Broad Market Rises, Core Sectors Still Stuck
Despite the recent push in Equal-wtd S&P 500 ETF's like $RSP and DJIA back to new highs & some breadth improvement during the final week of May, important to know that sectors like Financials, HC, Industrials have NOT yet begun to turn higher relatively & outperform. Discretionary has been a welcome surprise as Consumer stocks snap back on Crude weakness. While positioning measures & skew are signaling concern, other sentiment measures largely haven't budged & still hard to describe sentiment as Uber-speculative and/or optimistic outside of a few small pockets within Tech While various exhaustion measures i track could be in place on daily, weekly basis this week, i'm not certain they prove to be too meaningful outside of a short-term Hiccup, only. Software roaring back along w/ Airlines helping Transports are certainly a positive developments and generally the recent breadth improvement & recent structural technical improvement coupled with lack of enthusiasm are still larger positives for risk assets. As always, price plays a bigger role than most other factors & until sufficient evidence of trend weakness happens, it's normally wise to ignore much of what "IS" making various investors cautious which DOESN'T factor in price. I'll discuss why the short-term forecast over the next 1-2 weeks could start to diverge a bit from the ongoing trend, but certainly continue to advocate NOT being too cute on trying to pick tops without any proof As always, i do NOT communicate short-term trading signals on X, but leave these for daily reports and/or Flash insights, but just a few important thoughts For those who still haven't signed on, feel free to peruse notes and see if they make sense for your own day to day process - https://t.co/v0f4RME3on

10‑ And
10, and 30-year yields pushed sharply higher to test resistance at a 2.5 yr consolidation since late '23 & the domestic movement was far more controlled than what was seen in UK and Germany- $TYX shown here @IBDinvestors @marketsurge...

Korean Chip Giants Dominate EWY, Prompt US Rebalancing
Given that Samsung & SK Hynix have now exceeded 50% of $EWY, there will need to be some "rebalancing" to satisfy US Diversification requirements by end of month @IBDinvestors @marketsurge charts here: https://t.co/XW54gpjWXm Similar to today, South Korea's weakness very...

GLP‑1 Disruption Drives Healthcare to 13‑year Low
GLP-1 disruption has caused the concentrated Med-Tech ETF $IHI to weigh sharply on Healthcare's performance this yr, resulting in what used to be the 2nd largest sector in SPX slipping to just 8% @IBDinvestors @marketsurge Selectivity crucial until this Sub-industry...
Healthcare & Discretionary Hit Multi-Year Lows, Rally Risks Rise
I'll discuss what Healthcare moving to 13-year lows vs SPX in Equal-wtd terms and Discretionary hitting 4 year lows relative to SPX means... We'll cover cycles, sentiment, the push into Software as Memory/Optical starts to wane.. and what the...
Join Tomorrow's Fox Business Show on Oil, Markets, Technicals
I'll be on with Maria B tomorrow am on @FoxBusiness at 710 am - talking oil, markets, Technicals and what's in store, Join if you're able- #TechnicalAnalysis #HalfCashHalfStock

REITs Outshine Tech, Offering Stronger Relative Performance
While many remain Uber-focused on Technology, sectors like REITS are continuing to make headway higher. @IBDinvestors @marketsurge Charts of $RSPR the Equal-weighted REITS ETF by Invesco, show this sector to be in better relative shape than most of...
Thursday's TA Webinar: Decoding Thin US Equities & Rate Outlook
My Technical Analysis Webinar happens this THURSDAY at 2pm EST- Register here: https://t.co/1FSX6GwhN6 Yes, the air's gotten a bit thin again for US Equities while Put/call has plunged & some notable divergences in a few things that are NOT Semiconductors. ...

Travel & Leisure Drag Discretionary To
Travel booking Sites along w/ Casinos and Cruiseliner underperformance has resulted in quite a bit of near-term underperformance for Equal-wgtd Discretionary which has fallen to 4-yr lows v Equal-wgtd SPX. While most of earnings have come in moderately above forecast,...
Join Me Tomorrow 10 Am for Commodities Chat
I'll be talking commodities with CMT association tomorrow at 10 am- Hope you can tune in
Live on Fox Business: Oil, Tech Earnings, Market Outlook
I'll be on with Cheryl Casone today at @FoxBusiness live at HQ around 8:20 am EST talking Oil, Tech Earnings, markets and what's in store for the days ahead

Software Pullback Offers Near-Term Buying Opportunity
Many have grown frustrated with the lack of immediate mean reversion out of Software, but gains often take time following such dramatic weakness over the last six months. $IGV base-building generally is constructive & Intermediate-term momentum is improving. Structurally, pulling...

Russell 3k Breadth Hits New High After
While a number of different major sectors have not yet joined Technology's push back to new all-time highs relative to Equal-weighted $RSP, it is encouraging to see the Russell 3k Advance/Decline back at new high territory following the recent failed...

Aerospace Stocks Peaked at Iran Conflict Start, Now Falling
Many investors might be surprised to see that Aerospace & Defense stocks peaked right near the beginning of the attack on Iran As we know, the market's forward looking & $ITA had pushed up 64% ahead of the conflict &...

Trust Banks Accelerating, Still a Long‑term Buy
Trust banks like NTRS and $STT below have been accelerating in recent months & still represent one of the better areas within Financials. This sector has finally come to life in recent weeks, & while STT has certainly gotten overbought, i...