Samir Arora

Samir Arora

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India fund manager; frequent commentary on Indian stocks, earnings, and market structure

Cheap AI Spurs Usage, Yet New Players Reap Rewards
SocialApr 19, 2026

Cheap AI Spurs Usage, Yet New Players Reap Rewards

One argument given is that low cost of AI will trigger higher usage and create volume growth- like lower telecoms cost has done for spread of telephony and lower electronics cost ( say for TVs) has deepened penetration beyond...

By Samir Arora
AI Won’t Replace Humans, It’ll Shrink Workforce Size
SocialApr 19, 2026

AI Won’t Replace Humans, It’ll Shrink Workforce Size

I often hear this argument: AI will not be able to do everything, we will still need humans to supervise, monitor etc Obviously we will still need people- question is how many fewer people will be needed to do...

By Samir Arora
Delhi NCR Hosts 54 Grocery Delivery Startups, Disproving Myth
SocialApr 16, 2026

Delhi NCR Hosts 54 Grocery Delivery Startups, Disproving Myth

Why these random thoughts that people on X have- " hey anyone can set up new age businesses by losing money and there is no other moat" are so wrong. There were 54 grocery delivery start ups in Delhi NCR alone. https://t.co/S00vfn7flW

By Samir Arora
Rupee Surge Makes 250 Crore Worth $1.2 Billion
SocialApr 16, 2026

Rupee Surge Makes 250 Crore Worth $1.2 Billion

Good to know that INR has strengthened so much that 250 crores is approximately equal to $1.2 billion

By Samir Arora
FIIs Misread India: Growth Potential Undermined by Taxes
SocialApr 14, 2026

FIIs Misread India: Growth Potential Undermined by Taxes

what this article shows is how wrong the FIIs can be. When they thought India was the only game in town in 2 yrs it was not- now they think other countries are the only game in town so... Reality is...

By Samir Arora
Consider SIPs in Global Markets Despite FII Sell‑off
SocialApr 11, 2026

Consider SIPs in Global Markets Despite FII Sell‑off

Anurag, so yr advise is that public wait for 600 billion of FII selling before investing. In the meantime where to invest. FDs ? Or u think with SIPs as low as 100 rupees per month they should start investing...

By Samir Arora
FX Unwind Loss Overstated Amid INR Depreciation
SocialMar 30, 2026

FX Unwind Loss Overstated Amid INR Depreciation

Just relax about this supposed 4,000 crore loss on FX unwinding. Just in the past month the INR has depreciated by over 4%. All these positions would not have been set up for the first time at Friday 27th close....

By Samir Arora
Long‑term Investing Struggles in a Short‑term World
SocialMar 25, 2026

Long‑term Investing Struggles in a Short‑term World

Got these 2 from amazon and one still to come: The making of a Permabear: the perils of long-term investing in a short-term world by Edward Chancellor. https://t.co/fCSCHdbe4y

By Samir Arora
Don't Quit Mid-Week If You Value Stakeholders
SocialMar 19, 2026

Don't Quit Mid-Week If You Value Stakeholders

If you care about your company, if you care about the time you spent there, if you care about other stakeholders and shareholders- u do not resign with immediate effect in the middle of a week.

By Samir Arora
India’s FII Holdings Dwarfed by Three Chip Giants
SocialMar 18, 2026

India’s FII Holdings Dwarfed by Three Chip Giants

FII holding in India: approx. US$ 750 billion FII holding in just Samsung Electronics, TSMC and Hynix: US$ 1.75 trillion Source: Nomura How much India has lost in past 2-3 yrs on a relative basis is crazy.

By Samir Arora
Buying Now Equals Holding All Along, No Extra Gain
SocialMar 13, 2026

Buying Now Equals Holding All Along, No Extra Gain

Wrong analysis. For example, If person sitting on cash invests on Monday then from Monday evening onwards he is in the same position as the one who was holding the same stock all through. There is no additional benefit in buying...

By Samir Arora
Investors Should Apply Economists' Simple Extrapolation to Stocks
SocialMar 10, 2026

Investors Should Apply Economists' Simple Extrapolation to Stocks

I enjoy very much how economists analyze: Oil is up $50. India imports 5 million per day. This is US$ 250 m extra per day or US$ 7.5 billion per month. How will India make up for annual US$ 90 billion...

By Samir Arora
Oil Supply Drop Equals ~4 Days, Not 20
SocialMar 9, 2026

Oil Supply Drop Equals ~4 Days, Not 20

Current oil supply is not zero. It is 20% less than before. So this would mean 20 days of consumption.

By Samir Arora
March 9, 2009: Market Bottom Marks 17-Year Recovery
SocialMar 9, 2026

March 9, 2009: Market Bottom Marks 17-Year Recovery

Today is March 9th. Do you remember March 9th, 2009. That day the equity markets bottomed out after the Global Financial Crisis. Happy Anniversary.

By Samir Arora