Josh Wolfe

Josh Wolfe

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co-founder + partner @ Lux Capital | Trustee @SfiScience Santa Fe Inst | Founding Chair @CiPrep (Brooklyn) | Co-Founder of Carson, Quinn & Bodhi w/ @ltwolfe

Former Islamist Figure Aims to Shift Syria, Peace Israel
SocialApr 25, 2026

Former Islamist Figure Aims to Shift Syria, Peace Israel

If he can be trusted and it is a risk, tempered by quest for survival, international legitimacy and funds He proves historic figure with Islamist terror roots who will have helped change the chessboard and remove Iran influence in Syria And make...

By Josh Wolfe
OpenAI's Images2 Pulls Me Back, Creates Magazine Instantly
SocialApr 22, 2026

OpenAI's Images2 Pulls Me Back, Creates Magazine Instantly

1/ have not used openAI/chatgpt in ~3 months 0% use. 100% claude BUT with release of Images2 (especially for text) openAI recaptured ~20% of my use i designed a new 21-page magazine in 3mins that i fantasized existed: a mashup of...

By Josh Wolfe
US Navy Seizes Oil Tanker Tied to Iran Support
SocialApr 21, 2026

US Navy Seizes Oil Tanker Tied to Iran Support

US military has successfully taken an oil tanker in INDOPACOM linked to 'material support for Iran' https://t.co/2kFoLSl7DD

By Josh Wolfe
Datacenter Boom Stalls: One‑third Built, Capex Cuts Thrill Hyperscalers
SocialApr 20, 2026

Datacenter Boom Stalls: One‑third Built, Capex Cuts Thrill Hyperscalers

with moratoriums on datacenters + politicians using "affordability" (rising electricity costs) to get votes of ~240 GW of planned datacenter construction only ~1/3 getting built gap b/w announcement + construction widening+ hyperscalers are privately THRILLED to CUT CAPEX

By Josh Wolfe
Ignoring Private Credit Risks Led to Costly Failure
SocialApr 20, 2026

Ignoring Private Credit Risks Led to Costly Failure

In Lux's Q1 2023 letter (3 years ago) on the theme of FAILURE comes from a FAILURE to imagine FAILURE we warned of the asset class du jour of "private credit" and the explosion in inflows that would not end...

By Josh Wolfe
Poll Gauges Odds of Bret Taylor’s Sierra Sale to OpenAI
SocialApr 18, 2026

Poll Gauges Odds of Bret Taylor’s Sierra Sale to OpenAI

what odds would you put of Bret Taylor selling Sierra to OpenAI + taking CEO with Sam moving to BoD? a) 0% b) 1-20% c) 20-60% d) 60-99%

By Josh Wolfe
New Tech Flipped U‑boats From Hunters to Prey
SocialApr 18, 2026

New Tech Flipped U‑boats From Hunters to Prey

1/ In early 1940s German U-boats had total TECH superiority utterly decimating the Allies, threatened British supply and pretty much sank EVERY boat in its way... UNTIL a new TECH got invented... that turned them from HUNTER to HUNTED Here are the U-boats......

By Josh Wolfe
NYT Must Own Its Headline, Stop Editing Shame
SocialApr 15, 2026

NYT Must Own Its Headline, Stop Editing Shame

NYT should own their shit. The power of the press is naming and shaming and afflicting the comfortable and comforting the afflicted. NYT shouldn't cowardly edit their headline. They should run a new headline "NYT embarrassed by NYT headline"

By Josh Wolfe
Ukraine Takes Enemy Position Using Only Autonomous Robots
SocialApr 14, 2026

Ukraine Takes Enemy Position Using Only Autonomous Robots

SCI-FI x SCIFACT Zelensky reveals for the first time in this war’s history and enemy’s position was won entirely by autonomous robots. «The future is here, on the battlefield, and Ukraine is creating it. These are our ground robotic systems. For...

By Josh Wolfe
A Generation Ready, IRGC Misjudged the Threat
SocialApr 12, 2026

A Generation Ready, IRGC Misjudged the Threat

IRGC thought they caught us off guard a generation has prepared for this moment https://t.co/bETNyaifoB

By Josh Wolfe
Most Sub‑$400M VC Funds Will Vanish, Megafunds Thrive
SocialApr 10, 2026

Most Sub‑$400M VC Funds Will Vanish, Megafunds Thrive

When Lux started 20+ years ago the number of VC funds spiked then plunged precipitously Again today, as we predicted, the vast majority but not all “minnows” (subscale funds under 400M) will go extinct while a few “mega” raise AUM and...

