Ukraine Strikes Crimea Hangars Housing Drones, Radar
Video of FP-2 strikes by Ukraine’s GUR and Unmanned Systems Forces on hangars with Orion / Inokhodets UCAVs, An-72, and P-37 radar in Crimea. https://t.co/TOsNR7SZ42 https://t.co/6NtagYqgYs
New Substack Launch Offers March Battlefield Update
.@kriegsforscherD and I have setup a Substack page where we will write about the war and other developments. In the first post, @kriegsforscherD gives a battlefield update for March. https://t.co/q6wJeXqZgh
Locked Drone Frequencies Risk Jamming, Undermine Effectiveness
This is a potentially significant issue with the adoption of cheap UAS. Some UAS provided by Western companies to Ukraine only worked on a specific frequency, and the companies did not allow Ukrainians to change it or make other modifications....
Russia's Occupied Area Jumps 27% to 160 Km² in March
.@Deepstate_UA assesses that Russia occupied 160 square kilometers in March, 27% more than in February. https://t.co/VUiCGoqDaQ https://t.co/DkINMRkzFO
Ukrainian Private Firm Uses SkySentinel Turrets to Down Drones
A notable development. A private Ukrainian company is involved in air defense and is successfully employing SkySentinel automated turrets to shoot down Geran and other OWA drones. https://t.co/QUE2Dk24Vf https://t.co/NJs4Jdh6Nc
US Bases Lack Hardened Defenses Against Iranian Missiles
A war with Iran was an obvious scenario for CENTCOM and Iran's ballistic missile and OWA UAS capabilities are well-known. The lack of underground command posts and hardened shelters—or even concrete barriers between tents, which were common at bases in...
Russian Forces Push Forward Near Hryshyne, Huliaipole, Zaliznychne, East Slovyansk
Updated maps from the past few days showing Russian advances in or near Hryshyne, Huliaipole, Zaliznychne, and east of Slovyansk. https://t.co/5xBTsvLaYB https://t.co/i55ajICjnn
Ukraine Faces Funding Shortfall, Defense at Risk
“Ukraine risks running out of money to pay for its defense against Russia within two months as a multitude of factors converge to threaten tens of billions of euros in assistance from the country’s key donors. Kyiv currently has only enough...
Pentagon Mulls Shifting Ukraine Weapons to Middle East
"The Pentagon is considering whether to divert weapons intended for Ukraine to the Middle East as the war in Iran depletes some of the U.S. military’s most critical munitions, according to three people familiar with the matter. Although a final decision...
UK Says Russia Secretly Training Iran, Fueling Aggression Axis
"UK Defence Secretary John Healey has been speaking to our colleagues on BBC Breakfast. He says there is an 'axis of aggression' between Russia and Iran. He announces that the latest defence intelligence shows that, ahead of the conflict in the...
Ukraine to Overhaul Mobilization, Curb AWOL Amid Manpower Shortage
"Ukraine is preparing 'key changes' to both mobilization and the prevention of soldiers going AWOL in an effort to address the military's chronic manpower shortage and better resist Russia's war on the front line, Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov said on...
US‑Ukraine Fund Begins Defense Tech Investments Amid Rising Conflict
"Just over a year after a dramatic Oval Office clash derailed the now-infamous "minerals deal," the fund it spawned is making its first move, backing Ukraine's defense tech sector as global conflicts intensify. The first of three investments planned this year...
Russia's Enduring Military Might Fuels Global Escalation Risk
“Russia retains the capability to selectively challenge U.S. interests globally by military and nonmilitary means. Its robust, advanced conventional and nuclear forces are an enduring threat to the Homeland, U.S. allies and partners, and U.S. forces abroad. The most dangerous threat posed by...
Russian Forces Advance Near Novopavlivka, Kupyansk, Huliaipole, Kramatorsk
Updated maps from the past five days showing Russian advances near Novopavlikva, Kupyansk, Huliaipole, and east of Kramatorsk. https://t.co/Hs3S3iuZCr https://t.co/1qFKiFAd0p
Cheap Drone Defenses Drive Expensive Russian Strike Packages
Many of the early countermeasures to cheap OWA drones are also relatively cheap, such as mobile machinegun teams. This requires the modernization of the drones, employing them in greater numbers, and new methods of employment to overcome cheap countermeasures, which...
Fiber‑optic FPVs Drive Ukrainian Vehicle Losses in Kursk
By October 2024, fiber optic cable FPVs were already responsible for most Ukrainian vehicle losses in Kursk oblast. Helping Ukraine develop countermeasures to new battlefield threats is in our interest as well.
