Nicole Gelinas

Nicole Gelinas

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Manhattan Institute fellow; municipal finance, infrastructure investment, and urban development.

Columbia Law Students Champion Free Bus Initiative
SocialMay 5, 2026

Columbia Law Students Champion Free Bus Initiative

Great op ed on free buses by Columbia j-school students. Good to see a nonconventional, well-reported opinion here. https://t.co/rvO3uuc1Pg https://t.co/jALkCkrKcp

By Nicole Gelinas
Allow JetBlue‑Spirit Merger to Boost Competition
SocialMay 1, 2026

Allow JetBlue‑Spirit Merger to Boost Competition

The government should have allowed the JetBlue / Spirit merger to go through. Together they are some competition for the bigger airlines, but apart they are both in a lot of trouble.

By Nicole Gelinas
Fatal Crash Drivers Keep Racking up Tickets Afterward
SocialMay 1, 2026

Fatal Crash Drivers Keep Racking up Tickets Afterward

My paper showed how persistently bad these drivers are: 39 vehicles involved in just one year's fatal crashes went on to accumulate another 123 red- and speed-camera tickets AFTER their fatal crash. https://t.co/lndQHwYbi4 https://t.co/7cN7CnIQHA

By Nicole Gelinas
Mayor Mamdani May Use DSA Rhetoric Over Bond Downgrade
SocialApr 30, 2026

Mayor Mamdani May Use DSA Rhetoric Over Bond Downgrade

We are still in city/state budget season and anything can happen. One potential "anything" is ... does Mamdani, like most mayors, run away from the prospect of any bond downgrade? Or does he employ this as part of a long-held...

By Nicole Gelinas
Housing Rates Rise Modestly; Fear Skews Market Perception
SocialApr 30, 2026

Housing Rates Rise Modestly; Fear Skews Market Perception

I enjoyed our exchange with Claire Valdez, and I found this part illuminating. This isn't really a "good" "deal." It's just ... the going rate, including a 4.4 percent annual increase, not crazy in line with projected inflation. Our housing...

By Nicole Gelinas
Broker Reports Skewed by Newer, Upscale Apartments
SocialApr 30, 2026

Broker Reports Skewed by Newer, Upscale Apartments

Yes. The much-hyped broker reports are skewed by the fact that these are newer, higher-quality apartments in certain neighborhoods.

By Nicole Gelinas
Governor Must Permit Strike to Pressure LIRR Contracts
SocialApr 29, 2026

Governor Must Permit Strike to Pressure LIRR Contracts

The governor should allow a strike. There is no other way to get concessions from the LIRR's crazy contracts.

By Nicole Gelinas
Congestion Pricing Lacks Strong Support but Remains Worthwhile
SocialApr 29, 2026

Congestion Pricing Lacks Strong Support but Remains Worthwhile

Congestion pricing actually still doesn't poll very strongly. Never has. It's still a good idea, though.

By Nicole Gelinas
No Public Data Proves Waymo Is Safer than Human Drivers
SocialApr 29, 2026

No Public Data Proves Waymo Is Safer than Human Drivers

a "detailed and confidential overview" is not public information. Again, despite the tech uber alles crowd cheering them on, there is no objective, publicly available raw data indicating that Waymo is safer, or less safe, than a dense city's safest...

By Nicole Gelinas
Waymo's Safety Hinges on Local Street Regulations
SocialApr 26, 2026

Waymo's Safety Hinges on Local Street Regulations

Waymo cannot make streets safer (or not). City and state policies make streets safer (or not). Waymo will act within whatever street-safety regime cities and states decide to adopt, for better or for worse. If SF penalized the company for...

By Nicole Gelinas
NYC Housing Crisis Narrative Turns Any Dip Into New Panic
SocialApr 26, 2026

NYC Housing Crisis Narrative Turns Any Dip Into New Panic

You can bet, though, that after 40 years of the “crisis” of rising house prices and rents in NYC, the minute they even hint at falling, that will also be a “crisis.”

By Nicole Gelinas
NYC's SuperSpeeders Bill Tests Smart Auto Safety vs Car Overuse
SocialApr 25, 2026

NYC's SuperSpeeders Bill Tests Smart Auto Safety vs Car Overuse

The SuperSpeeders bill is also a useful test of whether NYC is going to use autonomous and semi-autonomous technology intelligently, to cut known and imminent danger to the public by reducing the control that the worst drivers have over their...

