Do U.S.-German Relations Have a Future?

Why It Matters

How Washington and Berlin redefine their relationship will shape European security, NATO cohesion, and transatlantic cooperation on challenges from Russia to Iran—affecting global strategic alignments and defense burdens. Continued divergence or constructive realignment will materially influence U.S. influence in Europe and Germany’s role as the continent’s anchor.

Summary

US-German relations are under heavy strain after public clashes during the Trump era, but experts argue the rupture reflects deeper, longer-running shifts rather than solely presidential personalities. Germany has emerged as Europe’s central economic and military power as the UK and France falter, prompting Berlin to pursue a more independent and assertive foreign and security policy. The United States is simultaneously recalibrating its approach to alliances, producing a move away from an emotionally charged partnership toward a pragmatic, interest-driven relationship. Observers expect predictability to return but not a full restoration of pre-Trump trust or the old status quo.

Original Description

Germany is the key power in Europe today. The future of the continent—and America's relations with it—will hinge on decisions made in Berlin. Yet the relationship is under mounting strain amid the war with Iran, President Trump's claims on Greenland, and possible withdrawals of U.S. troops from Germany. Has longstanding trust between Washington and Berlin been irreparably broken? What can Germany and America do to capitalize on shared interests in the future? Is it even worth trying?

Christopher Chivvis speaks with Sophia Besch, Senior Fellow in the Europe Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

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