PhotonCap

PhotonCap

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Photonics & semiconductor research for investors/engineers (silicon photonics, interconnect)

QD Laser Inc. (6613): Peak Market Cap ¥64.6B, Revenue ¥1.3B, 49 Employees. What It Takes for These Numbers to Make...
NewsApr 13, 2026

QD Laser Inc. (6613): Peak Market Cap ¥64.6B, Revenue ¥1.3B, 49 Employees. What It Takes for These Numbers to Make...

QD Laser Inc., a veteran quantum‑dot laser producer, saw its market capitalization surge to roughly ¥64.6 billion (about $430 million) in March 2026 before retreating amid extreme volatility. Despite the lofty valuation, the firm generated only ¥1.3 billion ($8.7 million) in annual revenue and...

By PhotonCap
I Read 24 Papers. The Press Releases Were Lying. Why Samsung, NVIDIA, Broadcom, and Meta Were All at the Same...
NewsApr 12, 2026

I Read 24 Papers. The Press Releases Were Lying. Why Samsung, NVIDIA, Broadcom, and Meta Were All at the Same...

A deep dive of all 24 papers presented at OFC 2026 reveals that optics, not GPUs, is becoming the next performance bottleneck for AI data centers. The analysis uncovers five technology fronts—silicon‑photonic foundries, co‑packaged optics (CPO), advanced glass packaging, high‑speed...

By PhotonCap
[OFC 2026] Part 5 of 5: Hollow-Core Fiber and Next-Gen Transmission: Beyond the Loss Record
NewsApr 9, 2026

[OFC 2026] Part 5 of 5: Hollow-Core Fiber and Next-Gen Transmission: Beyond the Loss Record

Hollow‑core fiber (HCF) is transitioning from laboratory demos to commercial roll‑outs. Microsoft now operates over 1,280 km of Azure HCF with sub‑0.1 dB/km loss and zero field failures, while AWS has introduced HCF in roughly ten data‑center sites. YOFC’s 0.04 dB/km laboratory record...

By PhotonCap
[OFC 2026] Part 4 of 5: 400G/Lane and 1.6T Coherent: Two Fronts, One Power Wall
NewsApr 8, 2026

[OFC 2026] Part 4 of 5: 400G/Lane and 1.6T Coherent: Two Fronts, One Power Wall

The OFC 2026 session highlighted two parallel scaling tracks in datacenter optics: 400 Gb/s per lane IM‑DD and 1.6 Tb/s coherent pluggables. Six papers mapped the current technical state, concluding both paths are brushing against fundamental physical limits without any live link...

By PhotonCap
Aehr Test Systems Q3 FY2026: The Burn-In Proxy for Silicon Photonics HVM
NewsApr 7, 2026

Aehr Test Systems Q3 FY2026: The Burn-In Proxy for Silicon Photonics HVM

Aehr Test Systems reported Q3 FY2026 revenue of $10.3 million, a 44% year‑over‑year decline, while bookings surged to $37.2 million, yielding a book‑to‑bill ratio above 3.5x. The company disclosed that at least two silicon photonics customers are now ordering wafer‑level burn‑in (WLBI)...

By PhotonCap
[OFC 2026] Part 3 of 5: Packaging: Glass Substrates to 3D Hybrid Bonding
NewsApr 7, 2026

[OFC 2026] Part 3 of 5: Packaging: Glass Substrates to 3D Hybrid Bonding

The OFC 2026 session highlighted that AI‑driven data centers are now limited by packaging rather than raw silicon speed. Co‑Packaged Optics (CPO) aims to overcome this bottleneck by integrating optical engines directly into switch packages, but the choice of substrate...

By PhotonCap
[OFC 2026] Part 2 of 5: CPO and the AI Interconnect Challenge
NewsApr 6, 2026

[OFC 2026] Part 2 of 5: CPO and the AI Interconnect Challenge

AI compute clusters are doubling annually, pushing Meta's rack designs from 72 GPUs to over 256 nodes and exceeding 1 MW of power per rack. At these scales, copper backplanes face insurmountable limits in power delivery, bandwidth density, and routing complexity....

By PhotonCap
[OFC 2026] Part 2 of 5: CPO and the AI Interconnect Challenge
NewsApr 6, 2026

[OFC 2026] Part 2 of 5: CPO and the AI Interconnect Challenge

AI training racks are scaling rapidly, with Meta's upcoming ORW rack doubling node count and pushing single‑rack power beyond one megawatt. Copper backplanes now face insurmountable limits in bandwidth, power density, and routing complexity. Meta used OFC 2026 to set...

By PhotonCap
[OFC 2026] Part 1 of 5: 300mm SiPh Foundry: Who Is Actually Ready?
NewsApr 5, 2026

[OFC 2026] Part 1 of 5: 300mm SiPh Foundry: Who Is Actually Ready?

At OFC 2026, Samsung, GlobalFoundries and NVIDIA each presented seven conference papers detailing their progress toward 300 mm silicon‑photonic (SiPh) foundry capabilities. The analysis highlights that the competition has moved beyond pure device performance to a broader contest of system‑level integration...

By PhotonCap
[OFC 2026] Part 1 of 5: 300mm SiPh Foundry: Who Is Actually Ready?
NewsApr 5, 2026

[OFC 2026] Part 1 of 5: 300mm SiPh Foundry: Who Is Actually Ready?

The OFC 2026 conference showcased seven papers from Samsung, GlobalFoundries and NVIDIA that dissect the state of 300 mm silicon‑photonic (SiPh) foundries. While the headline race to 200 Gbit/s per wavelength still dominates headlines, the papers reveal that success now hinges on...

By PhotonCap
POET Technologies Q4 2025: Reading Past the Headline Loss
NewsMar 31, 2026

POET Technologies Q4 2025: Reading Past the Headline Loss

POET Technologies reported a Q4 2025 net loss of $42.7 million on $341 k revenue, yet its stock jumped 16.9% to $5.94 after the release. The loss was dominated by a $30.6 million non‑cash fair‑value adjustment on CAD‑denominated warrants and a $6.85 million accounting...

By PhotonCap
POET Technologies Q4 2025: Reading Past the Headline Loss
NewsMar 31, 2026

POET Technologies Q4 2025: Reading Past the Headline Loss

POET Technologies posted a Q4 2025 net loss of $42.7 million against $341 k of revenue, but cash outflow was only $11.6 million. The loss was dominated by a $30.6 million non‑cash warrant fair‑value adjustment and a $6.85 million acquisition charge. With $430 million in cash,...

By PhotonCap
Final Reminder: Locking in the PhotonCap Launch Price ($8/Mo)
NewsMar 29, 2026

Final Reminder: Locking in the PhotonCap Launch Price ($8/Mo)

PhotonCap, a Substack‑based research newsletter for quantitative funds and semiconductor investors, announced that its introductory $8‑per‑month subscription rate ends on March 31, 2026. Subscribers who upgrade before the deadline will lock that price in permanently. After March 31, new subscribers will pay...

By PhotonCap