Paul Triolo

Paul Triolo

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Tech policy analyst focused on China/Asia; posts on semis and policy impacts on equities

Tencent's AI Praised, Thanks to Anthropic Influence
SocialApr 28, 2026

Tencent's AI Praised, Thanks to Anthropic Influence

Chinese tech giant Tencent’s latest AI model has generated positive reviews from developers. But the company probably owes some of that success to Anthropic. https://t.co/VtygsEjmFB

By Paul Triolo
Lightelligence Launches Hong Kong IPO, Raises $323M
SocialApr 28, 2026

Lightelligence Launches Hong Kong IPO, Raises $323M

Lightelligence, a Chinese optical-computing provider, is set to begin trading in Hong Kong on Tuesday after raising $323 million in an IPO https://t.co/zbtkjcpbnq

By Paul Triolo
Xi Blocks Meta Deal, Echoing CFIUS’s Power
SocialApr 28, 2026

Xi Blocks Meta Deal, Echoing CFIUS’s Power

Xi Tests China’s Reach by Blocking Meta Deal That’s Already Done Just like CFIUS has done for many years... https://t.co/iPzbSXPGRE

By Paul Triolo
Musk Vs. Altman: Can a Fair Jury Exist?
SocialApr 27, 2026

Musk Vs. Altman: Can a Fair Jury Exist?

Elon Musk and Sam Altman are about to face off in court. Is an impartial jury even possible? https://t.co/quWDFFCLz0

By Paul Triolo
Meta's Integrated Manus Team Makes Split Unclear
SocialApr 27, 2026

Meta's Integrated Manus Team Makes Split Unclear

It is not clear how such a transaction would be unwound. Meta has described the two teams as “deeply integrated.” Members of the Manus team have been working alongside colleagues from Meta at the company’s office in Singapore. This is going...

By Paul Triolo
OpenClaw Adopts DeepSeek V4 Amid Huawei Partnership Scrutiny
SocialApr 27, 2026

OpenClaw Adopts DeepSeek V4 Amid Huawei Partnership Scrutiny

OpenClaw adds DeepSeek V4 models as tech world assesses Huawei tie-up Wait, who is winning? https://t.co/BPLmMcLr42

By Paul Triolo
Foreign Buyers Split: Cheap Chinese Lidars Vs. Non‑China Production
SocialApr 27, 2026

Foreign Buyers Split: Cheap Chinese Lidars Vs. Non‑China Production

Some foreign clients are willing to purchase lidars from Robosense's Chinese production lines, which usually have a smaller price tag, while others insist on a "in global, for global" approach of production outside of China for markets outside of China....

By Paul Triolo
China Blocks Foreign Takeover of Manus Project
SocialApr 27, 2026

China Blocks Foreign Takeover of Manus Project

Whoa Office of the Working Mechanism for Security Review of Foreign Investment (NDRC) Issues a Security Review Decision on the Foreign Acquisition of the Manus Project The Office of the Working Mechanism for Security Review of Foreign Investment (NDRC), in accordance with...

By Paul Triolo
Chinese Automakers Have Long Outpaced Tesla in Robotaxi Race
SocialApr 27, 2026

Chinese Automakers Have Long Outpaced Tesla in Robotaxi Race

Chinese carmakers take on Tesla in race for robotaxi supremacy No kidding, they have been doing it for years.... https://t.co/doyHIKfYPz

By Paul Triolo
White House Calls for Boosted Grid Infrastructure Production
SocialApr 26, 2026

White House Calls for Boosted Grid Infrastructure Production

Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 303 of the Defense Production Act of 1950, as Amended, on Grid Infrastructure, Equipment, and Supply Chain Capacity – The White House https://t.co/I8umyQLgYR

By Paul Triolo
NVIDIA's Feynman GPU to Split Production Between TSM
SocialApr 26, 2026

NVIDIA's Feynman GPU to Split Production Between TSM

Current rumors suggest that the Feynman GPU core will remain with TSMC, while the communication I/O die may shift to Intel’s 18A or 14A process. In addition, 25% of the GPUs are expected to use Intel’s EMIB advanced packaging technology.

By Paul Triolo
Export Controls Drove Cheaper V4 via Algorithmic Hacks
SocialApr 26, 2026

Export Controls Drove Cheaper V4 via Algorithmic Hacks

Export controls working? Yes sort of and...no, because that constraint forced them to innovate on the algorithms side. They came up with algorithmic unlocks that let them train and run V4 at a fraction of the price, even with nerfed...

