MU Below 640 Triggers Pullback Signal
$MU 35 off the low. if it ever starts to hold below 640 that is my signal for a real pullback...
Timing, Valuation, and Structure Outweigh Strategic Fit in M&A
1/🧵Respectfully disagree with the framing here. The strategic logic of combining Tesla and SpaceX may be sound — but timing, valuation, and structure matter enormously in M&A. A few points worth considering:
Watch MU: Failure Above S1 Signals Bigger Pullback
if you're looking for a larger pullback in $MU (like i am) what you need to see after the bounce off S3 is a failure to hold above S1 ☑️ and then a hold below S3 ❓ https://t.co/a6sJxL5dDH
GLP‑1 Use Surges, Unlocking $100B Anti‑obesity Market
i think roughly 40% of Americans are significantly overweight so still plenty of upside for GLPs. $LLY
Parabolic AMD Rally Likely to Reverse, QQQ Already Pulling Back
market has gone from strong to parabolic on $AMD earnings and rumored end to hostilities in Middle East. we have seen a few days like this in the past year go from green to red. $QQQ has already...
SpaceX’s Space Data Centers Face Massive Technical, Cost Barriers
SpaceX wants to put data centers in space. Watch an engineer break down the biggest technical hurdles and costly barriers it would face. https://t.co/QtaUsm5ztM via @WSJ
Bitcoin's Higher Lows Signal Slow March to $100K
bitcoin continues to make higher lows and higher highs. --it rarely is ever good for day trading but fun to watch it slowly grind back towards 100k @PeterSchiff https://t.co/Cyr0L9CPpN
Burden of Proof Now on AI Naysayers
Six months ago, people arguing that AI was a bubble were pointing to real-world facts, Rogé Karma argues, but now “the burden of proof has shifted to the naysayers.” https://t.co/5WjuWnjXpE
Buy Pullbacks to R1 After R3 Breakout
often, when you see a strong opening drive above R3 the pullback to R1 will be bought... $TEAM https://t.co/7TF8533yTV
GOOGL Rebounds From S3 Dip to R2
they didn't make $GOOGL easy this morning with the late flush below S3. but eventually nice rubber band bounce from S3 to R2. https://t.co/VkRvfdgkVO
Google's Deep Pockets Ensure Waymo's Continued Funding
Google has so much money it's almost certain they will continue to fund Waymo until it completely pivots to a viable business model. $GOOGL
Microsoft Stock Bounces, Awaiting Volatile Earnings Call
407 low. back to 415. and we haven't even had the CC yet which tends to be nutty... $MSFT https://t.co/fubZuBHMV2
Aschenbrenner’s AI‑Era Fund Boosts Bloom Energy 13‑fold
Aschenbrenner is the top fund manager of the AI Era (KISS). Bloom energy now a 13X since he got involved. $BE https://t.co/RJrhSug8xs
Merger Mirrors Tesla Milestones to Align Musk Compensation
not a coincidence it is targeting similar market cap milestones to Tesla. this is likely to make a proposed merger fit within Musk compensation packages across both entities. also easier to *market the deal* to skeptical Tesla investors. $TSLA
Tesla's FSD Beats Huawei ADAS in China Test
In China they're running side by side Tesla FSD comp to Huawei ADAS and the results speak for themselves. $TSLA
Tesla Robotaxi App Installs in Under a Minute
Downloaded Tesla @robotaxi app for Android Took less than 1 minute to download and install Payment linked to my Tesla account. Seamless. https://t.co/7Z0wFG5wUC
Google and Tesla Double Down on In‑House Chip Development
why are Google and Tesla tripling down on their own chips? $GOOGL $TSLA $SMH https://t.co/1NJoOk9CxU
QQQ Slides 10 Points, Look for Long at LOD
$QQQ dropped about 10 in the past hour. little pop there. trade long against LOD... https://t.co/asgS8ZptZA
TXN Leads as Prime Example of SMB Money Trade
$TXN #1 today is a great example of the SMB "The Money Trade" (google it) https://t.co/Q19DB7qFKr
Tesla's $25B Capex and Robo‑Taxi Delay Pressure Stock
based on the chatter it seems the 2 things driving $TSLA lower after the pop are 1. $25B capex 2. robo-taxi scale deployment pushed out to 2027 ------- it's hit both sides of the "risk range" i highlighted ystdy. --i'll trade it long if...
Bitcoin Climbs Past Weekly High, Stays in Month‑long Channel
bitcoin continues to move higher in a trend channel established over the past month. above last week's high. $IBIT https://t.co/Fbkkini3ri
BE Rebounds to Opening High, Fourth Consolidation Day
$BE back to opening high. 4th day of consolidation since the gap to 200. https://t.co/u7Xa3wwZk0
Chasing Tesla Buyers Stopped Out Before Earnings
chasers punished in $TSLA this morning. --buyers at R2 this morning just stopped out below S2. --earnings on wednesday after the close. https://t.co/4IEY6Dyx2r
Adobe's AI Doubts Limit Bounce; 250‑260 Range Possible
The market is skeptical of Adobe's ability to navigate the AI Apocalypse so it failed to bounce last week with other software names. --today's WSJ caused a pre-market pop that was faded --it $ADBE begins to consolidate above 250 there is some...
