Best Trades Emerge From Consolidation, Not Chasing Tape
The Sunday Stalk List | Ep. 43 Market is Catching It's Breath The tape is in a good place but it's not a tape to chase. Build the list, define your risk, and let the setups come to you. The best entries are born in consolidations like this one. https://t.co/1MaRZIfxWn
XLK Dominates While XLE and XLP Lead
$XLK - What A Monster..... Masked the fact that the other two leading sectors this week were $XLE and $XLP https://t.co/niSKEGw6eD
Align Your Chart's Timeframe with Your Trading Process
No one is going to care more about your process than you. Align your chart with the time frame you're trading. That's step one.
IGV Chart Doesn’t Justify a Strong Opinion
$IGV - Zoomed out view..... I don't see a need to have an overly strong opinion based on this chart. https://t.co/BuleENVJwC
S&P 1500% Above 20-Day MA, Bullish Breadth Yet Caution
S&P 1500 % Above 20 Day Moving Averages Breadth Extended is bullish but something to be aware of over the short term. https://t.co/kPUlVPbf4j
Define Risk Levels and Swing With Market Rally
$SPY - Many people freeze when the market rallies. You don't have to be that smart - define some risk levels and swing the bat. Former ATH AVWAP Gap AVWAP Horizontal Breakout Level The markets on offense...why aren't you? https://t.co/hdZ2k8jD8d
Most SPY Stocks Near New Highs, Expect Surge
$SPY - Messing with some data this morning. Fun Breadth Facts.... 124 Stocks within 5% of New Highs 10 Stocks Within 5% of New Lows We could see an explosion in new highs very soon...
Trade Inside a Roth for Tax‑Free Gains
*Not Tax Advice* But if you are truly that good at trading - look into doing it inside a Roth.
Buy Early, Not When the Coast Is Clear
I've been fiddling with a lot of back testing recently. It's a fools errand to wait until the "coast is clear" to get long the market overtime. You need to define a system that allow you to "hold your nose...
Market Reclaims ATH AVWAPs, Ideal for Long Management
Idk the future - I do know A LOT of areas of the market are back above their former ATH AVWAPs and they serve as great levels to manage long positions against.
Improving Breadth Isn’t the Same as Achieving Strong Breadth
Improving breadth is different than strong breadth.... Breadth is improving but it's far from strong. https://t.co/jhcybGcDj4
Bulls Return: SPY Gains Signal Bull Market Revival
$SPY - The Sunday Stalk List | Ep. 41 The Bulls are Back In The Ring https://t.co/A64JrtLll6
XLK RSI Signals Bearish Range Capped Near 60
$XLK - RSI regime analysis points out a bearish range topping out around 60......we shall see.... https://t.co/gwSV7XMr1T
KBE Displays Classic, Common Chart Setup Today
$KBE - Went through a lot of charts this morning... This is a very common setup... https://t.co/CuzFyU3Ijk
SMH Rockets From Collapse to All‑Time High in Week
$SMH - From Failed Breakdown to All Time Highs in a week. Ricky Bobby Level Shake N Bake for Semis.... https://t.co/7WTLTI8n0f
Energy ETF Rebounds, Narrowing Gap with SPY
$XLE vs. $SPY - Good to see energy giving back some relative performance.... Wrote a little bit about this two weeks ago if you missed it. https://t.co/p4Mh0JYSAb
We Settle for Small Pleasures, Ignoring Infinite Joy
“It would seem that Our Lord finds our desires not too strong, but too weak. We are half-hearted creatures, fooling about with drink and sex and ambition when infinite joy is offered us, like an ignorant child who wants to...
Christ's Sacrifice Grants Us Unearned Righteousness
Happy GOOD Friday Christ takes the penalty we deserved, so we receive the righteousness we didn’t earn. John 19:30 …”it is finished”…
20‑day MA Below 200‑day Signals Confirmed Downtrend
$SPY - It doesn't need to be overly complicated but a 20 day MA crossing below the 200 day ma is just a very simple downtrend confirmation. FYI - Downtrends are not bullish developments. https://t.co/NuNLLKNEHD
Spotting Fakeout Breakdowns in Oversold Uptrends
$ITA - Oversold within the context of a longer term uptrend with "fakeout" breakdown and well defined risk. These type(s) of setups are my focus.... https://t.co/tJ1TzyF04C
Don’t Wait for Confirmation—Catch Sharp V‑Bottoms Early
Waiting for trend confirmation misses sharp “V” bottoms - using a system that compliments trend confirmation is in the interest of most. *if it doesn’t work you get stopped out - the world doesn’t end….
XLI Offers Cleaner Bottom-Pick Than XLK
I see a cleaner "bottom picking" poker hand in $XLI than $XLK at the moment. https://t.co/oSKinqKxVM
SPY Rebounds From Oversold, Signaling Bullish Momentum
$SPY - The reversion from oversold is happening. FYI - That's the bullish part...oversold isn't. https://t.co/CavnAyx1jq
Picking a Few Uptrend Stocks Isn’t that Simple
“Just buy the 30 out of 5,000 stocks that are in uptrends….its easy” FYI - you can just make shit up on this app and pretend everything is easy. https://t.co/JxSJEzo4im
Tariffs Aren't Numbers to Rewrite; Wars Aren't Simple
Tariffs were made up numbers said out loud. It’s pretty easy to TACO your way out of those. I’m not a rocket scientist, but wars and energy conflicts are not numbers on a posterboard you can just erase and rewrite.