By Paul Triolo
US State Dept Issues Global Alert on Chinese AI Theft
SocialApr 26, 2026

US State Dept Issues Global Alert on Chinese AI Theft

Exclusive: US State Dept orders global warning about alleged AI thefts by DeepSeek, other Chinese firms https://t.co/pddPI6zgPF

By Paul Triolo
Cursor's SpaceX, Anthropic Deal Highlights Massive Compute Costs
SocialApr 24, 2026

Cursor's SpaceX, Anthropic Deal Highlights Massive Compute Costs

Behind Cursor’s Deal With SpaceX, Anthropic and Compute Costs Loomed Large — The Information https://t.co/pfTwNxybKN

By Paul Triolo
Musk Vs. Altman: Legal Showdown Heads to Court
SocialApr 24, 2026

Musk Vs. Altman: Legal Showdown Heads to Court

Elon Musk’s Legal War With OpenAI’s Sam Altman Set for Showdown in Court — The Information https://t.co/wrrgLX2xOu

By Paul Triolo
Iran Conflict Depletes US Weapons, Cuts China Rare‑earth Supply
SocialApr 24, 2026

Iran Conflict Depletes US Weapons, Cuts China Rare‑earth Supply

Iran War Has Drained U.S. Supplies of Critical, Costly Weapons Amazingly, no mention of rare earths magnets. All the missile system use, produced all now cut off from China sources. https://t.co/6vpOGXJPZt via @NYTimes

By Paul Triolo
China Bars Unapproved US Tech Investment After Meta Deal
SocialApr 24, 2026

China Bars Unapproved US Tech Investment After Meta Deal

China to Curb US Investment in Tech Companies After Meta Deal Agencies including the National Development and Reform Commission have told several private firms they should reject capital of US origin in funding rounds unless explicitly approved https://t.co/2vTEIkjAgp

By Paul Triolo
Intel Capitalizes on AI-Driven CPU Resurgence, China Lags
SocialApr 24, 2026

Intel Capitalizes on AI-Driven CPU Resurgence, China Lags

How Intel is riding the ‘CPU comeback’ as AI shifts - and where China stands https://t.co/lRphpWagbK

By Paul Triolo
Congress' Massive Export Crackdown Fails to Shield US Chips
SocialApr 24, 2026

Congress' Massive Export Crackdown Fails to Shield US Chips

Tech war: US Congress rolls out ‘largest’ export control upgrade against China Let's be clear, this does nothing to "protect" the US semiconductor industry.. https://t.co/ic51dxC2bF

By Paul Triolo
OpenAI's AI Strategy Overlooks Asia‑Scale Blind Spot
SocialApr 23, 2026

OpenAI's AI Strategy Overlooks Asia‑Scale Blind Spot

OpenAI's blueprint for the AI age has a blind spot the size of Asia https://t.co/Lh6pBQYbBN via @NikkeiAsia

By Paul Triolo
Metrics Miss Full Installed Base and Real Compute Deployment
SocialApr 22, 2026

Metrics Miss Full Installed Base and Real Compute Deployment

This does not reflect full historical installed base or how existing compute is actually being deployed...

By Paul Triolo
SoftBank's New Memory Chip Venture Gains Government, Industry
SocialApr 21, 2026

SoftBank's New Memory Chip Venture Gains Government, Industry

SoftBank's next-generation semiconductor memory company government to support RIKEN, Fujitsu, etc. also solidify investment https://t.co/s7WUUwhf0M

By Paul Triolo
Huawei Secures 19 Critical‑Sector Certifications, Outpacing Spanish Firms
SocialApr 21, 2026

Huawei Secures 19 Critical‑Sector Certifications, Outpacing Spanish Firms

CNI certifies 19 Huawei products for use in critical sectors such as defense With more than 70 devices in April, it far exceeds the certifications obtained by Spanish companies Clean network? https://t.co/tWRMNbiOR6

By Paul Triolo
Harsh Tactics Boost Chinese Self‑reliance, Risk Western Relevance
SocialApr 21, 2026

Harsh Tactics Boost Chinese Self‑reliance, Risk Western Relevance

"Every blunt instrument applied accelerates Chinese indigenization, strains allied relationships, and narrows the window in which Western equipment remains indispensable." Those advocating for MATCH Act taking narrow view, ignoring massive collateral damage. https://t.co/98q7VvFemB

By Paul Triolo
Avoid Geographic Silos: Foster Free AI Idea Exchange
SocialApr 20, 2026

Avoid Geographic Silos: Foster Free AI Idea Exchange

The AI Science Separation “It’ll be a massive loss if researchers get into geographical siloes and don’t freely cross pollinate ideas,” Rao says. No kidding... https://t.co/VvWR05BnZR