Tesla Trucks Cost a Fraction of Gas Fleet
so odd that SpaceX would want to replace all their gas vehicles with Cybertrucks... $TSLA
Tesla's Robo‑Taxi Zones Tiny, Expanding Fast, No Observers
Here is the size of the initial Tesla robo-taxi launch areas compared to Austin. Expect rapid scaling of the areas in the coming weeks. Unlike Austin these new areas appear to have launched without safety observers. $TSLA https://t.co/9bgF8tUuvG
Tesla's Sub‑cent Per‑mile Claim Ignores Real Costs
--it's a choice at this point to continue posting nonsense. --tesla owned charging infrastructure would cost less than 1c per mile when amortized. $TSLA --here is a link to the model and you can adjust the assumptions https://t.co/P0lhVlfDYw https://t.co/G0pGeXnA12
Microsoft Rallies, Hits R3, Returns to S2
good intraday price action in $MSFT today. S2 buying. runs to R3. return trip to S2. https://t.co/kl1ZBogVBs
Asset Unfreeze Tied to Hormuz Strait Opening
"unfreezing Iranian assets has been part of the agreement to open the Straight of Hormuz". --Iran $USO
Biden Blocks JetBlue Deal, Opens Cheap Asset Grab
Great work by Biden admin blocking JetBlue acquisition. Now acquire the assets on the cheap so a win for $JBLU ?
Selling Pressure Sparks Fresh Intraday QQQ Highs
every instance of selling pressure today has been followed by a new intraday high. 🤔$QQQ https://t.co/nJ8Ad7tkNo
Buy Deep OTM SPX Puts on Potential Tanker Attack
a pretty good asymmetric trade would be buying some WAY OTM SPX puts for May on the off chance Hegsweth decides to torpedo a Chinese oil tanker... thoughts?
Demis Debunks Viral Claim of Google's Slow AI Adoption
Demis calls BS on the viral post about slow internal AI adoption at Google. $GOOGL https://t.co/5J8YNOIxN1
Amazon's Faster, Single-Dish Wi‑Fi Wins Delta over Starlink
This may explain why Delta went with Amazon instead of Starlink. 3X the download speed and only a single dish required for each aircraft. $AMZN $DAL
QQQ Spike Fades, TSLA Retracement Signals Buy
two things outlined in prmkt meeting have already occured: 1)QQQ spike above 611. this is a fade 2)TSLA drive above 350. this is a buy on a retracement
Musk Pivots From Covid Errors to Vaccine Advocacy
It wasn't sufficient for Musk to have gotten everything wrong on Covid at the time so he's now a *vaccine truther*. https://t.co/uOnL637BEi
No Kraken Account, yet Hackers Keep Trying
whoever just tried to hack into my Kraken account. i don't have a Kraken account. carry on!
QQQ Poised to Test 612 After
$QQQ spiked above 612 on the CPI print where we failed early march before the sell off. --i expect we will fail there today but if not look out above.. https://t.co/NQjjOdJBMM
Google's Dutch Auction IPO Still Seen Overvalued
To be clear when Google IPO'd most on Wall Street believe it was "insanely overvalued". That was even with sppressed pricing because Google chose to not do a traditional IPO but rather a *dutch auction*. The pricing was so low that neither...
Tesla Rebounds Above $340, Eyes $350 to End Dip
$TSLA back above 340 after testing this week's low and being bought at S2. this is typically how it bottoms. a couple of closes above 350 would negate recent downward momentum. https://t.co/jZW69oVwfM
Can Europe’s Non‑intervention in Hormuz Be Bet?
i don't think Europe will send military forces to Hormuz. can i bet on this @kalshi?
Tesla Launches FSD Workshops for New Owners
Tesla has started inviting new owners to "FSD Workshops" to learn more about their cars autonomous capabilities. $TSLA https://t.co/5CTYxOxqOU
Musk Eyes SpaceX IPO This Summer, Beating AI Rivals
Musk, who’d long insisted he would never take SpaceX public—at least not until it had established a Mars colony—appears to be trying to beat AI rivals Anthropic and OpenAI to the public markets as early as this summer. https://t.co/HOEydX4Vk4
TSLA Must Stay Above 342 for Call Profit
bought some 350 calls for next week. probably needs to start holding above 342 today for a bounce. $TSLA
Expect QQQ Bounce to 585 After Trump‑triggered Dip
market started dropping in trump's truth social post. i held the $QQQ bid at 583.25. look for retracement back to 585.
Claude AI Pinpoints Cause of Recent Overcharges
It looks like @claudeai has identified why we have been getting overcharged for the past week. Identified an issue resulting in elevated errors on CaludeAI
NY Sparks Debate Over Inevitable Driverless Car Future
Across NY, debate about the inevitability of driverless cars begins $TSLA $GOOGL https://t.co/FPsUttlkYT via @CityAndStateNY
Tesla Gains as BYD Loses: Chinese Consumers Choose Wisely
Tesla is growing in China. Byd is shrinking in China. Chinese consumers are smart. $TSLA
Profiting without Catching Day‑1 Oversold Bounce
you don't have to catch an oversold bounce on Day 1 to do very well. i highlighted $MU in the pre-market meeting because it had only bounced $30 after a quick $160 decline. it was #1 long on desk today and more...
Buy More SpaceX Shares As Valuation Drops
SpaceX IPO likely in June. Here is how I'm thinking about participation: 1)priced at $1.75T i'll buy zero shares 2)priced at $1.5T i'll buy 25% position 3)priced at $1.25T i'll buy 50% postion 4)priced at $1T i'll buy a full position