Lia Holmgren
Trader/author posting momentum and flow commentary across equities and crypto with tactical risk framing.
All‑In Commitment Drives Success at Every Age
I grinded in my early 20’s and bought and renovated 14 apartments. In my early 30’s and built my career, got my undergrad and grad school and made life changing money. I’m grinding now in my early 40’s to built financial app and product that will be excellent. Each time it was 100 hours a week work and super focus. It’s simple. You are full in or you aren’t. You're 10/10 or 5/10. Your choice.
Fast Oil Rallies Can Unwind Quickly, Watch Profit Taking
$OXY didn’t rally by accident… it rode the wave 🌊 Elevated oil prices + geopolitical tension = fuel for a massive move. But now? $USOIL just dropped -12% $OXY still sitting +53% YTD That disconnect doesn’t last forever. Smart money knows: What goes up fast… can unwind...
Misinformation Swirls as Iran Denies Strait of Hormuz Traffic
How long will this last? The misinformation around this conflict is crazy. First ships were passing through strait of Hormuz; now Iran saying they aren’t. 😵🙄
Falling TDEX Signals Market Complacency Amid Crash Bets
The tail risk index (TDEX) is a measure to understand the cost of protection against a possible crash as it shows the implied volatility of far OTM puts of SPX. Currently is heading lower giving us a confirmation of complacency...
Not Every Green Candle Means a True Rally
They’re calling this a Bitcoin rally… 👀 Let’s be real for a second. Not every green candle = a rally. Sometimes it’s: • Short covering • Low liquidity • A simple bounce But calling it a “rally”? That’s how traders get trapped. Language matters. Precision matters. Don’t let narratives make...
Hold Off Buying MSFT Until It Falls Below $360
I put it in writing on Feb 9. No buys on $MSFT until it bleeds into $380–$360. Why? Liquidity doesn’t disappear. It gets taken. Now we’re under the 200 WMA. Right on schedule. And suddenly—news drops. AI. Nuclear. NVDA. The usual lifeline when things start slipping. This is...
Inflation, ECB Hikes, and Gold Dip Buying Explored
This morning on @asharqbusiness discussing inflation, ECB rate hikes, buying the dip on gold and other macroeconomic data. 📊
Ethereum Supply Tightening Signals Upcoming Demand Surge
Are you paying attention to $ETH? 30% of supply is locked. Whales are accumulating. Exchange supply is shrinking. Now ask yourself: What happens when demand steps in? This is how supply shocks are built. Quietly. Gradually. Then all at once. Most people react to the move. Few position before...
Geopolitics Trigger Bitcoin’s Wild Swing From $68K to $71K
Bitcoin Rollercoaster Day 🚀📉🔥 • BTC dumped below $68K on Iran–US tension 😬 • Trump hits pause on strikes for 5 days 🇺🇸➡️🇮🇷 • Markets go wild — Bitcoin blasts back above $71K 🤯💥 That’s the crypto world for you. Blink and you miss...
Scanner Caught AXTI Momentum Weeks Before Move
Why AXTI? Our scanner flagged momentum WEEKS before the move. 🔎📈 Volume spike + tightening range + multi-timeframe confirmation = setup we trust. We got in early, managed risk, and let the trend run. Want the scan rules? Drop a comment or...
Key Forces Shaping Global Economy Ahead of March FOMC
A few moments from my recent interview with Asharq Business اقتصاد الشرق 🎙️ We discussed some of the key topics shaping today’s global economic landscape — inflation, oil prices, geopolitical tensions, and the upcoming FOMC meeting on March 18th. Grateful for the...