Turner Novak

Turner Novak

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Founder of Banana Capital, meme-loving venture investor

AI Bubble Stalls as Compute Limits Force Enterprise Pivot
SocialMar 27, 2026

AI Bubble Stalls as Compute Limits Force Enterprise Pivot

Sydney Sweeney chimes in on the AI bubble in a recent interview: “We're hitting a wall scaling compute. Everyone's pivoting to high margin enterprise revenue. Sovereign's are defaulting on mega fund capital calls. Elon's doing an emergency, no-lockup retail dump pitching...

By Turner Novak
Law Firms Earn $69B, Outpacing Google’s R&D
SocialMar 27, 2026

Law Firms Earn $69B, Outpacing Google’s R&D

Wild stat "America’s top 100 law firms made a combined $69 billion in profit in 2025, greater than Google’s 2025 R&D budget. Every cent was paid out to the firms’ partners as compensation."

By Turner Novak
Tech‑Heavy Startups Dominate Harmonic Q2 List with Minimal Overlap
SocialMar 25, 2026

Tech‑Heavy Startups Dominate Harmonic Q2 List with Minimal Overlap

Harmonic just dropped its Q2 '26 Hot 25 list, featuring the early stage companies seeing the most investor interest on @Harmonic_AI's platform. My biggest takeaways: Almost zero competition between these products. Every quarter, this list has multiple clusters of startups all sort...

By Turner Novak
Red Lobster's $1.2B AI Shrimp Basket Fantasy
SocialMar 25, 2026

Red Lobster's $1.2B AI Shrimp Basket Fantasy

I can’t wait to see this in the Red Lobster board deck justifying why they’re spending $1.2B to create AI-powered endless shrimp baskets

By Turner Novak
AI Autopiloted Term Sheet, Closing Deals in Seconds
SocialMar 24, 2026

AI Autopiloted Term Sheet, Closing Deals in Seconds

Sent a founder a term sheet. $500k @ $10m post. She replied, and CC’d my assistant. “Too low. Claude, double the check size, 3x the valuation, and introduce me to Zuck and Jensen.” I laughed, as if that would work. I keep those intros...

By Turner Novak
LinkedIn Faces SOC2 Non‑compliance Shock Monday
SocialMar 20, 2026

LinkedIn Faces SOC2 Non‑compliance Shock Monday

LinkedIn gonna be crazy on Monday when they all find out they’re not SOC2 compliant

By Turner Novak
Fine‑tuning Wasted; RAG Outperforms for Real Value
SocialMar 20, 2026

Fine‑tuning Wasted; RAG Outperforms for Real Value

From @scottastevenson on why fine tuning models was the biggest mistake in AI: "Founders learned investors were hungry for this narrative, and they all pitched them on it. And it was hyper legible, because it painted them like OpenAI. Since this was...

By Turner Novak
Hanover Park Raises $27M to Power $100T Infrastructure
SocialMar 18, 2026

Hanover Park Raises $27M to Power $100T Infrastructure

Chris, Nick, and @hanoverpark have been on a tear the past 20 months. Have never seen a company build so much trust with customers so quickly. They just raised $27M to continue assembling the dream team to build the financial infrastructure...

By Turner Novak
VC Automates $10M AI Startup Investments via OpenClaw
SocialMar 15, 2026

VC Automates $10M AI Startup Investments via OpenClaw

My buddy just switched over his entire VC firm ($3B AUM) to run on OpenClaw Anytime someone submits a deck on their website, it checks their LinkedIn. If their employer is OpenAI or Anthropic, it automatically asks to invest $10m on...

By Turner Novak
General AI Can't Outpace Specialized Legal Templates
SocialMar 14, 2026

General AI Can't Outpace Specialized Legal Templates

Pretty interesting argument on why ChatGPT and Claude won't replace all the vertical AI tools. In law specifically, it would actually slow you down. Lawyers have to read and understand every word in a document, and it's actually faster to work...

