Mann Research Predicts 10±3 Storms, Quiet Season via El Niño
The @MannResearch group seasonal hurricane forecast is out. We call for 10 +/- 3 named storms this season. The forecast for a relatively quiet season is driven largely by the prediction of a substantial El Niño event: https://t.co/FIkZFydFca
Bezos and Washington Post Threaten American Democracy
Jeff Bezos is a bad actor and the Washington Post is now a font of disinformation and propaganda and a threat to American Democracy
NOAA Defines El Niño Using Relative, Not Absolute, Nino Indices
NOAA uses the *relative* Nino (or "RONI") indices, as shown below, to define El Nino state (>0.5C = El Nino; <-0.5C = La Nina, neutral otherwise). Some will try to confuse you by showing absolute Nino values (which depend on...
Climate Change's Reality Unveiled in Today's Interview
"This Is What Climate Change Looks Like Right Now" | My interview earlier today with the great @Thom_Hartmann: https://t.co/WIK6gYSzyK
Nino Indices Reveal Complex, Unsettled Climate State
Latest (TODAY) Nino indices posted by CPC. Neg (blue) is on La Nina side of neutral, pos (orange) on El Nino side. Pos/neg values <0.5 considered neutral. The 4 indices show wide spread indicating complexity of current state. We'll have...
Expert Sees Strong El Niño Signal Despite 25% NOAA Odds
NOAA CPC's latest (today) update is out (https://t.co/KrBrq60pvL). They estimate a 25% chance of a "very strong" El Nino. But "Mikeythe4th_WX" on twitter has a different view:
Debunking Weather Hype: Trust NOAA over Influencers
Posted this thread in response to the engagement-farming wannabe weather influencers insisting they know more than the NOAA Climate Prediction Center: https://t.co/dVNtX0kjFp https://t.co/8z7gOlhgUi
Neutral Now, 61% Chance El Niño Emerging Soon
NOAA's latest update on state of El Niño, just 3 hours old. Summary: 1. We're in neutral conditions & will likely remain that way for several months. 2. Likely (61% chance) El Niño will emerge, but magnitude quite uncertain as we have not...
Actual NOAA Data Shows La Nina Weakening to Neutral
Wow the post below from @webberweather is shockingly dishonest. Lying to public helps nobody. Here's the ACTUAL (relative) Nino3.4 data from NOAA, which shows we've gone from strong La Nina 3 months ago to weakly negative (basically neutral) values now: https://t.co/1KQlch8trD https://t.co/UEb9Rcncua
Science Under Siege: Climate Crisis Discussion at 1 PM ET
Looking forward to speaking with my friend @Thom_Hartmann of the #ThomHartmannProgram today at 1pm ET. Topic--#ScienceUnderSiege & the escalating climate crisis. Please tune in: https://t.co/gndwJ3RDAM
Legendary Climate Scientist Dave Fenton Shares His Fight
"The Climate Scientist Who Fought Back" | My interview with the legendary @DFenton for the new #FentonForecast podcast: https://t.co/VDlK4k3KEM
Climate‑Driven Drought Fuels Migration and Conflict
"Drought, Migration and the Fall of Civilization: A Cautionary Tale" | Seemed appropriate to be re-upping this op-ed I wrote a few years ago for @thehill on the role of climate-driven conflict in the middle east: https://t.co/C8fyuYwyl6
Public Science Under Siege: From Frontier to Target
"From Endless Frontier to Enemy of the People: The Assault on Public Science" | A very nice, thoughtful review of #ScienceUnderSiege (by @PeterHotez & yours truly) by Wendy Wagner for @Lawfare Media: https://t.co/2QcaDNC3df
Science and Innovation Chart Climate’s Future Path
“The Climate Path Forward: Science and Innovation” | My first panel at #CWA tomorrow 3:30pm Mountain Time (remote option available)
Critique: Normalizing Effects with Arbitrary Exponential Scaling
I’m sure Roger Pielke Jr can find some arbitrary exponentially increasing quantity to divide by and normalize away this effect