CBO – Publications (budget/fiscal/economic projections)

CBO – Publications (budget/fiscal/economic projections)

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Independent analysis of U.S. budget, fiscal policy and macro projections.

Monthly Budget Review: March 2026
NewsApr 8, 2026

Monthly Budget Review: March 2026

The Congressional Budget Office reports that the federal budget deficit reached $1.2 trillion in the first half of fiscal year 2026. This figure is $139 billion lower than the same period last year, indicating a modest fiscal improvement. The decline reflects a...

By CBO – Publications (budget/fiscal/economic projections)
Using the CBO-EPPA Model to Analyze Carbon Import Tariffs and Export Rebates: Working Paper 2026-03
NewsMar 30, 2026

Using the CBO-EPPA Model to Analyze Carbon Import Tariffs and Export Rebates: Working Paper 2026-03

The Congressional Budget Office’s EPPA model evaluates a policy mix of carbon import tariffs, export rebates, and a carbon tax, measuring impacts on sector output, trade flows, and CO₂ emissions. Results show that tariffs on carbon‑intensive imports and rebates for...

By CBO – Publications (budget/fiscal/economic projections)
Mandatory Spending in Fiscal Year 2025: An Infographic
NewsMar 30, 2026

Mandatory Spending in Fiscal Year 2025: An Infographic

Mandatory outlays for fiscal year 2025 reached $4.2 trillion, with Social Security and Medicare accounting for more than half of that total. The surge reflects the largest decade‑long increases in the federal budget, driven primarily by health‑care entitlement programs. Over the...

By CBO – Publications (budget/fiscal/economic projections)
Legislation Considered Under Suspension of the Rules of the House of Representatives During the Week of March 16, 2026
NewsMar 12, 2026

Legislation Considered Under Suspension of the Rules of the House of Representatives During the Week of March 16, 2026

The House Majority Leader announced a slate of bills to be considered under suspension of the rules during the week of March 16, 2026. The Congressional Budget Office released estimates showing the combined effect of the measures on direct spending...

By CBO – Publications (budget/fiscal/economic projections)
Testimony on The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2026 to 2036
NewsMar 11, 2026

Testimony on The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2026 to 2036

CBO Director Phillip Swagel testified before the Senate Finance Subcommittee, presenting the agency’s latest 10‑year outlook for the federal budget and macroeconomy covering 2026‑2036. The projection shows persistent deficits averaging 4.5% of GDP, with federal debt climbing to roughly 115%...

By CBO – Publications (budget/fiscal/economic projections)
Monthly Budget Review: February 2026
NewsMar 9, 2026

Monthly Budget Review: February 2026

The Congressional Budget Office reports the federal deficit at $1.0 trillion for the first five months of FY2026, a $142 billion reduction versus the same period last year. The decline reflects tighter fiscal policies and slower spending growth. However, the deficit remains...

By CBO – Publications (budget/fiscal/economic projections)
Legislation Considered Under Suspension of the Rules of the House of Representatives During the Week of March 2, 2026
NewsFeb 26, 2026

Legislation Considered Under Suspension of the Rules of the House of Representatives During the Week of March 2, 2026

During the week of March 2, 2026, the House Majority Leader announced a slate of bills slated for consideration under suspension of the Rules, a procedure that streamlines passage by limiting debate and amendments. The Congressional Budget Office provided preliminary...

By CBO – Publications (budget/fiscal/economic projections)
CBO Expands Modeling Resources on GitHub
NewsFeb 25, 2026

CBO Expands Modeling Resources on GitHub

The Congressional Budget Office announced it will expand its public code repository on GitHub, releasing additional modeling scripts throughout the year. This move responds to heightened congressional interest in the agency’s analytical methods and aims to improve transparency. By sharing...

By CBO – Publications (budget/fiscal/economic projections)