Mostly Economics

Mostly Economics

Publication
0 followers

India‑focused economics research blog covering macro, monetary policy, banking, and central banking.

The Euro as a Safe-Haven Currency Amid Geopolitical Tensions and Policy Uncertainty
NewsJun 4, 2026

The Euro as a Safe-Haven Currency Amid Geopolitical Tensions and Policy Uncertainty

A new ECB focus paper finds the euro has begun to act like a safe‑haven currency during recent risk‑off episodes in 2025‑2026. While historically the euro’s effective exchange rate rose only about 0.1% in stress periods, it showed notable appreciation...

By Mostly Economics
China’s Mercantilist Squeeze on Developing Countries
NewsJun 3, 2026

China’s Mercantilist Squeeze on Developing Countries

Researchers Shoumitro Chatterjee and Arvind Subramanian at PIIE find that China’s expanding trade surplus is crowding out low‑skill export sectors in developing economies. Despite its own shift to higher‑tech products, China still dominates apparel, footwear, and other labor‑intensive markets, limiting the traditional...

By Mostly Economics
How U.S. Bank Stock Prices Respond to Geopolitical Risk
NewsJun 3, 2026

How U.S. Bank Stock Prices Respond to Geopolitical Risk

A new research note finds that U.S. bank stock prices react unevenly to geopolitical risk, with sharp equity declines tied to specific bank characteristics. Banks that post weaker earnings, hold smaller liquidity buffers, and maintain larger operations in geopolitically stressed...

By Mostly Economics
The Razor’s Edge of Progress: How King Gillette Built an Abundance Revolution
NewsJun 2, 2026

The Razor’s Edge of Progress: How King Gillette Built an Abundance Revolution

King C. Gillette transformed personal grooming in the early 1900s by inventing a safety razor that used disposable blades. The design eliminated the need for sharpening, offering a cheap, convenient alternative to straight razors. Gillette patented the blade‑replacement system and...

By Mostly Economics
Velocity of Money: A US-India Comparison
NewsMay 29, 2026

Velocity of Money: A US-India Comparison

The Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) blog compares money velocity in the United States and India from 2004 to 2019. In 2004 the U.S. dollar circulated about 2.6 times per period, roughly twice the 1.3 times for the Indian rupee....

By Mostly Economics
District-Level Satellite Measures of the Indian Economy
NewsMay 27, 2026

District-Level Satellite Measures of the Indian Economy

A new open dataset released by XKDR provides district‑level satellite measures of India’s economy, combining annual building‑volume data (2016‑2023) from Google’s Open Buildings 2.5D Temporal with monthly VIIRS nighttime‑lights observations (2014‑present) cleaned via the PSTT2021 pipeline. The two layers give...

By Mostly Economics
A Tale of Two Countries – The Real Estate Crises in 1990s Japan and Contemporary China
NewsMay 27, 2026

A Tale of Two Countries – The Real Estate Crises in 1990s Japan and Contemporary China

A new Brookings paper by Kenneth Rogoff and Yuanchen Yang compares China’s current real‑estate slowdown with Japan’s 1990s property bust. The authors note that real estate now accounts for roughly one‑third of China’s aggregate demand and that housing represents about...

By Mostly Economics
Measurement of “Computer Software and Accessories” Inflation
NewsMay 27, 2026

Measurement of “Computer Software and Accessories” Inflation

A sharp rise in the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index’s “Computer Software and Accessories” category has drawn attention to structural market shifts and statistical quirks. Researchers estimate that a mismatch between the CPI and PCE baskets accounts for about...

By Mostly Economics
Frontrunner to Backburner – Status Update on Indian Sovereign Green Bonds
NewsMay 25, 2026

Frontrunner to Backburner – Status Update on Indian Sovereign Green Bonds

India entered the sovereign green bond market three years ago with strong macro credibility and climate ambition, but the initial enthusiasm has faded. Primary auctions have struggled to attract demand, secondary trading remains thin, and the expected greenium is virtually...

By Mostly Economics
Euro Adoption and Price Increases in Bulgaria: Separating Myths From Facts
NewsMay 11, 2026

Euro Adoption and Price Increases in Bulgaria: Separating Myths From Facts

Bulgaria officially adopted the euro in January 2026, ending the lev era. Early data from the European Central Bank show only a modest, one‑off uptick in consumer prices, concentrated in services, while overall inflation remained stable. Authorities mitigated price‑rise fears through...

By Mostly Economics
The Quiet Erosion of Central Bank Independence
NewsMay 8, 2026

The Quiet Erosion of Central Bank Independence

In a recent speech, ECB Vice‑President Isabel Schnabel warned that central‑bank independence is quietly eroding, echoing remarks by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell about “legal attacks” on the Fed. She highlighted two structural forces accelerating the risk: soaring government debt...

By Mostly Economics
Why Banks Need ‘Sleepy’ Customers
NewsMay 7, 2026

Why Banks Need ‘Sleepy’ Customers

Harvard Business School researchers document that U.S. depositors are remarkably inert, with only 5‑15% opening a new account each year. Their working paper shows that this “sleepy” behavior accounts for roughly 58% of a bank’s deposit franchise value, dampening competition...

By Mostly Economics
Banks in the Age of Stablecoins: Lessons From Their Historical Responses to Financial Innovations
NewsMay 7, 2026

Banks in the Age of Stablecoins: Lessons From Their Historical Responses to Financial Innovations

Stablecoins now command a market cap of roughly $200‑$300 billion and settle trillions of dollars annually, prompting the GENIUS Act to treat them alongside money‑market funds for Treasury demand. While analysts warn of deposit substitution and credit‑supply shocks, the note argues...

By Mostly Economics
William Stanley Jevons as Polymath
NewsMay 7, 2026

William Stanley Jevons as Polymath

William Stanley Jevons, famed 19th‑century economist, also built the Logical Abacus in the 1860s, an early mechanical computer that executed Boolean operations. He explicitly connected his invention to Charles Babbage’s ideas, suggesting machines could rival top mathematicians. Jevons also explored...

By Mostly Economics
Mostly Economics | Pulse