By Nicole Gelinas
Governor's Yes Risks Investor Credibility Amid Rising Taxes
SocialApr 23, 2026

Governor's Yes Risks Investor Credibility Amid Rising Taxes

If the governor says "yes" to this, she should have no credibility with investors in the city's debt. New York's tax revenues are rising. If gimmicks like this are necessary now, what happens when tax revenues stop rising? https://t.co/KGqlxU5QuC https://t.co/0Eah2RLkKQ

By Nicole Gelinas
Self‑Driving Cars Will Replace Top Drivers First
SocialApr 21, 2026

Self‑Driving Cars Will Replace Top Drivers First

Yes. Especially since, the way we're going, the country's worst, most potentially deadly drivers will be the last to be replaced by Waymos (if ever). The first drivers to be replaced by Waymos would be the nation's best drivers.

By Nicole Gelinas
Invite-Only Press Shows Lack of Journalistic Integrity
SocialApr 18, 2026

Invite-Only Press Shows Lack of Journalistic Integrity

The "invited press" at these events who agree to participate, may as well just be paid by City Hall as Mamdani's vanity photographers. You are not a Serious Journalist if you are agreeing to participate in an invite-only press conference...

By Nicole Gelinas
Illegal Parked Vehicles Keep Pedestrians at Deadly Risk
SocialApr 18, 2026

Illegal Parked Vehicles Keep Pedestrians at Deadly Risk

German tourist Alexandra Sabine Lewalter Maric was gruesomely crushed to death at this intersection last fall, in part because incessantly illegally parked vehicles block the sightlines for pedestrians. But nearly a year later, the ice cream truck and other vehicles...

By Nicole Gelinas
Sysco Exploits Refrigeration Loophole, Idles Trucks for Hours
SocialApr 18, 2026

Sysco Exploits Refrigeration Loophole, Idles Trucks for Hours

.@Sysco in particular also often loudly idles out here for hours, because the company knows it can use the refrigeration loophole to avoid idling tickets.

By Nicole Gelinas
E‑bikes Aren’t Offsetting Car Trips, Just Spawning Deliveries
SocialApr 17, 2026

E‑bikes Aren’t Offsetting Car Trips, Just Spawning Deliveries

There is no evidence whatsoever that commercial e-bikes have replaced a single car/truck trip in nyc. They created an entire new industry of mass scale slop delivery. All induced demand. NYCHA constantly finds the batteries in the trash chutes.

By Nicole Gelinas
NYC Housing Lottery Flaws: No Work Requirement Criticized
SocialApr 17, 2026

NYC Housing Lottery Flaws: No Work Requirement Criticized

Terrible policy for NYC to allow working-age people into lottery housing without a work requirement. Holding down a job indicates mental stability. These “preachers” on the subways are not “working.” https://t.co/hkbYX7TRrU https://t.co/nrKFiGp1nL

By Nicole Gelinas
City Redesign for Commercial E‑bikes Lacks Environmental Justification
SocialApr 17, 2026

City Redesign for Commercial E‑bikes Lacks Environmental Justification

Why are we rearranging the city around commercial e-bikes, which have no proven environmental benefit and which are still basically an underpriced, underregulated nuisance use of the bike lanes? https://t.co/lfGnuKUAQy

By Nicole Gelinas
NYC AV Permits Persist Despite Expired State Framework
SocialApr 16, 2026

NYC AV Permits Persist Despite Expired State Framework

“The city permit program still exists,” says NYCDOT’s Kelsey Taeckens on testing AVs. It’s basically as of right if you meet the requirements. But the state law framework under which the city issues the permits expired with the (now late)...

By Nicole Gelinas
Autonomous Vehicles Still Depend on Human Remote Control
SocialApr 16, 2026

Autonomous Vehicles Still Depend on Human Remote Control

A couple panelists have said that “autonomous” is yet another purposeful misnomer, like “hosting” or “sharing.” The vehicles require full-time remote human assistance. There are issues of capability, quality control, fatigue here, says prof Wansley. https://t.co/DuPH2RRhk7

By Nicole Gelinas
Tech Firms Begging NYC for Data, Says Ex-FDNY Chief
SocialApr 16, 2026

Tech Firms Begging NYC for Data, Says Ex-FDNY Chief

“We have to beg for data” from tech firms operating on NYC streets, says former FDNY commish Kavanaugh. https://t.co/oIkFcbeM01

By Nicole Gelinas
Regulate AVs to Curb Externalities, Protect Privacy
SocialApr 16, 2026

Regulate AVs to Curb Externalities, Protect Privacy

AV regulation must focus on “curbing externalities” (congestion taxes), consumer protection, and the impact on the urban environment, says Prof Wansley. (He’s worried about privacy as an externality, eg companies’ full surveillance of everything that happens on the streets and...

