Scott Murray

Scott Murray

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Options/volatility trader and educator; author of Smashing Volatility newsletter; frequent options/vol trade commentary.

Optimistic Talks Amid Tighter Hormuz Closure
SocialApr 10, 2026

Optimistic Talks Amid Tighter Hormuz Closure

get ready for a deluge of 'talks went great' with the Hormuz shut tighter than a nun

By Scott Murray
Throw Insult Grenades Before Any Ceasefire Talks
SocialApr 8, 2026

Throw Insult Grenades Before Any Ceasefire Talks

#3 Current WS rule on negotiating during ceasefires - Toss as many insult grenades as possible before you even sit down

By Scott Murray
Escalating Middle East Conflict Ignored by Markets
SocialApr 8, 2026

Escalating Middle East Conflict Ignored by Markets

Ok let's review, Strait is back to closed, Israel is bombing Tehran and Lebanon, Iran is drone bombing Kuwait/Saudi pipelines/UAE, they are threatening to cancel Friday's meeting and the markets couldn't care less.

By Scott Murray
Volatility Plummets to YTD Lows as Market Improves
SocialApr 8, 2026

Volatility Plummets to YTD Lows as Market Improves

$VIX $VIX9D Servepro, like it never happened/ Vol is having a fire sale near YTD lows because it's all better now https://t.co/sR8Qr60aaR

By Scott Murray
Wells Fargo Predicts Swift Strait of Hormuz Reopening
SocialApr 7, 2026

Wells Fargo Predicts Swift Strait of Hormuz Reopening

They are drunk in fantasyland over at WFG: "The team at the Wells Fargo Investment Institute has a base case that sees a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz occur relatively soon, as well as limited damage to Middle Eastern...

By Scott Murray
S&P 500’s Next Move: Uncertain
SocialMar 20, 2026

S&P 500’s Next Move: Uncertain

Will $SPX unclench up or down next week? It has been pretty consistent for a while now fwiw

By Scott Murray
Option Flows Aren't Market Masters; March 5 Misread Macro
SocialMar 19, 2026

Option Flows Aren't Market Masters; March 5 Misread Macro

option flows don't always control the mkt, real bad call on Mar 5, too myopic in blowing off the macro https://t.co/hLBe0RyCYC

By Scott Murray
Mass
SocialMar 19, 2026

Mass

$GLD put of the day, 450 opex from $1-30, inciting a dealer dumpathon ON https://t.co/jU8qmVi9bh

By Scott Murray
MU Release Early, QQQ/SMH Traders Get Spike Window
SocialMar 18, 2026

MU Release Early, QQQ/SMH Traders Get Spike Window

$MU $SMH MU release in Dec was before 4:15, so QQQ/SMH option slingers will have time to play the spike party before they close https://t.co/S4f0jns98f

By Scott Murray
Oil Chart Hints at Rising Inflation Pressures
SocialMar 17, 2026

Oil Chart Hints at Rising Inflation Pressures

$USO There's a lot going on behind the CL chart, lots of inflationary stuff we will see as the year goes on https://t.co/QQRYWzhzi2

By Scott Murray
VIX Mock Rally Lifts
SocialMar 6, 2026

VIX Mock Rally Lifts

$VIX Mock cheer for COR1M, up from the dead/all time lows during earnings season to last spring and last Nov levels https://t.co/Ykw6arRCk3

By Scott Murray
U.S. Sees -2% as Volatile; Nikkei Drops 10%
SocialMar 4, 2026

U.S. Sees -2% as Volatile; Nikkei Drops 10%

Americans think a -2% day is crazy volatile, while the Nikkei is down 10% in the first three days of March https://t.co/997R5MoBjs

By Scott Murray
Private‑credit and AI Scare Trade Slashed Stocks, Volatility Ahead
SocialFeb 27, 2026

Private‑credit and AI Scare Trade Slashed Stocks, Volatility Ahead

1% from ATHs, pathetic, imagine when real vol shows up: Private-credit ‘cockroaches’ and the AI ‘scare trade’ hammered stocks in February. Here’s what else has investors shaken up. https://t.co/mzDqO7IsGo

By Scott Murray
Vol Market Is Ridiculously Easy—Trade While It Lasts
SocialFeb 26, 2026

Vol Market Is Ridiculously Easy—Trade While It Lasts

$VIX You have to love this mkt, it's so fricken stupid, it's so easy to trade vol, enjoy it while it lasts https://t.co/39f4OYBDnn

By Scott Murray