By Turner Novak
Find Investors
SocialMar 13, 2026

Find Investors

Everyone talks about 2 and 20 in VC. But what does it actually mean? 2 hours of podcasts per day 20 social media posts per day Find investors that enjoy the process.

By Turner Novak
UnitedHealth's Claims Processed by Single Employee Using DOS, Typewriter
SocialMar 12, 2026

UnitedHealth's Claims Processed by Single Employee Using DOS, Typewriter

Wow. United Health has just revealed that their claims department is run by one employee. He logs into MS Dos in the morning and reads through every claim, line-by-line. He then types each response manually on a type writer and faxes...

By Turner Novak
Free First-Year Corporate Tax Filing with Fondo
SocialMar 11, 2026

Free First-Year Corporate Tax Filing with Fondo

Staying on top of tax deadlines sucks. Cool new feature from Fondo making it easier for founders.

By Turner Novak
Bankers Claim $100M ARR Now Enough for IPO
SocialMar 10, 2026

Bankers Claim $100M ARR Now Enough for IPO

"I'm hearing bankers say things like, '$100 million ARR, we could probably take that public.' I haven’t heard that in a while."

By Turner Novak
Nvidia Gains When Neolab Spinouts Thrive
SocialMar 10, 2026

Nvidia Gains When Neolab Spinouts Thrive

Would very much be in Nvidia's best interest for as many of the Neolab spinouts to succeed as possible

By Turner Novak
Incumbents Must Pursue Big AI Acquisitions to Stay Competitive
SocialMar 5, 2026

Incumbents Must Pursue Big AI Acquisitions to Stay Competitive

New @ThePeelPod with @chetanp We talk Manus, the history + future of software, why incumbents should make big AI acquisitions, why investors are begging for AI companies to go public, and inside @Benchmark’s latest investing strategy. Thanks @Numeral and @FlexSuperApp for sponsoring...

By Turner Novak
Sequoia Fast‑tracked $75M Series B After Deep Customer Vetting
SocialMar 1, 2026

Sequoia Fast‑tracked $75M Series B After Deep Customer Vetting

A look inside @getserval's Series B, the #1 company on @harmonic_ai's Hot 25 list last quarter

By Turner Novak
AI Fails without Real‑time Data Architecture
SocialFeb 24, 2026

AI Fails without Real‑time Data Architecture

"AI makes real-time data table stakes. When an AI system is automating work flows, interacting directly with customers, and making decisions without a human in the loop, it just doesn't work if its running on stale data. It will give you...

By Turner Novak
Technical Founder‑Led Pre‑AI Software Firms Are Grossly Undervalued
SocialFeb 19, 2026

Technical Founder‑Led Pre‑AI Software Firms Are Grossly Undervalued

Scaled pre-AI software companies led by technical founders that are still very engaged in the business are probably some of the most undervalued companies in the world right now

By Turner Novak
YC Backs 20% of $5B+ Startups Since 2012
SocialFeb 19, 2026

YC Backs 20% of $5B+ Startups Since 2012

New @ThePeelPod with @GarryTan YC has invested in 20% of all startups worth $5B+ started since 2012. We talked for 83 minutes on the past, present, and future of YC. Thanks @numeral and @FlexSuperApp for sponsoring this one Timestamps: 0:05 Moving from Winnipeg to...

By Turner Novak
Ebay Sale Sparked Creation of Twitch and Cruise
SocialFeb 18, 2026

Ebay Sale Sparked Creation of Twitch and Cruise

From tomorrow's @ThePeelPod with @garrytan: A startup in the very first YC batch sold itself on Ebay. This got the attention of Kyle Vogt, who ended up joining them to start their next company, Twitch. Kyle then went on to then...

