The Daily: AI Trade Demands Perfection as Payrolls and Rate Risk Loom
Broadcom’s Q3 AI semiconductor revenue guide of $16 B fell short of the $17.2 B consensus, triggering a sharp sell‑off that rippled through the broader AI hardware basket. At the same time, Alphabet announced an $84.75 B equity raise to bankroll its AI infrastructure push, while TSMC warned that AI‑driven chip demand will outstrip supply for years. Oil prices slipped, easing some inflation pressure, but sticky services inflation and upcoming payroll data keep interest‑rate risk front‑and‑center. Traders are now demanding flawless execution from AI leaders and tighter risk structures across the theme.
Top 10 Stocks to Watch: June 2026
June 2026’s market outlook highlights a 10.5% year‑to‑date rise in S&P 500 E‑Mini futures, marking nine straight days of gains. The article lists ten stocks poised for volatility, led by Planet Labs (+158.9% YTD) and Micron (+253.5% YTD), while Adobe and Nike lag...
Will the Stock Market Notice the US Economy Is Overheating?
U.S. manufacturing activity surged, with the ISM PMI reaching its strongest level since mid‑2022, but the gain is driven by input stockpiling and a sharp inflation melt‑up rather than genuine demand. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 nudged to a new record on...
The Daily: Hormuz Holds, Oil Climbs, and AI Keeps Leading
Oil prices surged above $100 as the Hormuz deadlock deepened, reigniting inflation and rate pressures worldwide. AI infrastructure spending remains a growth engine, highlighted by over $10 billion of demand for Cerebras Systems ahead of a potential IPO price hike. The...
ARM Surges Ahead of Earnings as AMD Outlook Supercharges Semiconductor Stocks
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) lifted semiconductor sentiment by guiding Q2 revenue to $11.2 bn, roughly a 50% year‑over‑year increase, underscoring strong data‑center demand. The upbeat outlook helped lift ARM Holdings (ARM) shares 12% ahead of its after‑hours earnings report, as investors...
AAPL Earnings Preview: Can Apple Keep Its Winning Streak Alive?
Apple is set to release its second‑quarter results after the bell on April 30, following a busy earnings week that includes Amazon, Meta, Microsoft and Alphabet. The report arrives amid a leadership change, with longtime CEO Tim Cook announcing his September departure...
Is the Iran War Hurting the US Economy? Markets Eye Retail Sales Data
Markets reacted cautiously after the U.S. and Iran broke their cease‑fire, with oil prices spiking and equities, bonds and gold slipping. Traders noted a rapid drop in S&P 500 futures volume, the lowest since early April, indicating uncertainty over policy direction....
Is the Stock Market Wrong About the Iran War?
U.S. equities have surged, with the S&P 500 gaining about 10.4% since late‑March lows, as investors bet a two‑week cease‑fire will end the US‑Iran conflict. Meanwhile, the producer‑price index showed a modest 0.5% monthly rise, but energy components spiked 8.5%, highlighting...
Netflix Earnings Preview - Price Hikes & Subscriber Growth
Netflix is set to report Q1 2026 results on April 16, with analysts forecasting $0.76 earnings per share on $12.16 billion of revenue, a 15% year‑over‑year increase. The company’s ad‑supported tier is projected to double to $3 billion, positioning advertising as the...
Bank Earnings: Goldman Sachs Sets the Tone, But Can JPM and Others Surprise?
Goldman Sachs kicked off the U.S. bank earnings season with a near‑record profit, reporting $5.33 billion in equities revenue, a 27% year‑over‑year rise, while its FICC revenue fell 10%. The bank’s investment‑banking fees surged 50% to $2.84 billion, but the stock slipped...
Top 10 Stocks to Watch: April 2026
The S&P 500 E‑Mini futures are down 3.43% year‑to‑date, hitting a low of $6,353.25 on March 31 before rebounding to around $6,665 in early April. Technical analysis points to a critical $6,500 support level, with a break potentially targeting $6,360, while a hold...
Delta Earnings: Fuel Costs, Refinery Edge and the Guidance Number That Matters
Delta Air Lines will report its Q2 results on April 8, with the stock trading about 14% below its February peak of $76.39. The carrier’s full‑year EPS guidance stays in the $6.50‑$7.50 range, a key metric that will shape investor sentiment....
Iran War Trade Roils Markets as Trump Narrates the Conflict
U.S. equity markets rallied this week, with the S&P 500 up about 2.1% and 10‑year Treasury yields falling 0.4%, as investors briefly hoped for a swift end to the U.S.–Iran war. President Donald Trump’s aggressive comments, however, reignited volatility, pushing crude...
Cherry Picks: ZB or ZN? A Smarter Way to Compare Treasury Volatility
The article proposes a systematic way to compare volatility between the 30‑year ZB Treasury future and the 10‑year ZN Treasury future by juxtaposing each contract’s implied volatility (IV) with its dollar value of a one‑basis‑point move (DV01). ZB’s DV01 of...
Cherry Picks: Why VXX Underperforms the VIX Contango and the Futures Roll
VXX tracks VIX by holding front‑month and next‑month /VX futures, rolling about 4.5 % daily. Because the futures curve is in contango most of the time, the roll forces VXX to buy higher‑priced contracts, creating a persistent drag that causes the...