.co/FJEk5lzz69
Netflix Slides 9% After Guidance Cut, Despite Bull Consensus
"Group Stink" has a foul odor on Fin TV... and cheerleading has a place on the floors of athletic events and not in the business media. After the close $NFLX reduced guidance and the shares fell by about nine percent (-$10). In...
PPI Beats Expectations, Yet Pipeline Inflation Still Climbing
Commentators rejoicing in better than expected PPI. However, looking more closely, pipeline inflation is rising. @thestreetpro @business @lisaabramowicz1 @tomkeene @ferrotv
Higher EPS Won’t Offset Rising Rates and Inflation
@ferrotv @lisaabramowicz1 @tomkeene @business Regarding your bullish guest (Lisa)who says the EPS outlook has improved so stocks are inexpensive: * The small business confidence is lowest since April 2025. * Global bond yields have risen. The Fed is no longer likely to...
Media Hype Misreads Earnings, Hurts Investors' Decisions
Fin TV reporters - often like the panelists (who provide post EPS judgment calls before conference calls and even reading the entire release) - are great in (verbatim) reading of the reports. They are not so great in understanding and...
Hedgeye's VIX Risk Range Analysis Delivers Recent Alpha
Undaunted and strictly process oriented, @KeithMcCullough @hedgeye provided a valuable analysis of the VIX risk range that producedexcess returns (alpha) in the last several trading days. That analysis was worth the price of admission alone. @dougkass @SamofAmerica @HedgeyeDJ
Joe Kernen’s Poor Preparation Undermines CNBC Journalism Standards
As I have repeatedly written on Twitter (in recent months)... the problem @SquawkCNBC viewers should have with Joe Kernen is not his politics (as that is his own business) - it is his lack of preparation (which causes...
VIX Breach Predicts Sharp Equity Decline
Attention Homegamers... @KeithMcCullough analysis or the $VIX risk range (yesterday and today) was worth the price of @hedgeye admission. Look what happened to equities at about 10:30 AM when the VIX, at first broke support at 19.05- 19.10 (it went...
Financial TV Oversimplifies; Real Investing Requires Multifactor Analysis
Fin TV is remarkably unsophisticated as they (day in and day out) solely, simply and confidentally look at the markets in a linear way. Nearly every discussion in projecting stock prices is the observation of S and P (and...
Rising VIX Triggers New SPY and QQQ Short Positions
@thestreetpro Wed, Apr 8 at 1:22 PM Initiating Index shorts: * $SPY $676.06 * $QQQ $607.33 I am keying my short entry points on the action of the VIX - which is now at 21.25 more than +$1 from the day's low of 19.99 (and...
Clear, Value‑added Investment Process Beats Noisy Fin TV
Masterful and value-added presentation this morning by @dsaleminvestor ... a thoughtful discussion of investment process and execution (done in a succinct and easily understandable manner). What a contrast to consensus Fin TV. @KeithMcCullough @SamofAmerica @HedgeyeDJ @hedgeye
Unexpected Allies Urge Trump to Pursue Iran Deal
Respectfully disagree, Jim as according to press accounts, Iran is being more conciliatory. (1) Mario Nawfal on X: "WOW... Vance, Witkoff, and Kushner are reportedly now pushing Trump to take a deal with Iran, according to Axios....
S&P Short‑Range Oscillator Flips to Overbought
Keith: The S&P Short Range Oscillator is now overbought (after being oversold for several weeks) -at 2.28% v -0.52% (day earlier). @dougkass @SamofAmerica @HedgeyeDJ @KeithMcCullough
S&P Short‑Range
By contrast, the S&P Short Range Oscillator is now overbought -at 2.28% v -0.52% (day earlier).
2026 S&P Outlook: Down Year with Late‑Year Opportunities
Coming up on @thestreetpro Why 2026 Looks Like A Down Year for the S & P Index * Though the negatives are accumulating, a few stocks are approaching buyable levels * "Slugflation" is more likely than ever - with economic growth...