By Turner Novak
Content Drives Hiring: 10+ Hires From One Episode
SocialFeb 16, 2026

Content Drives Hiring: 10+ Hires From One Episode

Talked to a @BananaCap_ portfolio company this morning who mentioned they hired 10+ people from their @ThePeelPod episode. Insane how much value you can add for founders when you get really dialed in on content.

By Turner Novak
LPs Vet Stanford SPV Leader on Massive Anthropic Deal
SocialFeb 14, 2026

LPs Vet Stanford SPV Leader on Massive Anthropic Deal

OH in Palo Alto: LPs are REFCHECKING a Stanford SPV leader who is MOGGING Tier 1’s and FEEMAXXING at 3/30 on 9-figure DIRECT Anthropic allocations

By Turner Novak
Curated Tech Stack Powers Modern Venture Firms
SocialFeb 14, 2026

Curated Tech Stack Powers Modern Venture Firms

Optimal venture firm tech stack: -Fund Admin: @hanoverpark -Bank/Cards: @FlexSuperApp -CRM: @NotionHQ -Sales tax for port co’s: @numeral -Ski passes: @VailResorts -Travel: @NetJets / @FourSeasons -Everything else: @claudeai

By Turner Novak
Investing in Teams to Tackle Food & Nutrition Crisis
SocialFeb 13, 2026

Investing in Teams to Tackle Food & Nutrition Crisis

Food and nutrition is one of humanities biggest problems right now IMO Would love to invest in more teams working on solving this

By Turner Novak
Airwallex Hits $1B Run Rate, Finally Gets Noticed
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Airwallex Hits $1B Run Rate, Finally Gets Noticed

Airwallex just crossed a $1B rev run rate and feels like no one talked about them until late last year. Crazy.

By Turner Novak
VCs Push Startups to Scale Faster with AI
SocialFeb 8, 2026

VCs Push Startups to Scale Faster with AI

your VC board member who tells you to “grow faster” and asks “do we have an AI strategy?” https://t.co/zZEvCAtTTO

By Turner Novak
Investors Fund SPV to Lock in Anduril Equity
SocialFeb 8, 2026

Investors Fund SPV to Lock in Anduril Equity

how it feels raising an SPV at 5 and 20 to buy forward contracts on Anduril employee equity https://t.co/XjfQa1Z54u

By Turner Novak
Market Size Irrelevant; Success Can Exceed Initial TAM
SocialFeb 7, 2026

Market Size Irrelevant; Success Can Exceed Initial TAM

One of my biggest takeaways from talking to @dugsong and @jonoberheide: Market size doesn't matter. They ultimately sold Duo to Cisco for $2.35B, which was bigger than the initial TAM when they started the company.

By Turner Novak
Standard Capital Helps Without Sitting on Your Board
SocialFeb 3, 2026

Standard Capital Helps Without Sitting on Your Board

"@Standard_Cap's whole model is that they don't need to be on your board to be helpful"

By Turner Novak
Massive Pre‑Product Funding Could Bring AI To
SocialFeb 2, 2026

Massive Pre‑Product Funding Could Bring AI To

Now that you can raise a 9-figure round pre-product, there's a non-zero chance we see a Super Bowl ad for pre-revenue AI company this year.

By Turner Novak
Anthropic Chosen by 75% of New Startups
SocialJan 29, 2026

Anthropic Chosen by 75% of New Startups

Insane data from @Mercury. Anthropic has quickly become the first model of choice for 75% of newly formed startups.

By Turner Novak
Five Centuries of Venture Capital: A Visual Evolution
SocialJan 29, 2026

Five Centuries of Venture Capital: A Visual Evolution

Cool graphic on how the venture industry has evolved over the past 500 years. h/t @pavelprata https://t.co/2CL76j0nvR

By Turner Novak
Keep Re‑incorporating Daily Until Your Funding Closes
SocialJan 29, 2026

Keep Re‑incorporating Daily Until Your Funding Closes

if you don't close your round in the first day just re-incorporate every day until you close

By Turner Novak
VCs Can't Fund Ex‑OpenAI Founders Indefinitely
SocialJan 29, 2026