Tech's Relative Strength Reemerges, Says XLK Veteran
$XLK - I'm old enough to remember the "tech is showing relative strength here crowd" from like two weeks ago. https://t.co/i4FCxx0Mkf
Data Shows Downside Risk Despite Bottom‑Seeking Optimism
$SPY - With data - you find what you look for...many are looking for "the bottom is close" and "this is capitulation" so they are finding it (SHOCKING). But PLENTY of data is saying we have plenty of room to...
Not Every Bottom Fits the Trendy V Shape
I’m old enough to remember not every bottom being a “V” bottom. This just doesn’t smell like a “tweet and rip” bottom. *would love to be wrong*
Energy Sector Rally: XLE Climbs Higher
$XLE - For the person living under a rock but has their twitter feed open. Energy is going up.... Follow along for more of my cutting edge insights.... https://t.co/HBD1aPInUX
Market Bottom Unlikely This Month, Likely in 2‑6 Months
Did a lot of tinkering this morning with backtests. Takeaway? Bottom not likely in the next month - much more likely in 2-6.
Investors Distract Over “Trump Taco” Amid Market Decline
$SPY - Ok - let's think for a minute... Why are people talking about a "Trump Taco" when the market is a ~9% drawdown? Last time he waited until we were in roughly a 20% drawdown? Changing a tariff rate is also...
Live at 5pm ET: How to Spot Market Bottoms
I'll be going live at 5pm ET Talking through my process for spotting a stock market bottom. Tune in! https://t.co/wEveAsmn98
S&P 500 Bounce Matches Chart Line—Pure Coincidence
YES - the S&P 500 "bouncing" today at one of the 700 lines you have drawn on the chart....is just a coincidence.
Oversold Doesn't Signal Bullishness; No Reversion Yet
Oversold is NOT Bullish. The REVERSION from Oversold is (can be). *FYI - We have no reversion (yet).
Seeking Charts That Disprove Market Breakdown
$EQWL - What's NOT confirming the breakdown taking place in the market? Honestly - share some charts with me. *Note - I don't want to see some really creative relative ratio chart* https://t.co/iVgMBmPQWM
Using AVWAP to Manage Puts and Hedge Positions
$IBIT - I know it's a messy looking chart...but this is how I'm managing my puts (noted yesterday). Get above that AVWAP - ill close it. *Also functioning as a hedge against my $IGV and $COIN positions. https://t.co/pSBzB90JwN
Most Sectors Missed Breakouts; only Energy Holds
So many important areas of the market have failed their breakouts....if you use intermarket analysis...why would the assumption be small caps won't? We have no confirmation from anywhere else in the market it would? Energy(ish) stocks literally the only area of the...
A/D Line Misleads: Counts Moves, Ignores Severity
The A/D line is my least favorite breadth metric… but it’s still one I look at. The main issue I have with it is that it doesn’t capture the severity of moves. It simply counts up vs down. So if 100 stocks are...
Energy Sector Shines While Rest of Market Falters
$XLE - I know I've been posting a lot of "bearish" type charts. Fun Fact - I'm Bullish Energy Fun Fact - It makes up ~3% of the S&P 500 It's only the other 97% that doesn't look good. NBD.... https://t.co/KFRYNMe8KS
Sunday Stalk List: Spotting the Market Bounce
The Sunday Stalk List | Ep. 40 This Week’s Theme: The "Bounce" Check out the charts I'm Stalking 👇 https://t.co/F52ws0GUdA
Tech's Top Stock Stays Calm Despite Bearish RSI
$XLK - I don't like seeing the largest component of the market getting comfortable with it's RSI being in a bearish regime..... https://t.co/0TYPtYcK5X
SPY Downtrend Confirmed by Weak Momentum and Breadth
$SPY - Sustained uptrends don't tend to see this weak of momentum AND breadth..... Another way to say it - the recent downside price action is being confirmed by momentum and breadth breakdown..... https://t.co/EykTASoZSL
XLP's Counterpunches Forming, Patience Required
$XLP - The counterpunches are setting up....just need to see them land...then we need follow through...it won't all happen in one day... https://t.co/ifxmmTsGDK
Big‑cap Declines Dwarf Oversold Breadth Signals
$MAGS - Those oversold breadth signals won't matter much for the S&P 500 if the big dawgs breakdown (more)..... https://t.co/fQaJD4av6D
Bullish Patterns Faltering; Buttcorn Might Defy Trend
$IBIT - The vast majority of bullish patterns in the market are failing....we think Buttcorn is any different? https://t.co/v2yMsKEZXL
Amazon Faces Textbook Rejection; Bearish Technical Signals
$AMZN - Textbook rejection near the 200 day and ATH AVWAP coupled with RSI 50 chokeslam.... Not bullish.... https://t.co/4K3nbm9EM3
Data Says Patience; Trading Activity Can Mislead
The data dictates the posture. The work is still being done. I’m still reviewing hundreds of charts every week. Breadth, leadership, sector rotation, relative strength, all of it. But the message of what to do has changed. For some reason, people tend to equate...
Weakening Breadth Signals Deteriorating Market Momentum
Ok...let's do some thinking this morning. The "Bull Case" was breadth being strong. The "Bear Case" was Momentum, Risk On vs. Risk Off, Credit Spreads, Defensive Leadership.... Now breadth has weakened and the other variables have only gotten worse.....
Friday Bounce Expected, but Follow‑through Remains Uncertain
Talked about this Friday....not the place to short the market...the bounce is expected the real question is do we get follow through.... https://t.co/kcrLhvuPuA
Bears Deliver Punches, Bulls Take the Hit
The Sunday Stalk List | Ep. 39 Punches were landed this week, and not by the bulls.. https://t.co/JwYFveywfv