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Typical Trading Errors
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Typical Trading Errors

•February 13, 2026
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Ashraf Laidi – Intraday Market Thoughts
Ashraf Laidi – Intraday Market Thoughts•Feb 13, 2026

Why It Matters

Premature exits erode returns for small accounts and amplify behavioral bias, while disciplined signal identification can boost intraday profitability across the FX market.

Key Takeaways

  • •Small traders exit trades prematurely
  • •USDJPY swung over 2% after NFP surprise
  • •Noise can obscure genuine price signals
  • •Patience improves intraday trade outcomes
  • •Daily newsletter offers actionable market insights

Pulse Analysis

The most common pitfall for retail participants is the psychological impulse to "do something" every trading day. This need for constant activity often leads to premature trade closures, even when the underlying price action still supports the original thesis. Studies of intraday behavior show that traders who exit early lock in smaller gains and expose themselves to higher transaction costs, ultimately dragging down portfolio performance. Recognizing that patience, not panic, drives better outcomes is the first step toward disciplined trading.

The USDJPY move following the February Non‑Farm Payroll (NFP) release provides a textbook example of signal versus noise. The data surprised the market, pushing the pair from 153.49 to a brief 154.60 before retracing to 152.26 within the same session. Such volatility can tempt inexperienced traders to chase fleeting spikes, yet the true directional bias emerged only after the initial turbulence subsided. By filtering out the erratic swings and focusing on the macro‑fundamental catalyst, traders can align positions with the genuine market narrative rather than fleeting price chatter.

For traders seeking to embed this discipline, systematic tools and curated research are indispensable. Platforms that overlay economic calendars with real‑time volatility metrics help isolate meaningful moves from background chatter. Moreover, subscribing to expert newsletters—like Laidi’s daily brief—provides actionable insights that reinforce a data‑driven mindset. Over time, integrating these resources cultivates a trading routine where decisions are anchored in fundamentals and statistical signals, not the urge for daily action.

Typical Trading Errors

Intraday Market Thoughts

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Typical Trading Errors

by Ashraf Laidi

Feb 12, 2026 10:04

Small Traders (small in experience or in size of account) often make the common error of losing focus and exiting a trade too early. Not necessarily because it is losing money, but because it is "doing nothing". They want action every day. It's premature and silly. Take a look at USDJPY for instance. Yesterday's NFP release showed a surprise jump of 2x expectations, while the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 4.3% from 4.4%. USDJPY jumped from 153.49 to 154.60, then immediately fell back to 153.00, returned to 154.00 before sliding to 152.26. There is NOISE & there is SIGNAL. [Here is a 90-second video of the trade shorting USDJPY above 155 on Monday.]

If you prefer to receive these daily analysis into your mailbox and not miss an update, then feel free to register (for free) in "My Account" section in the upper rightcorner of the website. If you already have a username and forgot your password then email us to for a password reset, or use another username (email) and most importantly click to "Subscribe to Newsletter".

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