Cash
For the many reasons I have mentioned in columns on @thestreetpro... the "cash on the sidelines" is a B.S. argument that often surfaces during maturing Bull Markets as Bulls run out of arguments... @dougkass
S&P Short‑Range Oscillator Nears Neutral After Oversold Stretch
The S&P Short Range Oscillator is approaching neutral after being oversold for several days -0.52% vs. -1.53%. $SPY @jimcramer @tomkeene @lisaabramowicz1 @ferrotv @business @SquawkCNBC @BeckyQuick @carlquintanilla @pisani
Weekend Futures Data Too Small to Be Meaningful
I respectfully disagree with your explanation... The IG Weekend Futures is a tabulation of a very small sampling of contributors on the site. It is statistically insignificant. This is easy to prove - as at times 100% of the respondents are long...
Iran's Confidence: Why It Thinks It Holds Advantage
Opinion | Why Iran Believes It Has the Upper Hand - The New York Times
FinTV's Squawk Box Flattens Cathie Wood Interview
Coming up on @thestreetpro Another Failure of Journalism * Yesterday's obsequious Squawk Box interview with Cathie Wood underscored the failure of FinTV journalism * Good god, man (host) - do your homework and stop bootlicking the egos of "talking heads" that have not...
Weiss Liquidates All Long Positions, Says Show
Today we will learn on the show that Weiss sold out of all his longs.... @thestreetpro @dougkass
Cathie Wood, Biggest ARKK Loser, Now Teaching Investing
Now up on @SquawkCNBC Cathie Wood who has lost more money in $ARKK than any other actively managed ETF in history. She is giving viewers investing lessons now. Wash, rinse, repeat. @dougkass @cnbc
BAT Converts Debt to Equity, Now Holds 40% of CWEB
$MSOS @thestreetpro Apropos to the possibility of takeover optionality in cannabis stocks mentioned in my previous post: https://t.co/PAAYQbNLtA In the first real precedent of tobacco companies taking an equity stake in cannabis - $BAT has elected to convert its debenture into...
New Strait Strategy Sparks Slugflation, Overvalued Stocks
@jimcramer @carlquintanilla Jim I respectfully disagree with your upbeat assessment (as it relates to equities) of the new strategy to cede control of the Strait. The knock on consequences of this new strategy are broad, inflationary and economic dulling. The policy...
Trump’s Hormuz Hint Sparks Overnight Futures Volatility
Coming up on @TheStreetPro Strategic Ambiguity or Absence of A Strategy? * You can't make up what happened last night in futures trading * A confusing statement by the Administration on abandoning the strategy of taking the Strait of Hurmuz makes little...
Buffett's Relentless Work Ethic Outshines Raw Talent
Hard work beats talent when talent doesnt work hard. Buffett outworked everyone. Most people know he read the Moody's Manual front to back. Twice. But did you know he brought Moody's Manuals on his honeymoon? He copied...
Buy the Dip Dispassionately, Unlike Cramer’s Approach
Respectfully, we are "playing" the precipitous drop much differently than @jimcramer. We are buying and dispassionately. We view dips as opportunities given, among other things, the valuation and consensus (EPS) resets. @dougkass
Buying Oversold Indices Tonight: SPY and QQQ Surge
Buying the oversold. Trading long rentals in Indices tonite: Dougie Kass (timestamped) 20m ago Sunday night trading. Added to Indices ("buying at the sound of cannons"): * $SPY $629.64 * $QQQ $557.57 805PM @tomkeene @business @cnbc @guyadami
S&P Short‑Range Oscillator Improves, Less Oversold
The S&P Short Range Oscillator again moved to be less oversold at -2.85% vs. -3.13%
Tech Sector Finds Stability After S&P Cash Drop
@thestreetpro An Observation With S&P cash -65 handles I am seeing some "stability" in the tech sector for the first time in several days. None. BY Doug Kass · Mar 27, 2026
Re‑entering Consumer Staples at Lower Prices
@TheStreetPro Starting to Buy We sold almost all our consumer staples much higher a few weeks ago.T This afternoon I began to buy back and I am working on a scale lower in consumer staples now — (PG $153.67) , (PEP $157.73)...
