Liz Ann Sonders
Chief Investment Strategist (Schwab); macro/markets strategist who often discusses policy, cycles, and implications for currencies/commodities.
Silver Breakout Confirms Ongoing Bull Market
Silver broke out from a five-decade-old pattern in November, signaling that a powerful bull market is underway, and that is still true despite the recent correction.
Iran Conflict Spikes Oil, Fuels Inflation, Stalls Rate Cuts
The war in Iran has set off a chain of events, with soaring oil prices driving higher inflation expectations, lower rate cut odds, and a pullback in precious metals.
Triangle Breakout Could Propel Gold to $7k, Silver $150
Another triangle pattern is currently forming in gold, silver, and other precious metals, and if it breaks out, we could see gold surge to $6,000 to $7,000 fairly quickly and silver to $150+.
US Market Shows Technical Breakdown Amid Bubble Fears
The U.S. stock market is showing numerous signs of a technical breakdown, which is alarming given the bubble conditions of recent years.
Money Supply Surge Keeps Precious Metals Bull Market Early
The U.S. money supply has soared nearly 5x since 2000, pushing the cost of living significantly higher — yet most people still prefer dollars over gold & silver. That means the precious metals bull market is still very young,
Atlanta Fed GDPNow Now at 3.7% Q4 2025
GDPNow model (a “nowcast,” not a forecast) from @AtlantaFed down to +3.7% q/q annualized for 4Q2025 https://t.co/NKqC4jdaL0
December Retail Sales Stall at 0%, Missing Forecast
December retail sales 0% vs. +0.4% est. & +0.6% prior; control group -0.1% vs. +0.2% prior (rev down from +0.4%); ex-autos 0% vs. +0.4% prior (rev down from +0.5%) https://t.co/BbJwHL35ne
Small Business Optimism Falls, Uncertainty Rises
January @NFIB Small Business Optimism Index down to 99.3 vs. 99.8 est. & 99.5 prior … net % of respondents expecting a better economy ticked down to 21%; percentage saying it’s a good time to expand rose to 15%; uncertainty...
U.S. Large Caps Lead Inflows; High‑Yield Bonds Lose Ground
U.S. large caps dominated inflows last week, followed by global equities and consumer cyclicals ... high yield bonds saw most outflows, but broader fixed income universe was still positive @DataArbor https://t.co/l0soXmQF4S
Household Pessimism on Finances Rises, Stays Elevated
Share of households expecting to be in a worse financial situation a year from now ticked up in January and has been elevated over past year per @NewYorkFed https://t.co/fGqXylhwzD
Nearly 42% Expect Rising Unemployment, Survey Shows
Consumers still showing concerns over labor market, with average of nearly 42% expecting higher unemployment in next year per January @NewYorkFed survey https://t.co/ykN7Bdc2C0
Energy Sector Outpaces S&P 500 by 19 Points.
Quarter-to-date, Energy sector is outpacing S&P 500 by nearly 19 percentage points … best since first quarter of 2022 and one of best performance spreads (as of now) since 2000 [Past performance is no guarantee of future results] https://t.co/1vvb9Qf0Mh
Consumers' 1‑Year Inflation Expectation Drops to 3.09%
Per @NewYorkFed survey, as of January, consumers’ median 1y inflation expectations moved down to 3.09% https://t.co/y6Jab93CyT
All Major S&P Indices Hit Records, Dow Tops 50,000
S&P 500 Equal Weight, S&P MidCap 400, and S&P SmallCap 600 all hit records on Friday, and so did Dow, which also surpassed 50,000 level for first time ever Friday; although Dow is almost 130 years old, it has evolved over decades ensuring...
Value Soars, Growth Falters; Dividends Rise, Momentum Flat
Flight to value was unmistakable last week in factors; S&P 500 Pure Value +4.0%, while S&P 500 Growth slumped 2.1%; yield-seeking behavior also dominant theme, with S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats and Dow Jones U.S. Select Dividend index +3.5% and +3.3% respectively; Momentum (powerful driver in past several...