By Nicole Gelinas
Manhattan Gig Workers Earn Double Thanks to Unmatched Demand
SocialApr 16, 2026

Manhattan Gig Workers Earn Double Thanks to Unmatched Demand

To Uber, Lyft, DoorDash and similar, “Manhattan streets are paved with gold,” says former deputy mayor for ops Meera Joshi. Constant “demand and very little price sensitivity,” meaning “double” the $$ you’ll make anywhere else. [this little borough is not...

By Nicole Gelinas
Waymo Matches Human Drivers' Safety, Despite Underreported Crashes
SocialApr 16, 2026

Waymo Matches Human Drivers' Safety, Despite Underreported Crashes

Waymo in SF has comparable safety rate to UberLyft human-driven rides in SF, says Cardozo prof Matthew Wansley, citing academic study, but notes the human-driven crashes in this set are likely underreported. He thinks AVs are making a “positive contribution”...

By Nicole Gelinas
NYC's Street Network Among World's Most Complex
SocialApr 16, 2026

NYC's Street Network Among World's Most Complex

“We have the most complex street system in the country, among the most complex in the world,” says Kelsey Taeckens, NYC DOT mobility policy analyst. https://t.co/yGY51JORYu

By Nicole Gelinas
Tech Imposes Solutions; Cities Intervene when Systems Fail
SocialApr 16, 2026

Tech Imposes Solutions; Cities Intervene when Systems Fail

Tech often comes to cities and says “this is how it works, trust us,” says former FDNY commish Laura Kavanaugh. She notes that the city’s role is often triggered when something has failed to work the way it should. https://t.co/kcpZR2Q3BM

By Nicole Gelinas
Regulators, Not Tesla, Allow Misleading Autopilot Labels
SocialApr 16, 2026

Regulators, Not Tesla, Allow Misleading Autopilot Labels

David Zipper note that Tesla has gotten away with calling something “autopilot” and “self driving” even though it’s not “autopilot” or “self driving.” Notes that the failure is regulators, not companies.

By Nicole Gelinas
Tech Firms Blur Tool vs Solution; AVs Aren’t Salvation
SocialApr 16, 2026

Tech Firms Blur Tool vs Solution; AVs Aren’t Salvation

“Tech companies deliberately obfuscate the distinction” between a tool and a solution, says Peter Norton. This applies to AVs, he notes. [they may be a tool for something, but we need to define what that thing is in NYC.] High-tech...

By Nicole Gelinas
Waymo's 92% Safer Claim Is Just Marketing
SocialApr 16, 2026

Waymo's 92% Safer Claim Is Just Marketing

The “92% safer” line from Waymo “is a marketing line,” says Bloomberg’s David Zipper. Any serious academic will tell you, on safety, “we don’t know.”

By Nicole Gelinas
Europe Boosts Transit Investment; U.S. Falls Behind
SocialApr 16, 2026

Europe Boosts Transit Investment; U.S. Falls Behind

“European cities have been doubling and tripling down on transit and we’re not,” says Rachel Weinberger.

By Nicole Gelinas
Mass Adoption Dulls the Joy of Driving
SocialApr 16, 2026

Mass Adoption Dulls the Joy of Driving

Everyone keeps saying “oh, the Waymo, it’s so fun, get in!” says Rachel Weinberger. Notes this reasoning ignores the entire history of the 20th century where “the number of people who wanted to use the motor vehicle entirely ruined the...

By Nicole Gelinas
AV Safety Data Ignores Induced Driving, Says Zipper
SocialApr 16, 2026

AV Safety Data Ignores Induced Driving, Says Zipper

David Zipper says that the context-free AV boosters on social media are generally engineers. This is all a 20th century throwback to having a singular goal of moving motor vehicles fast. He notes that the AV safety data is meaningless...

By Nicole Gelinas
Oslo, Helsinki Achieve Zero Traffic Deaths Without AVs
SocialApr 16, 2026

Oslo, Helsinki Achieve Zero Traffic Deaths Without AVs

“Oslo and Helsinki had zero traffic deaths last year,” notes David Zipper. [without AVs]. This is not a question of “futuristic technology.” https://t.co/mJXh3YHSoo

By Nicole Gelinas
Safety Debate Distracts From Proven Transit Solutions
SocialApr 16, 2026

Safety Debate Distracts From Proven Transit Solutions

“The safety question is actually a distraction” on AVs, says RPA’s Rachel weinberger. “We have the technology to make motor vehicles much safer. … we have speed governors … the safest way is to get more people on transit....

