SPY Rebounds From Oversold, Signaling Bullish Momentum
$SPY - The reversion from oversold is happening. FYI - That's the bullish part...oversold isn't. https://t.co/CavnAyx1jq
Picking a Few Uptrend Stocks Isn’t that Simple
“Just buy the 30 out of 5,000 stocks that are in uptrends….its easy” FYI - you can just make shit up on this app and pretend everything is easy. https://t.co/JxSJEzo4im
Tariffs Aren't Numbers to Rewrite; Wars Aren't Simple
Tariffs were made up numbers said out loud. It’s pretty easy to TACO your way out of those. I’m not a rocket scientist, but wars and energy conflicts are not numbers on a posterboard you can just erase and rewrite.
Tech's Relative Strength Reemerges, Says XLK Veteran
$XLK - I'm old enough to remember the "tech is showing relative strength here crowd" from like two weeks ago. https://t.co/i4FCxx0Mkf
Data Shows Downside Risk Despite Bottom‑Seeking Optimism
$SPY - With data - you find what you look for...many are looking for "the bottom is close" and "this is capitulation" so they are finding it (SHOCKING). But PLENTY of data is saying we have plenty of room to...
Not Every Bottom Fits the Trendy V Shape
I’m old enough to remember not every bottom being a “V” bottom. This just doesn’t smell like a “tweet and rip” bottom. *would love to be wrong*
Energy Sector Rally: XLE Climbs Higher
$XLE - For the person living under a rock but has their twitter feed open. Energy is going up.... Follow along for more of my cutting edge insights.... https://t.co/HBD1aPInUX
Market Bottom Unlikely This Month, Likely in 2‑6 Months
Did a lot of tinkering this morning with backtests. Takeaway? Bottom not likely in the next month - much more likely in 2-6.
Investors Distract Over “Trump Taco” Amid Market Decline
$SPY - Ok - let's think for a minute... Why are people talking about a "Trump Taco" when the market is a ~9% drawdown? Last time he waited until we were in roughly a 20% drawdown? Changing a tariff rate is also...
Live at 5pm ET: How to Spot Market Bottoms
I'll be going live at 5pm ET Talking through my process for spotting a stock market bottom. Tune in! https://t.co/wEveAsmn98
S&P 500 Bounce Matches Chart Line—Pure Coincidence
YES - the S&P 500 "bouncing" today at one of the 700 lines you have drawn on the chart....is just a coincidence.
Oversold Doesn't Signal Bullishness; No Reversion Yet
Oversold is NOT Bullish. The REVERSION from Oversold is (can be). *FYI - We have no reversion (yet).
Seeking Charts That Disprove Market Breakdown
$EQWL - What's NOT confirming the breakdown taking place in the market? Honestly - share some charts with me. *Note - I don't want to see some really creative relative ratio chart* https://t.co/iVgMBmPQWM
Using AVWAP to Manage Puts and Hedge Positions
$IBIT - I know it's a messy looking chart...but this is how I'm managing my puts (noted yesterday). Get above that AVWAP - ill close it. *Also functioning as a hedge against my $IGV and $COIN positions. https://t.co/pSBzB90JwN
Most Sectors Missed Breakouts; only Energy Holds
So many important areas of the market have failed their breakouts....if you use intermarket analysis...why would the assumption be small caps won't? We have no confirmation from anywhere else in the market it would? Energy(ish) stocks literally the only area of the...
A/D Line Misleads: Counts Moves, Ignores Severity
The A/D line is my least favorite breadth metric… but it’s still one I look at. The main issue I have with it is that it doesn’t capture the severity of moves. It simply counts up vs down. So if 100 stocks are...
Energy Sector Shines While Rest of Market Falters
$XLE - I know I've been posting a lot of "bearish" type charts. Fun Fact - I'm Bullish Energy Fun Fact - It makes up ~3% of the S&P 500 It's only the other 97% that doesn't look good. NBD.... https://t.co/KFRYNMe8KS
Sunday Stalk List: Spotting the Market Bounce
The Sunday Stalk List | Ep. 40 This Week’s Theme: The "Bounce" Check out the charts I'm Stalking 👇 https://t.co/F52ws0GUdA
Tech's Top Stock Stays Calm Despite Bearish RSI
$XLK - I don't like seeing the largest component of the market getting comfortable with it's RSI being in a bearish regime..... https://t.co/0TYPtYcK5X
SPY Downtrend Confirmed by Weak Momentum and Breadth
$SPY - Sustained uptrends don't tend to see this weak of momentum AND breadth..... Another way to say it - the recent downside price action is being confirmed by momentum and breadth breakdown..... https://t.co/EykTASoZSL
XLP's Counterpunches Forming, Patience Required
$XLP - The counterpunches are setting up....just need to see them land...then we need follow through...it won't all happen in one day... https://t.co/ifxmmTsGDK
Big‑cap Declines Dwarf Oversold Breadth Signals
$MAGS - Those oversold breadth signals won't matter much for the S&P 500 if the big dawgs breakdown (more)..... https://t.co/fQaJD4av6D
Bullish Patterns Faltering; Buttcorn Might Defy Trend
$IBIT - The vast majority of bullish patterns in the market are failing....we think Buttcorn is any different? https://t.co/v2yMsKEZXL
Amazon Faces Textbook Rejection; Bearish Technical Signals
$AMZN - Textbook rejection near the 200 day and ATH AVWAP coupled with RSI 50 chokeslam.... Not bullish.... https://t.co/4K3nbm9EM3
Data Says Patience; Trading Activity Can Mislead
The data dictates the posture. The work is still being done. I’m still reviewing hundreds of charts every week. Breadth, leadership, sector rotation, relative strength, all of it. But the message of what to do has changed. For some reason, people tend to equate...