Ukraine Foils Russian Drone Plot to Kill Corps Commander
"Ukrainian security officials thwarted a Russian-ordered assassination plot against Andriy Biletsky, commander of the Third Army Corps, by detaining a drone operator who planned a missile or bomb strike during Biletsky's frontline visit, the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) reported. The...
Ukrainian Drones Hit Russian Radars, Ammo Depots
Videos from Ukraine’s Unmanned Systems Forces, SSO, and GUR’s Prymary unit of FP-2 and other UAS middle strikes on 64N6E, 48a6-K1 Podlet, Sopka-2, P-18 Terek, RSP-6 M2, and Kasta-2 radar; Geran ground relay; Tor-M2, S-300V, ammunition depots, and other targets....
Russia Mulls 10% Budget Cut Amid Falling Oil Revenues
"The Russian government is preparing a possible 10% cut to all 'non-sensitive' spending in this year's budget, sources told Reuters, but the final decision will hinge on the sustainability of the oil price rise triggered by the war in Iran. As...
ERAM Delivery This Year Strengthens Ukraine, Strains Russian Defenses
Extended Range Attack Munitions (ERAM) are supposed to be delivered this year as well, which will further bolster Ukraine’s strike capabilities and pose greater challenges for Russian air defenses.
Ukraine National Guard Adds Air Defense, Assault, Drone Regiments
Ukraine’s National Guard is forming air defense, assault, and unmanned systems regiments in its 1st and 2nd Corps.
Maps Reveal Ongoing Frontline Shifts in Eastern Ukraine
Updated maps from the past few days showing Russian advances along the border in Sumy oblast, Hryshyne, and Huliaipole. https://t.co/2fOTZjg6ww https://t.co/vh0Uy67YYp
Ukraine Hits Shahed Missile Hub at Donetsk Airport
Ukraine’s General Staff posted footage of a strike on Shahed storage and launch location in Donetsk airport with ATACMS and SCALP missiles. https://t.co/r3Dg02y4Ci https://t.co/pt5k00tXIW
Ukraine Feedback Boosts Merops, Guides US Drone Strategy
Merops has performed well in Ukraine and the system has been continuously improved in response to feedback from Ukrainian drone units and adaptations in Russia’s employment of Shahed / Geran OWA UAS. It is a good example of how the...
Zelensky Visits Front Lines Amid Druzhkivka FPV Attacks
Druzhkivka is regularly targeted by FPVs. It is commendable that President Zelenskyy continues to visit units near the front line.
Russia Shares US Target Data with Iran, Expanding Conflict
“Russia is providing Iran with targeting information to attack American forces in the Middle East, the first indication that another major U.S. adversary is participating — even indirectly — in the war, according to three officials familiar with the intelligence. The...
Russian Sources Say Own Mi‑8AMTSh Downed by Friendly Fire
Several Russian Telegram and media sources say that a Russian Mi-8AMTSh helicopter was shot down last night by Russian air defenses.
Ukrainian UAVs Destroy Russian S‑400 Launcher in Belgorod
Video from the Ukrainian National Guard Lasar’s Group of bomber UAS strikes on a Russian S-400 TEL in Belgorod oblast that was located by the 429th Achilles Brigade. https://t.co/JQeQ980VPP https://t.co/X5MSQYsK1D
OSINT Credibility Suffers when Aggregators Hide Original Sources
One of the biggest problems with OSINT is when aggregator accounts don't link to their original source. Multiple accounts will then often copy the same video and repost it, which makes it difficult to determine the credibility of the information.
FPV Loitering Munitions Successfully Destroy Camouflaged Russian Tank
Looks like the tank was targeted by a fiber optic cable FPV and loitering munition before the footage. https://t.co/EOrdYfza2z
Russia's February Territorial Gains Hit Slowest Since July
.@Deepstate_UA assesses that Russia occupied 126 square kilometers of territory in February, the slowest monthly rate of advance since July 2024. https://t.co/2dKQBBRy4g https://t.co/Jgl5BP796u
Ukraine Says Russian Spies Use Telegram, Urges Restrictions
After a terrorist attack yesterday in Lviv, Ukraine's Minister of the Interior Ihor Klymenko said that the Russian intelligence services communicate with Ukrainian agents through Telegram in at least half of the cases. He said it is impossible to ban...
Ukraine's Ground Forces Host Over 10,000 Foreign Volunteers
"Kostiantyn Milevskyi, Deputy Head of the Department for Coordination of Foreign Military Service in the Armed Forces of Ukraine, has said that volunteer soldiers from 75 countries have joined units of the Ukrainian Ground Forces, with around 600 volunteer soldiers...