By Paul Triolo
Google Partners with Marvell for Next‑gen AI Inference Chips
SocialApr 19, 2026

Google Partners with Marvell for Next‑gen AI Inference Chips

Google in Talks With Marvell to Build New AI Chips for Inference — The Information https://t.co/yPq06Iptig

By Paul Triolo
Anthropic CEO Backs US AI Use to Topple Dictators
SocialApr 19, 2026

Anthropic CEO Backs US AI Use to Topple Dictators

Anthropic chief Dario Amodei: ‘I don’t want AI turned on our own people’ We’re excited for the US government to use this technology,” he says, suggesting it could help “dissolve” authoritarian regimes. “ https://t.co/NQHW7UsdnX via @ft

By Paul Triolo
Recursive Superintelligence Secures $500M, $4B Valuation
SocialApr 19, 2026

Recursive Superintelligence Secures $500M, $4B Valuation

Months-old start-up Recursive Superintelligence raises $500mn for self-teaching AI Group founded by former engineers at DeepMind and OpenAI secures $4bn valuation in deal with Google’s venture arm and Nvidia https://t.co/mvU224DyQj via @ft

By Paul Triolo
Chinese Biotech's Global Surge May Hinge on AI
SocialApr 19, 2026

Chinese Biotech's Global Surge May Hinge on AI

China’s drug makers are speeding up – will AI be their secret weapon? Chinese biotech firms are striking big global deals as drug makers, but could artificial intelligence take them to the next level? No "overcapacity" here.... https://t.co/sktFORaVey via @scmpnews

By Paul Triolo
AI Boosts, Not Displaces, China's Software Market
SocialApr 19, 2026

AI Boosts, Not Displaces, China's Software Market

AI is not eating up China’s software market but turbocharging it: HSBC analyst | South China Morning Post https://t.co/sNeee6iUfZ

By Paul Triolo
BYD Seeks EU Lobby Seat Amid EV Tariff Pressures
SocialApr 18, 2026

BYD Seeks EU Lobby Seat Amid EV Tariff Pressures

BYD is in talks to join Europe’s car lobby group, a move that would give the Chinese automaker a voice in the region where it faces tariffs on its electric-vehicle imports https://t.co/Pi7zP3bsiq

By Paul Triolo
US Growth Rides on Fragile TSMC Dependence
SocialApr 18, 2026

US Growth Rides on Fragile TSMC Dependence

With robust resilient global supply chains, American growth has seen record gains, including with 90 percent dependence on TSMC for advanced node production. No one explains how much manufacturing will strengthen the economy and at what cost, economics matter....

By Paul Triolo
US Blocks Chinese LED Chipmaker’s Dutch Acquisition
SocialApr 18, 2026

US Blocks Chinese LED Chipmaker’s Dutch Acquisition

Chinese LED chipmaker’s purchase of Dutch firm collapses after US opposition The specific national security concern not clear. What about " small yard, high fence"? LEDs? https://t.co/4JNTUcmAyP

By Paul Triolo
AI Redefines TSMC’s Capacity and Global Strategy
SocialApr 17, 2026

AI Redefines TSMC’s Capacity and Global Strategy

In other words, TSMC is no longer dealing with a normal semiconductor cycle. It is dealing with a structural reallocation of capacity. AI is reshaping the logic of semiconductor capital spending, extending the lifecycle of leading-edge process nodes, and even changing...

By Paul Triolo
China’s Drug Innovation Surge Defies Industrial Policy Narrative
SocialApr 17, 2026

China’s Drug Innovation Surge Defies Industrial Policy Narrative

China Is Now a Global Drug Innovation Powerhouse. Industrial Policy Had Little to Do with It. .....industrial policies like Made in China 2025 played a negligible role... https://t.co/MKyZ6auvAS

By Paul Triolo
Experts Slam Non‑specialist Analogies in AI Debate
SocialApr 17, 2026

Experts Slam Non‑specialist Analogies in AI Debate

I love it when podcast hosts and newsletter compilers cite other non industry or non expert sources on a complex issue to try and dispute one of the architects of the entire AI revolution... Jensen on nuclear weapons analogy: "Comparing...

By Paul Triolo
Mutual Export Controls Harm US, China—Time for Careful Rollback
SocialApr 17, 2026

Mutual Export Controls Harm US, China—Time for Careful Rollback

As I have noted in several posts over the past year, there is a growing recognition that both the US and China have pushed export controls to levels that are damaging to each other’s economies. A Deal Waiting to Be...