VCs Can't Fund Ex‑OpenAI Founders Indefinitely

“VCs can’t just keep giving OpenAI employees billions of dollars to start a new company forever” VCs: https://t.co/lVyo5wnDoI

By Turner Novak
AI Revolutionizes Enterprise Sales and Organizational Structure
SocialJan 28, 2026

AI Revolutionizes Enterprise Sales and Organizational Structure

New @ThePeelPod with @JacquelineSYC19 How AI is changing data, getting enterprise customers from cold emails during YC, building an AI BDR in-house, why most functions at @artie_labs report to the CTO (not CEO), and what it's like raising a Series...

By Turner Novak
Zoom Jumps 10% as Anthropic Stake Finally Priced
SocialJan 26, 2026

Zoom Jumps 10% as Anthropic Stake Finally Priced

Zoom is up 10% today, or about what its Anthropic position would be worth (I'd guess closer to 50x than 85x). It's trading at a $28B market cap as of right now, and its Anthropic position is probably worth ~$2-3B. Insane this...

By Turner Novak
A16z Pivots to Crypto, Seed, Secondaries, Abandons Series C/D
SocialJan 26, 2026

A16z Pivots to Crypto, Seed, Secondaries, Abandons Series C/D

Really interesting chart from a16z's latest State of Markets report: - a16z deployed $1.5B into crypto tokens in 2025. This looks to be majority of their increase in capital deployed between 2024 and 2025. - Also looks like a big jump in...

By Turner Novak
AI's Rapid Progress Outpaces Bubble Concerns, Driving Profits
SocialJan 24, 2026

AI's Rapid Progress Outpaces Bubble Concerns, Driving Profits

"There’s pockets of bubble-ish dynamics. But the technology is improving so fast, there’s so much more room to improve, and companies accelerating in AI are printing money."

By Turner Novak
Deep Dive: AI Trends and Investment Strategies with Nathan Benaich
SocialJan 22, 2026

Deep Dive: AI Trends and Investment Strategies with Nathan Benaich

Fun convo going deep on all things AI and how to invest in it with the 🐐 @nathanbenaich

By Turner Novak
Turn
SocialJan 20, 2026

Turn

if Indiana can go from losingest team in NCAA history to undefeated and CFP champion in two years, you can get to 3x DPI on the late stage SaaS portfolio you invested at 97x ARR in 2021

By Turner Novak
Series B Startup Naming Contest Tests VC Knowledge
SocialJan 18, 2026

Series B Startup Naming Contest Tests VC Knowledge

VC autism contest: Who can name the most startups that have raised a Series B. If you get a single one wrong, you’re eliminated at that number. Whoever gets the highest wins.

By Turner Novak
A16z's Fundraise Could Hand $1M to Every American
SocialJan 9, 2026

A16z's Fundraise Could Hand $1M to Every American

With its latest fundraise, a16z could give $1 million to every American and still have $10 billion left over.

By Turner Novak
AI Firms Dominate Q4 Secondary Market; SpaceX Returns to Top
SocialJan 8, 2026

AI Firms Dominate Q4 Secondary Market; SpaceX Returns to Top

The 30 most in-demand startup secondary shares in Q4 '25 (per Setter Capital) Big takeaways: - SpaceX is back at #1. It spent 2.5 years on top before Anthropic briefly surpassed it in Q3. - Little change at very top of the list...

By Turner Novak
Kevin Hartz: Backing Teens, AI Bubble, PayPal Wisdom
SocialJan 8, 2026

Kevin Hartz: Backing Teens, AI Bubble, PayPal Wisdom

New pod with @kevinhartz - why he backs so many teen founders - lessons from the PayPal Mafia - AI is the mother of all bubbles yet still underhyped - how Palantir, Xoom, and Eventbrite evolved from PayPal - sizing a hidden TAM - having kids...

By Turner Novak