New Data Release: ECB Wage Tracker Continues to Suggest Negotiated Wage Pressures Easing in 2026
The European Central Bank’s wage tracker, updated through February 2026, shows negotiated wage growth easing to 2.6% in 2026, down 0.1 percentage point from the previous release. Smoothed one‑off payments project a modest quarterly rise, while unsmoothed and exclusion‑of‑one‑off measures indicate a stable, lower‑than‑previous‑year trajectory. Employee coverage of the tracker falls to roughly 37% by year‑end, reflecting a shrinking data pool as agreements shift beyond the forward‑looking horizon. The forward‑looking horizon will extend to Q1 2027 in the July release.
Luis De Guindos: Interview with El Mundo
In a March 20 interview, ECB Vice‑President Luis de Guindos warned that the Middle‑East war will significantly pressure euro‑area growth and inflation, though he does not expect a recession even under the most severe scenarios. The central bank’s baseline assumes...
Piero Cipollone: Digital Euro - Why?
The European Central Bank is advancing a digital euro to address the euro area’s reliance on non‑European card schemes, with 15 of 21 countries lacking a strong domestic digital payment option. A 12‑month pilot, beginning in the second half of...
Piero Cipollone: Digital Euro
The European Central Bank entered the current preparation phase for a digital euro in November 2025, concentrating on technical readiness, market engagement, and legislative support. A controlled pilot with real‑world transactions is slated for mid‑2027, with a potential first issuance targeted...
Number of Counterfeit Euro Banknotes Remains Low in 2025
ECB reported that 444,000 counterfeit euro banknotes were withdrawn in 2025, a 20% drop from the previous year and one of the lowest rates since the euro’s launch. The counterfeit rate fell to 14 per million genuine notes, with €20...
ECB Consumer Expectations Survey Results – January 2026
The ECB’s January 2026 Consumer Expectations Survey shows median inflation perception falling to 3.0% and 12‑month inflation expectations dropping to 2.6%, while three‑year expectations hold at 2.6% and five‑year expectations ease to 2.3%. Nominal income‑growth expectations rose to 1.2%, driven...
ECB Adopts Opinion on Appointment of Its Future Vice-President
The European Central Bank’s Governing Council issued an opinion supporting the EU Council’s proposed candidate, Boris Vujčić, for the next Vice‑President. Vujčić, currently Governor of the Croatian National Bank, will assume the role on 1 June 2026 for a non‑renewable eight‑year term,...
Isabel Schnabel: Fiscal Challenges Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty and Ageing Societies
Isabel Schnabel highlighted the euro area’s mounting fiscal pressures, noting that low debt levels often coincide with weak public investment. She examined Germany’s new defence and infrastructure package, showing it can lift GDP but also raise debt ratios under different...
Piero Cipollone: Digital Euro
ECB Executive Board member Piero Cipollone outlined the digital euro roadmap, confirming that the current preparation phase began in November 2025 and a pilot is slated for mid‑2027. The ECB aims for a first issuance in 2029, contingent on EU legislators...
ECB and ONCE Foundation Launch Collaboration to Ensure Digital Euro Is Accessible for Everyone
The European Central Bank has signed a collaboration agreement with Spain’s ONCE Foundation to make the digital euro app universally accessible, especially for people with disabilities, older adults, and those with limited digital skills. The foundation will provide technical advice,...
ECB Enhances Repo Facility for Central Banks
On 14 February 2026, the ECB’s Governing Council approved an overhaul of the Eurosystem repo facility for central banks (EUREP). The revised framework introduces standing access for a broad set of non‑euro‑area central banks, provided they meet anti‑money‑laundering and sanctions...
Piero Cipollone: Europe and Monetary Sovereignty
In a February 2026 speech, ECB Executive Board member Piero Cipollone warned that Europe’s monetary sovereignty is threatened by growing dependencies on foreign payment systems and digital assets. He argued that control over the euro, both in cash and digital...
ECB Appoints Thomas Broeng Jorgensen as Director General Specialised Institutions and Less Significant Institutions
The European Central Bank appointed Thomas Broeng Jorgensen as Director General for Specialised Institutions and Less Significant Institutions, effective 1 March 2026. In this role he will directly supervise specialised banks and coordinate the oversight of less‑significant banks through national supervisors. Jorgensen succeeds Patrick Amis,...
Luis De Guindos: Interview with Econostream Media
ECB Vice‑President Luis de Guindos told Econostream that inflation has fallen to 1.7% headline and core inflation is edging toward the 2% target, while the euro‑area economy is proving more resilient than expected. He highlighted downside risks from geopolitical flashpoints and...
Christine Lagarde: European Parliament Plenary Debate on the ECB Annual Report
In a February 9, 2026 speech to the European Parliament, ECB President Christine Lagarde reaffirmed the central bank’s independence while emphasizing its accountability to elected officials. She reported that headline inflation has fallen to 1.7% in January and is expected...
Statement From Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde announced that François Villeroy de Galhau will leave his post as Governor of the Banque de France after an eleven‑year tenure. Lagarde highlighted Villeroy's realism, strong European convictions, and collaborative style as assets to...