Defense Minister Fedorov Plans Comprehensive Mobilization Reform
Minister of Defense Fedorov said that he is working on a comprehensive mobilization reform. https://t.co/7MHcCnXjnQ https://t.co/y5PT8u4NMw
Kill Zones Define Target Priorities by Range
This is a good article but I would add one thing: there are different target priorities and level of threat at different ranges in the kill zone. This is somewhat similar to air defense bubbles you see on maps that...
Russian Forces Push East of Slovyansk Into Sumy
Updated map showing Russian advances east of Slovyansk and across the border in Sumy oblast. https://t.co/Ch02MuW5N8 https://t.co/ybsgxbdlor
Ukrainian 67th Brigade Launches FPV Strike on Russian Molniya
Video from Ukraine's 67th Mechanized Brigade of an FPV strike on Russian Molniya positions. https://t.co/9Z0n5nY9vZ https://t.co/E1b1o5nmTK
Frontline Exhaustion Drives Ukrainian Army Desertions
From Ukrainian serviceman Kostiantyn Honcharov: "The Ukrainian army has been dogged by problems that have accumulated over the years, and this is aside from discussions over the technological transformation of modern warfare. These persistent problems are beginning to break front-line fighters faster...
Ukraine's Huliaipole Push Aims to Drain Russian Forces
The commander of Ukraine's 1st Assault Regiment characterizes Ukraine's offensive operation in the Huliaipole area as improving the tactical situation and designed to exhaust Russian resources. He says it isn't a counteroffensive with penetration at operational depths.
Cold Weather Cripples Ukrainian Aerial Countermeasures and FPV Cables
Weather still has a very significant effect. Ukrainian fighter aircraft , helicopters, and UAV interceptors were all less effective countering Shaheds over the winter because of the weather. The fiber optic cables on FPVs often fail because of the cold....
Russia Equips Molniya with Geran‑style Mesh Modems
According to Serhii Flash, Russia has installed mesh modems on Molniya similar to the ones used on Geran and Gerbera. https://t.co/0MrbFEDbvA https://t.co/NYuN8bvpH6
Ukrainian UAVs Evolve Fast—NATO Should Buy Now
I think this is an additional argument for purchasing Ukrainian FPVs and other UAVs. Ukrainian companies update their UAVs regularly to meet the changing requirements on the battlefield and Russian adaptations. Makes sense for NATO members to benefit from these...
Starlink Loss Hampers Russian Tank Navigation and Assaults
There is another interesting consequence of the loss of Starlink. Russian tanks and armored vehicles are often equipped with Starlink and cameras that stream video back to command posts. Because it is usually the first assault for these drivers, they...
Ukraine's UAVs Destroy Russian Air Defenses and Infrastructure
Videos of FP-2 strikes by Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces and SBU Alpha on Tor-M1 and S-300VM air defense systems, command posts, warehouses, UAV launch points, and other targets. https://t.co/NYeDtpqsPM https://t.co/dpmHaDxrqK https://t.co/H2iQiNH8gF https://t.co/PO8F68r8Mn
Ukrainian Women Reveal Widespread Russian War Rape
"Hundreds of Ukrainian women and girls have reported sexual violence by Russian troops during the nearly four years of full-scale war in Ukraine, according to Ukrainian authorities and aid groups. The actual number of victims, advocates say, is most likely...
Ukraine Poised to Earn Billions From Wartime Arms Exports
“Ukraine could export several billion dollars of military goods and services this year after authorising its first wartime foreign sales and is considering introducing a tax on those exports, a senior Ukrainian defence official said. Earlier this month, the state commission...
European Spies Say Russia Isn’t Seeking Peace, Talks Futile
“European intelligence chiefs are pessimistic about the chances of an agreement being reached this year to end Russia's war in Ukraine, despite Donald Trump's assertions that U.S.-brokered talks have brought the prospect of a deal ‘reasonably close’. The heads of five...
Putin Sees Prolonged War as Leverage, Feels Victorious
“President Vladimir V. Putin believes he is winning, military and intelligence officials from several Western countries said in recent days. And he is convinced that even if it takes 18 months to two years to complete his hold on the...
Dispersed Troops Derailed Ukraine’s Plan to Cut Crimea Supply
From an interview with Valerii Zaluzhnyi regarding the 2023 offensive: “The original plan was to concentrate enough forces into a “single fist” to retake the partially occupied region of Zaporizhzhia — home to a vital nuclear power plant — and then...
Ukrainian Marines Defy Encirclement, Outsmart Russian UAVs
At the beginning of February, I interviewed Lieutenant Colonel Yevhen Bespalov, the commander of Ukraine's 38th Marine Brigade with @francisjfarrell and @KI_Insight. (00:20) What is the current situation in Myrnohrad? (03:24) Has the brigade been fighting from an encirclement and how do...
