Mark Newton, CMT

Mark Newton, CMT

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Head of Technical Strategy (Fundstrat/independent); tactical views on U.S. indices and leading sectors.

Software Leads, Growth Falters, Confirming Market Peak
SocialApr 8, 2026

Software Leads, Growth Falters, Confirming Market Peak

Growth had turned down sharply vs. Value last October while Software had gotten a headstart on the recent turbulence throughout March. This breakdown in R3k breadth was one of many things that gave a pretty clear signal into late...

By Mark Newton, CMT
WTI and Dollar Set for Sharp Drop, Rebound Looms
SocialApr 8, 2026

WTI and Dollar Set for Sharp Drop, Rebound Looms

There were quite a number of factors that suggested WTI and the US Dollar were on the verge of a big plunge which coupled with recent market breadth improvement & cyclical low possibilities in early April, pointed to a rebound...

By Mark Newton, CMT
Semiconductor Equipment Stocks Rebound After Brief SOX Dip
SocialApr 8, 2026

Semiconductor Equipment Stocks Rebound After Brief SOX Dip

FormFactor $FORM joins a number of Semis & Semi-Cap Eqpt stocks which have begun to strengthen again meaningfully after $SOX recent breakdown attempt proved short-lived. @marketsurge @IBDinvestors charts found here: https://t.co/vmgJqlzgJC https://t.co/2E6uI606EH

By Mark Newton, CMT
Lumentum Soars, Remains Top Telco‑Fiber Optics Performer
SocialApr 1, 2026

Lumentum Soars, Remains Top Telco‑Fiber Optics Performer

After more than doubling from last Oct into Jan & then moving up more than 2x again from Jan into Feb, Lumentum Hldgs $LITE continues to trade like a real Rock star even during this recent market turmoil @IBDinvestors @marketsurge Its...

By Mark Newton, CMT
Semis Break Support, Software Slides, QQQ Near Bottom
SocialMar 30, 2026

Semis Break Support, Software Slides, QQQ Near Bottom

"Semis" cracked support of its 4-mth H&S today which i spoke about a bit last week but bears repeating. While $QQQ getting closer to support, this is notable short-term headwind as Software has roundtripped from Feb while $SMH and...

By Mark Newton, CMT
NVDA Drop Threatens Tech, Watch SMH Support Level
SocialMar 27, 2026

NVDA Drop Threatens Tech, Watch SMH Support Level

$NVDA breakdown problematic for Tech as Equal-weighted Tech ETF $RSPT also violated support today @IBDinvestors @marketsurge New charts like below found here: https://t.co/XW54gpjWXm While this might find strong support initially near 160-3, it will be important for SMH to hold 370. ...

By Mark Newton, CMT
SPX Nears Downside Target as Crypto Hits New Lows
SocialMar 27, 2026

SPX Nears Downside Target as Crypto Hits New Lows

This isn't a new call, but i had a nice discussion w/ James Connor who hosts Bloor Street Capital earlier this week, & here's a small snippet. $SPX now getting closer to initial downside target for early...

By Mark Newton, CMT
META's Bounce Fails, Trend Break Signals Downside Risk
SocialMar 26, 2026

META's Bounce Fails, Trend Break Signals Downside Risk

The rolling nature of $META recent bounce attempts from last Nov proved important & negative from a Wave perspective & many were surprised to see the volatility on the undercut of $600 YESTERDAY. @IBDinvestors @Marketsurge charts here: https://t.co/XW54gpjWXm This specifically...

By Mark Newton, CMT
Fertilizer Stocks Set for Quick Support
SocialMar 24, 2026

Fertilizer Stocks Set for Quick Support

$CF pullback likely could find support sooner than later on minor weakness following recent breakout & ongoing strong momentum in many Fertilizer names Goldman saying Hormuz might take another 3-4 weeks could continue to help the Ags @IBDinvestors @marketsurge https://t.co/jUpRKjmJBk

By Mark Newton, CMT
SMH Nears Critical $374 Threshold Amid Tech Weakness
SocialMar 20, 2026

SMH Nears Critical $374 Threshold Amid Tech Weakness

$SMH (VanEck Semi ETF) in focus as many parts of Tech have begun to wobble a bit while QQQ just undercut last Nov lows. @IBDinvestors @marketsurge While still in consolidation here, any weekly close under $374 would be problematic...

By Mark Newton, CMT
Copper Prices Slump as Yields Rise, FCX Near $50
SocialMar 18, 2026

Copper Prices Slump as Yields Rise, FCX Near $50

Breakdown in COMEX Copper joins Gold, Silver and Platinum in weakening as real yields turn back higher and Bund yields on the verge of a major multi-year breakout @IBDinvestors Investors Business Daily @marketsurge charts of Freeport McMoran $FCX fell also to...

By Mark Newton, CMT
Equities Poised to Rebound as Oil Steadies, Yields Dip
SocialMar 18, 2026

Equities Poised to Rebound as Oil Steadies, Yields Dip

While Equities have been able to bounce as WTI has shown a mild rollover (and this likely continues for 2-3 more days) along w/ US Dollar, Yields pulling back, the broader pattern should still allow for an eventual push back...

By Mark Newton, CMT
Optical Stocks Surge While NVDA Stalls, Watch Next Week
SocialMar 18, 2026

Optical Stocks Surge While NVDA Stalls, Watch Next Week

While many continue to sit as stocks like NVDA go through multiple months of consolidation, others like the Optical names like $CIEN continue to push sharply back to new highs along with many memory names @IBDinvestors @marketsurge This bifurcation vs....

By Mark Newton, CMT
CF Industries Leads SPX, Bet on 2026 Food Prices
SocialMar 12, 2026

CF Industries Leads SPX, Bet on 2026 Food Prices

CF Industries $CF was the strongest outperformer today within $SPX and it continues to be right to favor Agriculture & food prices in 2026 @IBDinvestors @marketsurge I added one of its competitors to UPTICKS for my early March addition and while...

By Mark Newton, CMT