By Nicole Gelinas
Waymo Manager Walks Out, Stifles Critical Debate
SocialApr 16, 2026

Waymo Manager Walks Out, Stifles Critical Debate

Panelists and guests at this Roosevelt House AV summit uniformly disappointed that Waymo northeast policy manager gave his pitch and then left rather than listening to the two more skeptical panels to follow and having a real discussion. https://t.co/pwVnR2g2OA

By Nicole Gelinas
Target Staged Crashes and Superspeeders to Remove Worst Drivers
SocialApr 16, 2026

Target Staged Crashes and Superspeeders to Remove Worst Drivers

We need some law changes to reduce the incentive for staged crashes -- see the article about New Orleans's crazy staged-crash regime, including a murder, in the new New Yorker -- but absolutely, the superspeeders bill and other ways of...

By Nicole Gelinas
Regulate Driverless Rideshares to Preserve NYC Transit Efficiency
SocialApr 16, 2026

Regulate Driverless Rideshares to Preserve NYC Transit Efficiency

Thankfully, NYC doesn't have to manage itself via superficial lukewarm takes. We know from the UberLyft rollout and ensuing price war a decade ago that we will have to carefully regulate and price for-hire driverless vehicles (the term "ridershare" in...

By Nicole Gelinas
City Voucher Rules Bar Low‑wage Renters, Landlords Profit
SocialApr 16, 2026

City Voucher Rules Bar Low‑wage Renters, Landlords Profit

CityFHEPS means the city is competing with this guy ... landlords would rather take the voucher.

By Nicole Gelinas
Vacancy Tax only Viable Within Comprehensive Reform
SocialApr 15, 2026

Vacancy Tax only Viable Within Comprehensive Reform

This is sort of like "oops, I forgot to get you a present for your birthday so here's what I randomly found in the junk drawer." A higher tax on unoccupied homes could make sense in the context of full...

By Nicole Gelinas
Half‑price Eggs Create Massive Arbitrage—Ration or Profit
SocialApr 14, 2026

Half‑price Eggs Create Massive Arbitrage—Ration or Profit

If you are selling eggs for half the price of the going rate, unless you ration the eggs, this is a massive arbitrage opportunity.

By Nicole Gelinas
SNAP Shouldn't Fund Stores Undercutting Full-Service Retail
SocialApr 14, 2026

SNAP Shouldn't Fund Stores Undercutting Full-Service Retail

If NYC wants to run its own government-cheese program at its own expense, it is free to do so, but the federal government should not allow SNAP benefits to be used at a store that purposely undercuts the full-service full-product...

By Nicole Gelinas
City Grocery Store to Offer Union Jobs in 3.5 Years
SocialApr 14, 2026

City Grocery Store to Offer Union Jobs in 3.5 Years

don't worry, in 3.5 years, we will have some union jobs in our city-run grocery store

By Nicole Gelinas
Transparency Needed: Release Raw Data for NYC AV Tests
SocialApr 12, 2026

Transparency Needed: Release Raw Data for NYC AV Tests

"FFS, are we going to toss out all the NYCDOT reports about how their bike lanes improve safety? Are we going to toss out the decongestion pricing reports because they were written by the transit employees who want transit to...

By Nicole Gelinas
Congestion Pricing Hasn't Cut Manhattan For‑hire Trips
SocialApr 12, 2026

Congestion Pricing Hasn't Cut Manhattan For‑hire Trips

There's been no real change in total for-hire vehicle trips in, to, and from core Manhattan since the 1/25 implementation of congestion pricing (although there is some movement within categories). They *are* still down since before COVID-19, illustrating the confounding...

By Nicole Gelinas
Nurses Strike for Security Amid Rising Patient Violence
SocialApr 11, 2026

Nurses Strike for Security Amid Rising Patient Violence

Remember, a nurse wrote a NYT op ed that part of the reason the nurses were on strike was that they wanted more police/security protection from disturbed patients. And the fact that these attacks aren't uncommon is almost certainly holding...

By Nicole Gelinas
20 Mph Urban Speed Limits Proven to Cut Traffic Deaths
SocialApr 10, 2026

20 Mph Urban Speed Limits Proven to Cut Traffic Deaths

It's always interesting when people say something that they think is an extreme reductio ad absurdum but that is actually good policy. A 20mph (or thereabouts) speed limit in a dense urban environment coupled with consistent automated enforcement is sound,...

By Nicole Gelinas
Mayor Mamdani Reneges on Rent Freeze Promise
SocialApr 10, 2026

Mayor Mamdani Reneges on Rent Freeze Promise

We've gone from "Zohran will immediately freeze the rent" to "so, what I'll say is the Rent Guidelines Board is an independent entity." A big reason that Mamdani's first 100 days have gone OK is his startlingly forthright willingness to...

By Nicole Gelinas