Nick Gerli

Nick Gerli

Creator
0 followers

CEO, Reventure Consulting; charts and commentary on housing cycles, valuations, and macro linkages.

NJ's Housing Crisis Mirrors National Shortage, Prices Soar
SocialApr 20, 2026

NJ's Housing Crisis Mirrors National Shortage, Prices Soar

New Jersey has one of America's biggest housing shortages - and no one is paying attention. NJ inventory levels are down 63% from pre-pandemic norms, and refuse to recover. Today there are only 14k listings on the market compared to...

By Nick Gerli
Tennessee Home Prices Surge, Yet Dip Expected by 2027
SocialApr 18, 2026

Tennessee Home Prices Surge, Yet Dip Expected by 2027

Something big is happening in Tennessee's housing market right now. Listings have shot up 50% above the long-term norm. And inventory breached 30,000. (the highest in a decade) Values in markets like Nashville and Memphis have started to drift down YoY for the...

By Nick Gerli
Florida Short Sales Surge, Foreclosures up 43% YoY
SocialApr 16, 2026

Florida Short Sales Surge, Foreclosures up 43% YoY

Over 1,000 houses in Florida now have the word 'short sale' in their listing description. Most are listed at a loss from the previous sale. Some at a $100,000+ discount. Real distress is starting to show up. According to ATTOM, foreclosures...

By Nick Gerli
Mortgage Applications Plunge; Sellers Must Slash Prices
SocialApr 15, 2026

Mortgage Applications Plunge; Sellers Must Slash Prices

Mortgage applications to buy a house fell again. They're back down to an index level of 159, which is more than 50% below the pandemic peak in early 2021. Not only that - they're now declining year-over-year, reversing a slight positive trend...

By Nick Gerli
US Housing Sales Plummet, Prices Still Out of Reach
SocialApr 14, 2026

US Housing Sales Plummet, Prices Still Out of Reach

The U.S. Housing Market is in a full-fledged depression. Existing sales in March just hit their 2nd lowest level ever for the month, behind only 2009. Not only that - sales volumes are down 25% from pre-pandemic norms and continue to...

By Nick Gerli
California's Low‑Rate Mortgages Keep Prices Firm, Florida Falls
SocialApr 11, 2026

California's Low‑Rate Mortgages Keep Prices Firm, Florida Falls

Some interesting differences are showing up in mortgage rates by state. California: 28% of mortgaged houses are at sub-3% rate Florida: 16% only before pandemic, they both were similar. But now, there's a big gap. California's sub-3% mortgage rates are one of the reasons...

By Nick Gerli
Rental Inflation Hits 60‑Year Low, Dampening CPI Outlook
SocialApr 10, 2026

Rental Inflation Hits 60‑Year Low, Dampening CPI Outlook

The thing to pay attention to in this CPI report is rent. Rental inflation reported by tenants fell to 2.6% YoY in March 2026. This is a full percentage point below the long-term average, and near one of the lowest levels in...

By Nick Gerli
Help Shape Next App Features: 2026 Housing Survey
SocialApr 10, 2026

Help Shape Next App Features: 2026 Housing Survey

The 2026 Reventure Housing survey is live. We’re using this to decide what data to build next in our app. Click the link below to get started (it only takes 3 minutes to complete). https://t.co/Y5ks4Pprz3

By Nick Gerli
Connecticut’s Listings Plummet, Prices Surge
SocialApr 10, 2026

Connecticut’s Listings Plummet, Prices Surge

The Biggest Housing Shortage in the U.S. is in... Connecticut. Listings are down 73% from pre-pandemic levels, and by 50% from the 10-year average. As a result, prices are up nearly 25% in the last 3 years and there are still bidding...

By Nick Gerli
Washington Housing Supply Surges 64%, Prices Set to Tumble
SocialApr 9, 2026

Washington Housing Supply Surges 64%, Prices Set to Tumble

What's going on in Washington State? housing supply is skyrocketing, now up to 17,580 listings. That's 64% above the long-term average for March. It seems like there's an exodus of sorts playing out, with metros like Seattle and Spokane spiking on supply. Home...

By Nick Gerli
High‑Inventory States Face 2026‑27 Price Declines
SocialApr 8, 2026

High‑Inventory States Face 2026‑27 Price Declines

We have some new leaders at the top of the housing inventory charts. 1. Washington: +64% inventory surplus 2. Colorado: +63% 3. Tennessee: +58% These markets have inventory levels more than 50% above the March long-term average. Interestingly enough, Florida has dropped out of the...

By Nick Gerli
Pandemic‑bought Rental Now Faces $25k Loss
SocialApr 7, 2026

Pandemic‑bought Rental Now Faces $25k Loss

Seller taking a $25,000 loss on this house. They bought at pandemic peak and tried to rent it out. But the rental market turned south, rents getting cut, property taxes up. And now the owner has been trying to sell...

By Nick Gerli
Florida Falls, Alabama Rises as Migration Slows Nationwide
SocialApr 6, 2026

Florida Falls, Alabama Rises as Migration Slows Nationwide

States with the highest inbound migration in 2025. Note how Florida has fallen to the 8th on the list nominally, and only 22nd in % terms. Alabama is now higher. Even the states at the top (Texas, North Carolina) are seeing heavily...

By Nick Gerli
Homebuyer Inertia Hits Record, Demand Plummets
SocialApr 4, 2026

Homebuyer Inertia Hits Record, Demand Plummets

It's starting to look like a rough spring and summer housing market. Homebuyer inertia is at record levels, and 83% of my YouTube followers are either not buying this year or only buying if prices drop 20-40%. Confirming why home...

By Nick Gerli
Nick Gerli | Pulse