By Josh Wolfe
Collaboration Spikes in Both Music Releases and Scientific Papers
SocialApr 2, 2026

Collaboration Spikes in Both Music Releases and Scientific Papers

Observation of a COLAB [sic] trend: new song releases on Spotify match same trend in new scientific paper releases… respectively MORE musical artist collaborators on new songs (combining fan bases) + MORE scientist authors collaborators on papers (combining know how)

By Josh Wolfe
US VCs to Pour Billions Into Free Iran
SocialApr 2, 2026

US VCs to Pour Billions Into Free Iran

Cannot wait to fund brilliant Iranian founders out of a FREE Iran. I predict billions will be invested by US VCs in partnership with Persian expats once the people take back their country of Iran and remove repressive Islamic tyranny....

By Josh Wolfe
Join This Group to Raise Better-Prepared Kids
SocialMar 31, 2026

Join This Group to Raise Better-Prepared Kids

An amazing group that will make you want to be better parents so this doesn’t happen to your kids

By Josh Wolfe
Mossad Sabotage Idea: Turn Iran Missiles Against Itself
SocialMar 28, 2026

Mossad Sabotage Idea: Turn Iran Missiles Against Itself

Wild Would be amazing if Mossad infiltrated Iran’s supply chain of missiles and every time Iran launch they just do a loop and attack Iran Like this

By Josh Wolfe
One Key Reason Drove Lux Capital, Sequoia Investment
SocialMar 27, 2026

One Key Reason Drove Lux Capital, Sequoia Investment

It's one big reason we at @Lux_Capital + our awesome partners at @sequoia + @shaunmmaguire funded them.

By Josh Wolfe
Pilar Queen Becomes UTA Partner, Top Publishing Agent
SocialMar 27, 2026

Pilar Queen Becomes UTA Partner, Top Publishing Agent

Congrats to our bestie Pilar Queen, newly made partner at United Talent Agency @unitedtalent —the best agent hands down in Publishing... https://t.co/8CrAHDcCBj

By Josh Wolfe
Good Intentions Fuel Bad Ideas: Embrace Non‑Human Robot Forms
SocialMar 26, 2026

Good Intentions Fuel Bad Ideas: Embrace Non‑Human Robot Forms

This is how good intentions spread bad ideas. Human shaped robots are inferior to weird evolved droids that do things thru engineering that defy what evolution yielded humans. Why limit to two hands and two legs

By Josh Wolfe
Trump Calms Markets, Buys Time, Pursues Diplomacy and Military Options
SocialMar 24, 2026

Trump Calms Markets, Buys Time, Pursues Diplomacy and Military Options

Lux's @brett_mcgurk current POV: (1) we're only halfway thru stated plan of 4-6 weeks (2) Occam's razor: Trump is calming markets + buying time. He will give diplomacy serious try, while advancing US military + creating more options, and continuing non-power...

By Josh Wolfe
400B Model On-Device: The New Worst Reality
SocialMar 24, 2026

400B Model On-Device: The New Worst Reality

It is happening (on-device inference) this is the worst that on-device inference will ever be 400B model in your pocket

By Josh Wolfe
Democracies Seek Israel's Defensive Tech Against Islamist Threats
SocialMar 23, 2026

Democracies Seek Israel's Defensive Tech Against Islamist Threats

Every democratic civilized country wants Israeli defense technology That technology was developed not to invade or expand—unlike all other conquering, imperial countries in history—but to defend against intolerant Islamist conquest trying to kill Jewish minorities and end Israel

By Josh Wolfe
Covert Info Ops, Not War, Shocked Me After Oct 8
SocialMar 23, 2026

Covert Info Ops, Not War, Shocked Me After Oct 8

what shook + activated me wasn’t the overt horror + terror of Oct 7th in Israel. I had no doubts Israel would win the kinetic war No it was the covert decade+ long-planned insidious infiltration info ops into news, politicians, .edu...

By Josh Wolfe
U.S. Allies Expose Iran's Deception on Nukes, Miss
SocialMar 22, 2026

U.S. Allies Expose Iran's Deception on Nukes, Miss

Iran lied. About uranium. About missiles. About proxies. American + allied defense is truth serum

By Josh Wolfe
Saudi Power Grows as US Secures Bases for Iran War
SocialMar 21, 2026

Saudi Power Grows as US Secures Bases for Iran War

The only way is through. I believe Saudi will be in a power position to help the world with oil and help their own ambition projects and the capital to fund them

By Josh Wolfe
Real-Time Video Generation Will Revolutionize Training Simulations
SocialMar 18, 2026

Real-Time Video Generation Will Revolutionize Training Simulations

I had lunch w @runwayml founder @c_valenzuelab today What he showed me was insane. real-time video generation. this will lead to simulations training simulations.

