Kris Abdelmessih

Kris Abdelmessih

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Options/vol practitioner and writer; focuses on convexity, risk, and options trade structuring.

Portfolio Thrives on Chaos, Not Just Individual Edges
SocialFeb 18, 2026

Portfolio Thrives on Chaos, Not Just Individual Edges

One more tweet as I've been procrastinating this am. This short exchange actually captures a lot of how I think about a portfolio when you roll it up to a high level. Trading your little edges but the portfolio wants...

By Kris Abdelmessih
TSLA $365 Drop Represents 1‑
SocialFeb 18, 2026

TSLA $365 Drop Represents 1‑

Using a 40% vol for TSLA, the stock dropping to $365 by March expiry is about a 1 st dev move. If normal distrubution the fair odds for that are 5-1. The 370-365 ps offers 5.7-1 It's not a rec...

By Kris Abdelmessih
Oil's High Risk Premium Clashes With Market Near-Highs
SocialFeb 18, 2026

Oil's High Risk Premium Clashes With Market Near-Highs

Oil has a big risk premium in it in terms of vol and skew. Meanwhile SPUs, IWM, VXUS all near ATHs Feels like a tense contradiction. https://t.co/6lmCdFZUnm

By Kris Abdelmessih