By Paul Triolo
Anthropic CEO to Discuss Pentagon Dispute with White House
SocialApr 17, 2026

Anthropic CEO to Discuss Pentagon Dispute with White House

Anthropic CEO to meet White House chief of staff amid Pentagon dispute, Axios reports - https://t.co/JeVknmFC2Q

By Paul Triolo
DeepSeek Seeks First External Funding to Boost AI Compute
SocialApr 17, 2026

DeepSeek Seeks First External Funding to Boost AI Compute

DeepSeek in talks to raise outside capital for first time, seeking to beef up its financial war chest so it can better compete in the costly battle to develop leading AI models.... That will buy lot of compute... https://t.co/8YciEvxn9J

By Paul Triolo
Anthropic to Quadruple London Staff Amid US Tensions
SocialApr 17, 2026

Anthropic to Quadruple London Staff Amid US Tensions

Anthropic Plots Major London Expansion As tensions with the US government mount, Anthropic has leased a new office with enough space to quadruple its 200-person head count in London. https://t.co/EDUGMd1bgO

By Paul Triolo
Ganfeng Profits Surge on Booming EV and AI Storage Demand
SocialApr 16, 2026

Ganfeng Profits Surge on Booming EV and AI Storage Demand

China’s lithium giant Ganfeng sees profit jump as EV, ESS battery demand soars The world’s top lithium producer forecasts a strong turnaround as global decarbonisation and AI-driven energy storage fuel demand https://t.co/ugavTV7WR5 via @scmpnews

By Paul Triolo
China Doubles AI‑Science Compute Without US Chips
SocialApr 16, 2026

China Doubles AI‑Science Compute Without US Chips

China doubles ‘AI for science’ computing scale in 2 months using no US chips | South China Morning Post https://t.co/3H0S5aW1UM

By Paul Triolo
Google, Pentagon Negotiate Secret AI Contract, Mending Military Ties
SocialApr 16, 2026

Google, Pentagon Negotiate Secret AI Contract, Mending Military Ties

Google and Pentagon Discuss Classified AI Deal as Company Rebuilds Military Ties — The Information https://t.co/hHvbCxnlot

By Paul Triolo
TSMC Signals New LPU Bid, Samsung's Groq Order Uncertain
SocialApr 16, 2026

TSMC Signals New LPU Bid, Samsung's Groq Order Uncertain

TSMC hints at next-gen LPU bid, stokes speculation that Samsung's Groq order may not last https://t.co/hGNZ3E1yBn

By Paul Triolo
Mythos Built on Modest, Globally Accessible Compute Resources
SocialApr 16, 2026

Mythos Built on Modest, Globally Accessible Compute Resources

Great rejoinder to some of the worst analysis of the implications of Mythos from the predictable quarters... "First of all, Mythos was trained on fairly mundane capacity and a fairly mundane amount of it by an extraordinary company. The amount of...

By Paul Triolo
Musk Flips on TikTok, Gains 120K Followers
SocialApr 15, 2026

Musk Flips on TikTok, Gains 120K Followers

From ‘probing minds’ to verified account: how Musk’s stance on TikTok shifted The billionaire’s surprising return to TikTok reveals his evolving tech diplomacy, with his account quickly gaining 120,000 followers The National Emergency finally over? https://t.co/UkIcFIOrHs https://t.co/sDmkGikJLX

By Paul Triolo
Yellen: No Dollar Alternative, US‑China Must Team on AI
SocialApr 15, 2026

Yellen: No Dollar Alternative, US‑China Must Team on AI

Yellen says ‘no alternative’ to dollar, urges US-China cooperation for sake of the world Regarding US-China collaboration, Yellen singled out AI as an area with significant threats, requiring US and China to cooperate to ensure the safety of AI systems. “We...

By Paul Triolo
China Trials Deep-Sea Submarine Cable Cutter at 3,500 M
SocialApr 15, 2026

China Trials Deep-Sea Submarine Cable Cutter at 3,500 M

China tests submarine cable cutter at 3,500-metre depth Maybe "salvage" and "maintenance" vice "cutter", the cutting is not the primarily capability.... https://t.co/i2Wo4yNkyq

By Paul Triolo
Dishan Technology Near 2nm AI Chip, 40% More Efficient
SocialApr 15, 2026

Dishan Technology Near 2nm AI Chip, 40% More Efficient

China’s Dishan Technology nears 2nm AI chip breakthrough, reports say Shanghai-based start-up says its chip design is likely to improve energy efficiency by 40 per cent compared with its predecessor Technology finds a way around controls, eventually... https://t.co/gaSkdYcIks

By Paul Triolo