Profits Locked on Multiple Longs After S&P Dip
With S and P cash -61 handles we took profits in following longs: $APO $BX $MX $C $KKR $SPY $QQQ
Slugfation Ahead: Weak Jobs, Sticky Inflation
After seeing the weak jobs data, my view is ever stronger that "slugfation" (sluggish economic growth coupled with sticky inflation) lies ahead. @thestreetpro @dougkass @tomkeene @ferrotv @business @SquawkCNBC @CNBCFastMoney @HalftimeReport @ScottWapnerCNBC @carlquintanilla @jimcramer @pboockvar @guyadami @saraeisen @SullyCNBC @WhitneyTilson @andrewrsorkin @BeckyQuick
Ignore Media Spin: WMT Weakness Reveals Consumer Reality
Beware of False Narratives When we were shorting $WMT $10 higher than today's price (which is -$4.98 in trading), the "talking heads" made up narratives that the $WMT strength confirmed the notion that the consumer is swell. Stay independent and turn the...
Shorted Indices, S&P Futures Spike, Positions Closed
We shorted the Indices on this BS report. The S and P futures ripped (+28 handles) and we put them out: * $SPY $682.35 * $QQQ $604.37 @dougkass @thestreetpro @tomkeene @business
Bull Market Ends; Rigorous Research Becomes Essential
The last two years have not been demanding for the bulls. But genius is a rising market. Large portfolio and individual stock drawdowns may emerge. (Already, in the case of $CRM and software, as well as other sectors -- individual...
Returning to Short SPY Calls After S&P Rally
Back Shorting SPY Calls @thestreetpro With S&P cash -9 handles (a big rally from the lows of -70 handles) I am back shorting (SPY) calls. By Doug Kass Mar 2, 2026 11:21 AM EST @guyadami @dougkass
Contrarian Insight: Cap Spending Crowds Out Hyperscaler Buybacks
Come on, Scott - some of us brought up that the gargantuan cap spending will crowd out buybacks of hyperscalers several months ago.... this is not new, its just a narrative to fit the lower stock prices. This is why...
Financials Lead Market Weakness with Biggest Daily Loss
The real market story today is the weakness in financials and not the hyperscalers @ScottWapnerCNBC @HalftimeReport @dougkass Observe these massive individual financial stock losses: $C -$7 $AXP -$25 $GS -$72 $MS -$13 $APO -$10 Since this is the single largest daily loss, it might...
Questioning Inflation Outlook: Is 10‑Year Rally a Flight‑to‑Quality?
@jimcramer I dont understand your response to the inflation print. It is not positive. And couldnt the short term strength in the 10 year (something you just mentioned) be a flight to quality with rising credit conerns and...
Inflation Pressures Persist Despite Bullish Equity Outlook
Scott @ScottWapnerCNBC @HalftimeReport kindly forward this to Slink, @saraeisen (who has expressed the view that inflation is declining) and your panelists who mostly insist as part of their bullish stance on equities that inflation has been conquered. From Peter Boockvar...
Futures and Microsoft Dip After XYZ Cuts, ZS Earnings
Back to the numbers... Stock futures and $MSFT (good job @hedgeye for highlighting Mr. Softee's share price weakness over the last week while the shows were talking about its "value") move lower after the close after $XYZ job reduction...
We Shorted Nvidia After Hours – Yesterday’s Call
I posted this yesterday with regard to $NVDA (when we shorted it in the after hours).... @dougkass
CRM Faces Margin Pressure From Compensation, M&A Costs
$CRM Look at the headwinds of stock based compensation, merger & acquisition costs. Then look at margin projections and scale problems. @dougkass @SeabreezeLP @jimcramer @SquawkCNBC @andrewrsorkin @BeckyQuick @gnoble79 @KeithMcCullough @HedgeyeDJ @tomkeene @lisaabramowicz1 @business @CNBCFastMoney @HalftimeReport @carlquintanilla @ScottWapnerCNBC @SaraEisen @SullyCNBC...
Nvidia's Obligations Surge, Raising Structural Risk
Short Thought: Nvidia Ratchets Up the Risk Michael BurryFeb 26 Welcome to one short thought. Just going through the Nvidia numbers. I would like to highlight for you one specific aspect of their financials that I find troubling. The 2026 Form 10K...