New Findings Impact Renewables, Batteries, and Transmission Metals
This has important implications not just for renewables and batteries but also for materials used in transmission lines such as copper and aluminium.
Commodity Exchanges Distort Prices, Not Discover Them
Is the commodity exchange model broken? When physical markets and paper prices tell completely different stories – in oil, metals and beyond – it raises a fundamental question: are exchanges still discovering prices, or distorting them? In this article I...
China Lithium Prices Surge, Inventories Decline, 3× June Lows
While most eyes are focused on hydrocarbons in the Middle East, keep an eye on #Lithium in China as well... Some data providers flagged a weekly reduction in inventories, and prices have bounced over the past few days. We seem...
Oil and Gas: Backbone of Modern Manufacturing Economy
Many people don't understand how important oil and gas are to the wider manufacturing economy...
Long-Term Copper Bull, Short-Term Bear: 2008 Lessons
OK, let’s get this out in the open so we all know where we stand. I’m a long-term #copper bull. But I’m a short-term copper bear. And this is why. I was both a long-term and short-term copper bull in 2008 –...
Profit‑taking and Portfolio Rotation Curb Gold Amid Risk
One of the most recurrent questions I’m seeing at the moment is – why are #gold prices not going up, when we’re seeing one of the biggest risk events in the last 10 years, and when gold was a major...
War’s End Won’t Instantly Revive Commodity Output
I think the most dangerous thing that I see in markets currently is this assumption that, as soon as the war ends, commodity production will just switch back on again. It won’t. It can’t. Commodity production is not like a manufacturing...
Hormuz Closure Won’t Cripple Uranium Supply, Says Analyst
Lots of commentators are suggesting the Strait of Hormuz closure will disrupt uranium supply. I think they’re wrong. Their logic seems simple and obvious: most uranium mining relies on sulphuric acid, a large share of global sulphur exports pass through the...
Japan Sets NdPr Price Floor, Investors Remain Unmoved
Japan becomes the second country to lock in a NdPr price floor. Countries seem to recognise the issue with rare earths but equity investors seem not to... https://t.co/5GI3bRV7K3
Middle East Turmoil Could Boost Non‑oil Metal Markets
Some thoughts on the metals and materials that can benefit from disruption in the Middle East that people may be forgetting while they focus on oil and gas... #lithium #rareearths #graphite #anode #antimony #tungsten #aluminium https://t.co/JJ1BwOvjEs https://t.co/4YTMyZtDdI
Zimbabwe's Lithium Ban Likely Short‑Lived, Minimal GDP Impact
The Zimbabwe export ban seems to be due to transfer pricing, ie producers understating grade/value of exports. Similar to what we saw from the Chinese company that operated Bald Hill in Australia a few years ago. On my calcs, average Zimbabwe...