By Josh Wolfe
AI Excels, yet Still Can’t Learn Like Toddlers
SocialMar 18, 2026

AI Excels, yet Still Can’t Learn Like Toddlers

1/ New paper from @ylecun et al on alternative approach for AI to learn more biologically... paper basically says AI is super smart but still can't learn like a toddler can... the main critique https://t.co/QcHpTmcRbZ

By Josh Wolfe
Twitter Revived: Musk, Bier and Others Defy Predictions
SocialMar 17, 2026

Twitter Revived: Musk, Bier and Others Defy Predictions

remember when everyone said twitter was done, dead? @elonmusk + @nikitabier + many others saved it. it's amazing.

By Josh Wolfe
Nominal Cofounders Secure $80M at $1B Valuation
SocialMar 15, 2026

Nominal Cofounders Secure $80M at $1B Valuation

A big week for @CameronLMcCord + @brycestrauss cofounders of @Nominal_io with $80M raise at $1B led by our super smart partners at @foundersfund

By Josh Wolfe
Autonomous Maritime Defense AI: Next VC Goldmine
SocialMar 15, 2026

Autonomous Maritime Defense AI: Next VC Goldmine

1/ Fully automonous + maritime defense AI Institutional Investor: "Could Be the Next Big Investment Opportunity in Venture Capital... "... https://t.co/NoMGiNKai6

By Josh Wolfe
Variant Bio Hunts Rare Traits For
SocialMar 15, 2026

Variant Bio Hunts Rare Traits For

From a tiny idea in our Lux office to deal after deal... ...@VariantBio finding outlier people, with outlier traits, in outlier parts of the world to make outlier drugs. organ by organ ... https://t.co/I5fK8nzZb4

By Josh Wolfe
Qasar's Power Lies in Private Building, Not Publicity
SocialMar 15, 2026

Qasar's Power Lies in Private Building, Not Publicity

The reason @qasar is one of the most important tech CEOs today is NOT because he built a monster business shrewdly, compounding tech and capital into a cash-flow positive business... but b/c he builds in PRIVATE + rarely speaks in PUBLIC

By Josh Wolfe
Applied Intuition Poised as AI‑physical World Leader
SocialMar 15, 2026

Applied Intuition Poised as AI‑physical World Leader

Lux family co Applied Intuition 🇺🇸 will be one of the largest, most important companeis at the intersection of AI + physical world.

By Josh Wolfe
New Alabama Factory Boosts U.S. Defense Tech
SocialMar 14, 2026

New Alabama Factory Boosts U.S. Defense Tech

we will REINDUSTRIALIZE + win the production war 🇺🇸 less than a year later, we're opening Factory 4 by @HadrianInc in... Alabama making the most cutting-edge American defense tech will be there Fri March 20. can't wait.

By Josh Wolfe
US Maritime Crisis Spurs Bipartisan Push for Lean Dual‑Use Ships
SocialMar 13, 2026

US Maritime Crisis Spurs Bipartisan Push for Lean Dual‑Use Ships

1/ The US maritime base is in crisis A new Whitehouse Maritime Action Plan (MAP) highlights a rare bipartisan truth: rebuilding shipbuilding capacity is natsec priority. the core debate? expensive battleships vs. lean fast dual-use vessels https://t.co/ornn1pqNVC

By Josh Wolfe
AI Will Spawn Human Errand Jobs for Autonomous Agents
SocialMar 13, 2026

AI Will Spawn Human Errand Jobs for Autonomous Agents

one big coming surprise in AI MORE jobs created for people. but with a twist the increase in jobs will be for human taskrabbits running physical world errands (with no context of why they're doing task)... for AI agents working for other humans...

By Josh Wolfe
Edge Inference Will Replace Mega‑data‑center Compute
SocialMar 13, 2026

Edge Inference Will Replace Mega‑data‑center Compute

everyone is saying "there won't be enough compute." I think the opposite the amount of capex being deployed for multi-gigawatt data centers does not make sense why the narrative is going to shift from centralized mega-clusters to localized edge inference...

By Josh Wolfe
Treasury, SEC Crack Down on Fake Charities Funding Terrorists
SocialMar 13, 2026

Treasury, SEC Crack Down on Fake Charities Funding Terrorists

Treasury + @SecScottBessent have intel and are taking action on fake charities that send cash to Islamist terrorists. Hopefully nobody you know has given money to these + others.