Weakening Breadth Signals Deteriorating Market Momentum
Ok...let's do some thinking this morning. The "Bull Case" was breadth being strong. The "Bear Case" was Momentum, Risk On vs. Risk Off, Credit Spreads, Defensive Leadership.... Now breadth has weakened and the other variables have only gotten worse.....
Friday Bounce Expected, but Follow‑through Remains Uncertain
Talked about this Friday....not the place to short the market...the bounce is expected the real question is do we get follow through.... https://t.co/kcrLhvuPuA
Bears Deliver Punches, Bulls Take the Hit
The Sunday Stalk List | Ep. 39 Punches were landed this week, and not by the bulls.. https://t.co/JwYFveywfv
Most Charts Look Messy, yet S&P So
Stair Stepper and Ripping Through The S&P 500. Overwhelming majority of charts are messy. https://t.co/981sGtJSOu
Nearly All Equal‑Weight SPY Sectors Slip Over 1%
No Place To Hide.... 10 of the 11 Equal Weight $SPY sectors were down this week. 9 of 11 down more than 1%...... https://t.co/tpTJaIDGL3
Energy Outperformance Makes S&P 500 Returns Volatile
$XLE vs. $SPY - Forward returns for the S&P 500 pretty bumpy when energy is outperforming this much.... https://t.co/Cp4GQFvRq3
RSPD vs RSPS: Repeating Patterns of Range and Breakdowns
$RSPD vs. $RSPS - So Many charts look like this..... Annoying range.... Failed Breakout..... Successful Breakdown.... Messy Action Below the 200 Day..... https://t.co/uh2qn4kI15
Live at 5 PM EST: Market Update & Buy List
Going live at 5pm EST to talk through the market and my current buy list. Tune in! https://t.co/kyw8OTU9MP
Stocks Hold, Yet RSP Faces Worst Week Since 2025
"Stock's are holding up well" ...... $RSP having it's worst week since March 2025..... https://t.co/EEZWRGi6w7
Stocks Suffering, Software Masks QQQ Decline
It's not cherry picking season yet Andrew..."Market of stocks" is getting smoked and software (part that's already gotten smoked) is masking that in the $QQQs. Trailing 5 day performance using a more intellectually honest view of the market. *insert 3 snarky...
Defensive Leadership Erodes Breadth; Demand Real Bullish
Defensive leadership getting smashed which will erode those "breadth" metrics.... But please...cherry pick some bullish stuff for me.... *Note - Dogshit stocks rallying doesn't count.
Beware of Hype‑driven Breakouts and Silent Failures
$XLV - Failed breakout...annoying.... I would avoid those who share the breakouts - then go radio silent when they fail. It's called intellectual dishonesty... https://t.co/OK82rfxZZU
Play the Odds, Not Crystal‑ball Predictions
I’m dumb. Idk $COIN would be up ~50% from its low. I knew the poker hand was good so I played it. Now we set a trailing stop and move on. Poker Hands > Crystal Balls
Defensive Tilt Masks Weakness in Tech, Financials, Discretionary
$SPY - The part that's tough for me is the defensive tilt that's taken place this year in the S&P 500. It's easier to "ignore" these days as "event driven" etc. when that isn't the case but with $XLK, $XLF,...
Stats Without Context Provide No Value
$SPY - Sideways price action cuts both ways... Yes - "Only XYZ % from New Highs" but also now this move puts us at new 3 month lows. People yelling stats without context are not doing analysis and analysis is the...
Relative Strength Fails Spectacularly on Extreme Market Days
You can punch the "look for relative strength" people right in the face on days like today.
Using AVWAP High as Stop for NUKZ Breakout
$NUKZ - Watching the nuclear...honestly don't mind jumping the breakout using the former AVWAP high as my stop. https://t.co/pCzEAhWYxc
SYPG vs SPYV: Growth‑Value Split, But Silly Composition
$SYPG vs. $SPYV - Growth vs. Value One to pay attention too but to be honest - the makeup of these are kinda silly. https://t.co/oomWnQN9LD
Messy “Sexy” Sectors Falter; “Boring” ETFs Shine
The Stock Market Right Now The sexy are messy - $XLK $XLY $XLF The boring are beautiful - $XLV $XLB $XLE $XLP $XLI
Live at 5 PM: 20–30 Charts in 20 Minutes
Going live at 5pm EST ALL GAS NO BRAKES | Ep. 8 20 Charts in 20 Minutes *Might be like 30 charts in 20 Minutes to be honest... https://t.co/SPjwNgI1wH
Co‑CEO’s Energy Background Highlights Top Market Themes
$OWL - Co-CEO was a "Global Head of Energy and Infrastructure" two of the literal best trades / themes in the market right now......🤨 https://t.co/0BlIXTjHJX
AVWAPs and 200
Good chart. Can also lump a couple key AVWAPs and 200 week moving average as confluence around this area.
Prioritize Risk Management Over Bottom‑Fishing Strategies
Bottom fishing gets a bad rap. Define your risk and swing the bat. Failed breakouts tend to have very large drawdowns just like failed bottoms. Risk Management > Everything Else
Healthcare Split: Favor IHE Over IHF
No reason to own healthcare outright. Such a bifurcated sector of the market. $IHE > $IHF
Follow Prices, Stay Opinion‑Free: A Liberating Approach
You can follow price and not have an opinion. It’s pretty neat and freeing. Highly Recommend.
