Fairweather PhD

Fairweather PhD

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Chief Economist at Redfin Real Estate, author of housing‑economics book, covers market and valuation topics.

Fed Chair Choice Won’t Drive Mortgage Rates, Here’s Why
SocialApr 8, 2026

Fed Chair Choice Won’t Drive Mortgage Rates, Here’s Why

I've heard from Redfin agents that some homebuyers are waiting for President Trump's pick for Fed Chair to lower mortgage rates before they buy. In this video I explain where that logic goes wrong and what actually moves mortgage rates: https://t.co/x7Qk1wyckH

By Fairweather PhD
Efficient Land Use: Hidden Deflator Amid Inflation Talk
SocialApr 7, 2026

Efficient Land Use: Hidden Deflator Amid Inflation Talk

I was just at the Dallas Fed, and the conversation was dominated by one question: How long is inflation going to remain a problem? While the main focus is energy and AI, there is a major deflator hiding in plain...

By Fairweather PhD
DIY Econ TV Show: Passion Fuels Endless Work
SocialApr 7, 2026

DIY Econ TV Show: Passion Fuels Endless Work

It's low-key been a dream of mine to produce a TV show about econ. And now thanks to Youtube, I get to just that. But goddamn is it a lot of work: researching, writing, filming, and editing. I enjoy it...

By Fairweather PhD
Midwest Real Estate Booms as Climate Haven Emerges
SocialMar 23, 2026

Midwest Real Estate Booms as Climate Haven Emerges

Is the Great Lakes region the ultimate Climate Haven? 🌎🌊🔥 With over $15T in real estate at risk from floods & fires, I explore why the Midwest is seeing a pricing boom. Low risk, low cost, high quality of...

By Fairweather PhD
Global Economic Uncertainty Now Nearly Double Pandemic Levels
SocialMar 16, 2026

Global Economic Uncertainty Now Nearly Double Pandemic Levels

Global economic uncertainty is nearly twice as high now as it was during the pandemic.

By Fairweather PhD
Jobs Stagnant Since Sep 2024, Business Apps Surge
SocialMar 16, 2026

Jobs Stagnant Since Sep 2024, Business Apps Surge

No New Jobs have been created since September 2024 but new business applications have been surging

By Fairweather PhD
War-Driven Rate Hike Adds $130/Month on $600k Mortgage
SocialMar 13, 2026

War-Driven Rate Hike Adds $130/Month on $600k Mortgage

For a $600,000 home, a borrower will now have to pay $130 more per month than what they would have paid the day before the war started when rates were 5.99%

By Fairweather PhD
Inflation Rising Pre‑Conflict Signals Trouble for Economy, Fed
SocialMar 13, 2026

Inflation Rising Pre‑Conflict Signals Trouble for Economy, Fed

Inflation was hearing up even before the US-Iran conflict began. Bad news for the economy and bad news for the Fed

By Fairweather PhD
Housing Stagflation Boosts Buyer Leverage Amid Seller Fatigue
SocialMar 10, 2026

Housing Stagflation Boosts Buyer Leverage Amid Seller Fatigue

The housing market is hitting stagflation. Jobs are cooling, but the unauthorized war in Iran is keeping oil prices and rates high. Sellers are losing patience and re-listings are at a decade high, giving buyers more leverage. https://t.co/tK43N2ajFT

By Fairweather PhD
Price Parking, Reclaim Lots for Housing Development
SocialMar 7, 2026

Price Parking, Reclaim Lots for Housing Development

"That's why we have these vacant lots, if you get rid of that (free parking) and find a median price for parking where it's kind of expensive you can then build buildings there and people will live there." - @bertkreischer ...

By Fairweather PhD
Florida Condos Diverge: $60K Loss vs 11% Gain
SocialMar 5, 2026

Florida Condos Diverge: $60K Loss vs 11% Gain

Florida condo owners lost $60,000 in equity in one year. Orlando condo owners gained 11%. Same state. Same year. I break down exactly why — and what happens next. https://t.co/fY7zpTVEkE

By Fairweather PhD
One in Five California Home Sales Are
SocialMar 2, 2026

One in Five California Home Sales Are

California’s housing market is officially a landed gentry system. 🏠 New data from the Wall Street Journal: 1 in 5 of CA home transfers are now inheritances—double the US average. Does CA need to end Prop 13 to save the American Dream?...

By Fairweather PhD
2030s May Open Homeownership for Gen Z, Despite Racial Gaps
SocialMar 2, 2026

2030s May Open Homeownership for Gen Z, Despite Racial Gaps

Is Gen Z completely priced out of homeownership, or are market shifts creating new opportunities? Analyzing the latest economic data reveals significant racial disparities and supply trends that suggest the 2030s could be a pivotal decade for young buyers. https://t.co/hWYTDWyAf9

By Fairweather PhD
More Pandemic Construction, Fewer Bidding Wars; Less Building, More.
SocialFeb 25, 2026

More Pandemic Construction, Fewer Bidding Wars; Less Building, More.

🏗️The places that built the most housing during the pandemic have the fewest bidding wars, and the places that neglected to build have the most. 🏘️ See percent of homes selling above list price by county. https://t.co/giPGgmFuBr

By Fairweather PhD