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Global EconomyVideosIs Bayesian Forecasting Just a Fad or Here to Stay? | Macro Musings
Global EconomyAI

Is Bayesian Forecasting Just a Fad or Here to Stay? | Macro Musings

•February 16, 2026
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Mercatus Center
Mercatus Center•Feb 16, 2026

Original Description

On this week’s episode of Macro Musings, Andrew Martinez discusses his career as a forecaster, the current state of forecasting, the intersection of AI and forecasting, the role of the SEP and monetary policy surprises, his work with David on the NGDP Gap measure, and much more.
Read the transcript or listen to the full episode here: https://www.mercatus.org/macro-musings/andrew-martinez-art-forecasting
Follow Macro Musings: https://x.com/Macro_Musings
Follow David: https://x.com/DavidBeckworth
https://mercatus.org
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