Prepare Now: 2026 Hormuz Shock Will Upend Budgets
We‘ve Only Just Begun in the words of Carol Carpenter. This is a long game. Risk managers need to be preparing their boards now for a traumatic 2026. Ditch your budget from 2025 and your growth targets. Run a strategy and risk offsite in the next few weeks of watch your assumptions crumble as the impact of the closure in Hormuz hits everyone’s calculations.

20‑Year Data Reveals
Extraordinary data from the last 20 years showing changing fortunes across the worlds top 15 economies on the level where it matters : the individual. These figures get even more dramatic if we switch to PPP. If we factor inflation...
Comedy Central's Recruitment Flops; Admins Claim Premature Victory
Seems the recruitment campaign from Comedy Central isn’t going so well, therefore the administration has decided to declare victory and move on. 🫡 https://t.co/Zwq3uKNXJK
Asymmetric Wars Threaten Global Catastrophe Without Exit
Asymmetry in warfare is a massive problem in David and Goliath engagements. This is the most extreme example I can think of since the Vietnam war. Anyone got more appropriate examples please share in the comments. With no off ramp...
Trump’s Legacy May Spark Global Nuclear Arms Race
Welcome to the most dangerous world in our generation. Will Trumps legacy will be a world in which every nation races to get a nuclear deterrent? Can we look forward to might is right as the guide for international relations...
Fragmenting Supply Chains Threaten Defense Without China
Global supply chains are fragmenting right now. From a risk perspective this means that every major piece of defense equipment destroyed in the Gulf, may be almost irreplaceable without China’s support. How did team USA get here? Failures of risk...

Hong Kong Risk Managers Attend Exclusive PARIMA Masterclass
Hong Kong @PARIMAorg Masterclass kicked off this morning with closed door session for risk managers only co-hosted with my friend Antonio Kam https://t.co/z4hOcuXEvv
Back in Hong Kong, Marveling at West Kowloon Architecture
West Kowloon station heading for Shenzhen. What another amazing architectural feat this is. Delighted to back in Hong Kong and China once again. https://t.co/A4oznKSvcm

China Embraces Open‑source Quantum; US May Retreat to Closed Systems
China going open source with Quantum computing in the same way they have with AI. It will be interesting to see how this plays out as once again it seems likely the big US players will build fortress closed systems...

Parametric Insurance Accelerates Disaster Payouts Amid Climate Uncertainty
Rethinking Disaster Risk: Innovations And Insights In Parametric Insurance (Descartes Underwriting) Disaster risk is intensifying – and traditional indemnity models are not always built for the speed and volatility we are now facing. At the 𝗣𝗔𝗥𝗜𝗠𝗔 𝗛𝗼𝗻𝗴 𝗞𝗼𝗻𝗴 𝗠𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗰𝗹𝗮𝘀𝘀 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲, Descartes Underwriting...