Compounding Capital

Compounding Capital

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Substack with deep dives including merger arbitrage and special-situations case studies

Nano-Cap SaaS Gem: Headwinds, Green Shoots, and the Private Equity Playbook
NewsApr 2, 2026

Nano-Cap SaaS Gem: Headwinds, Green Shoots, and the Private Equity Playbook

The micro‑cap SaaS company posted FY2025 results that mix balance‑sheet strength with top‑line weakness. An at‑the‑market offering wiped out legacy debt, leaving the firm with zero debt and an undrawn credit line. Revenue fell year‑over‑year as its volatile segment faced...

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Pico-Cap FY25 Review: Strong Incremental Margins and Profitability Inflection...
NewsMar 24, 2026

Pico-Cap FY25 Review: Strong Incremental Margins and Profitability Inflection...

Pico-Cap’s FY25 report shows a dramatic earnings swing, with revenue surging and gross margins expanding to deliver full‑year profitability for a company valued under $10 million. Cash generated from operations before working‑capital changes suggests strong scalability once the business reaches larger...

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Exasol FY2025: The Turnaround Is Complete. Now Comes the Hard Part.
NewsMar 22, 2026

Exasol FY2025: The Turnaround Is Complete. Now Comes the Hard Part.

Exasol AG reported FY2025 results that confirm its cost‑structure turnaround, delivering $4.5 million EBITDA, $3.3 million net income and $4.3 million free cash flow. Annual recurring revenue in its focus verticals reached $29 million, but growth slowed to 10 % year‑over‑year, down from 24 % the...

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IDT Q2 FY26 Update: First Pass
NewsMar 12, 2026

IDT Q2 FY26 Update: First Pass

IDT Corp reported Q2 FY26 revenue up about 6% year‑over‑year, with its NRS, Fintech and net2phone segments contributing over half of operating income. GAAP EPS came in at $0.84, missing the consensus of $0.90‑$0.91, primarily because SG&A surged, highlighted by...

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Vistry’s FY25 Results: The Architect Exits, The Market Panics
NewsMar 10, 2026

Vistry’s FY25 Results: The Architect Exits, The Market Panics

Vistry Group posted FY25 adjusted operating profit of £354 million and cut net debt to £144 million, generating roughly £250 million of pre‑IFRS 16 free cash flow – an almost 19% yield on equity. Despite solid fundamentals, the stock plunged after the board announced...

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[Closed] John Wood Group
NewsMar 10, 2026

[Closed] John Wood Group

John Wood Group’s distressed merger arbitration has concluded with the acquisition finalized and a 30 pence per share payout slated within two weeks. The company’s shares were suspended on the FCA’s Official List and the London Stock Exchange, with a formal...

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[Update & Reveal] John Wood Group: Buyer Lock-In via Lending Pays Off: Double-Digit Gains Since January
NewsMar 3, 2026

[Update & Reveal] John Wood Group: Buyer Lock-In via Lending Pays Off: Double-Digit Gains Since January

John Wood Group’s merger with Sidara has cleared all antitrust and regulatory hurdles, confirming the buyer’s lock‑in strategy that began with a $250 million loan injection. The regulatory green light on March 3 triggered a share price rise to 28.70 pence, delivering double‑digit...

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