By Josh Wolfe
Young Staff Outsmart Outdated Media Oversight Teams
SocialMar 11, 2026

Young Staff Outsmart Outdated Media Oversight Teams

Yup and yup. WTF is wrong with social media oversight functions at large media companies. The young people managing these accounts 100% know what they are doing and know the old people 100% have no idea.

By Josh Wolfe
China Refrains From Detaining Ships Amid US‑Iran Clash
SocialMar 10, 2026

China Refrains From Detaining Ships Amid US‑Iran Clash

“China could have held these vessels at port, imposed an administrative delay, invented a customs hold – any number of bureaucratic tools, but didn’t,” he said, calling the decision notable at a time when the United States and Iran are engaged...

By Josh Wolfe
US and Israel Signal Extended Iran Conflict Through September
SocialMar 9, 2026

US and Israel Signal Extended Iran Conflict Through September

The signal from Washington and Jerusalem is that this runs through September or later— long enough to set expectations, long enough to signal to the Mullahs and IRGC we have staying power in a war of attrition, long enough to buy...

By Josh Wolfe
From Zero to $1B in 3.5 Years: Lux‑Backed Success
SocialMar 5, 2026

From Zero to $1B in 3.5 Years: Lux‑Backed Success

From ZERO to $1B in 3.5 years. We wrote their first check at Lux… Here’s how they did it.

By Josh Wolfe
Bill Gurley Missed Google’s 10,000x Gain, Shares Lessons
SocialFeb 26, 2026

Bill Gurley Missed Google’s 10,000x Gain, Shares Lessons

the amazing story how Bill Gurley @bgurley passed on Google––and missed a 10,000x return🤯 i think he'll be all right. And you will too if you read his new book 🔖"Runnin' Down a Dream"... https://t.co/fiRcxsWair

By Josh Wolfe
Early Belief Fuels Tiny Startups Into Big Success
SocialFeb 23, 2026

Early Belief Fuels Tiny Startups Into Big Success

there will be MANY minnows that become VERY successful firms we at Lux once had a few $ M 1st fund from 1 amazing person who believed in us (a pledge fund) + then a $100M second fund that we couldnt...

By Josh Wolfe
Xi Signals: Move From SaaS to Hard Tech
SocialFeb 5, 2026

Xi Signals: Move From SaaS to Hard Tech

1/ 2+ years ago I advised the shift from SaaS to Hard Tech Why? Because I saw a signal. It wasn't from Buffett. It was from Xi Jinping. He signaled software was done + aerospace, defense, biotech + hardware was next.

By Josh Wolfe
From MEMS Startup to $7.5B TI Acquisition
SocialFeb 4, 2026

From MEMS Startup to $7.5B TI Acquisition

Over 15yrs ago Lux partner @Farshchi and I worked close with Lux family co Silicon Clocks (MEMS resonators on CMOS circuits for timing products) thru their sale to Silicon Labs… Today Silicon Labs got acquired by Texas Instruments for $7.5B

By Josh Wolfe
AI Secretly Powering Darren Aronofsky's Latest Film
SocialJan 29, 2026

AI Secretly Powering Darren Aronofsky's Latest Film

My friend Darren Aronofsky texted me this earlier and my draw dropped. He told me it was AI. Lux is deeply invested in AI (esp @runwayml) but had he not told me I would have thought he made the movie...

By Josh Wolfe
Variant Bio Launches $200M‑plus Pharma Collaborations with New Platform
SocialJan 6, 2026

Variant Bio Launches $200M‑plus Pharma Collaborations with New Platform

1/ Big news today from Lux family co Variant Bio 🧬📈@VariantBio Announced its new Inference platform is now available to research partners + has collaborations with several pharmaceutical companies in deals totaling more than $200 million including Boehringer + Novo...

By Josh Wolfe
US Investors: Back Iran’s Emerging Tech Talent
SocialJan 3, 2026

US Investors: Back Iran’s Emerging Tech Talent

If YOU are American🇺🇸 (need not be Iranian or Persian) investor, family office, asset manager and interested in funding technologists, engineers, entrepreneurs when Iran is free and talented is and opportunity is unleashed…. Leave a comment below 👇

By Josh Wolfe
Lux Funds Frontier; Others Waste on Quantum Hype
SocialDec 18, 2025

Lux Funds Frontier; Others Waste on Quantum Hype

1000%. From my partner @Farshchi Lux funds the frontier but some people are funding really stupid shit including Quantum and Photonic compute (photonic interconnect and data relay makes good sense, not compute) nor data centers in space for terrestrial use

By Josh Wolfe