
Expanding Frontiers: China’s Military Push Beyond the First Island Chain
Australia’s Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) warns that China will steadily expand its military and security footprint beyond the First Island Chain over the next decade. The push will focus on the Southwest Pacific, the Indian Ocean and Australia’s maritime approaches, using naval deployments, Coast Guard patrols, maritime militia and infrastructure partnerships to build a persistent, normalized presence. War‑gaming suggests activities will intensify by 2031, emphasizing security cooperation, logistics hubs and regular surveillance rather than overt force. This gradual strategy aims to broaden operational freedom while staying below escalation thresholds.

Indian Air Force’s Push to Manufacture Aero Engines and Fighter Aircraft
The Indian Air Force faces a 220‑250 aircraft shortfall against its target of roughly 900 combat platforms, prompting an accelerated push for indigenous fighters. Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd (HAL) will deliver 220 Tejas jets—including 180 Mark 1A fighters—by 2029, with a second...

Japan’s Strategic Pivot: Arms Exports as a Tool of Diplomacy
Japan’s Takaichi administration has formally relaxed its post‑World War II arms embargo, permitting the export of lethal defense equipment to vetted allies. The policy shift is framed as a diplomatic tool to reinforce the Free and Open Indo‑Pacific (FOIP) strategy, deepen...

China’s Naval Diplomacy Turns Back Toward Home
China’s People’s Liberation Army Navy is shifting its diplomatic focus inward, staging a wave of domestic port visits to celebrate its 77th anniversary. Over the past two years, home‑port calls now account for roughly 20% of all PLAN port calls,...

Australia-Japan Frigate Deal Faces 3 Critical Challenges
Japan’s Mitsubishi Heavy Industries signed a AU$20 bn (US$14.3 bn) contract to build the first three ships of Australia’s SEA 3000 general‑purpose frigate program. The deal, framed as a “zero‑change” transfer of the Japanese Mogami‑class design, faces three major hurdles: costly system integration,...

Australia-Japan Ink Deal for Mogami-Class Frigates
Australia and Japan have signed an agreement for the Royal Australian Navy to acquire 11 Japanese‑designed Mogami‑class frigates, addressing a critical capability gap in anti‑submarine warfare and air defence. The first three ships will be built in Japan, with the...

Japan Moves to Institutionalize Drone Warfare as Manpower Shortfalls Deepen
Japan’s Ground Self‑Defense Force inaugurated two new offices – the Unmanned Defense Capability Promotion Office and the Unmanned Systems Office – to institutionalize drone and broader unmanned warfare. Though staffed by only 13 personnel, the offices will shape concepts, R&D,...

Indian Navy Needs More Stringent Planning
India’s Navy has commissioned INS Taragiri, the fifth of seven 6,670‑ton stealth frigates, but its Maritime Capability Perspective Plan (MCPP) has slipped from a target of 200 warships by 2027 to an estimated 170. Over the past five years the service...

Serbia Hedges Its Bets With Chinese High-Speed Missiles
Serbia has equipped its Soviet‑era MiG‑29 fighters with Chinese‑made CM‑400AKG high‑speed missiles, marking the first European deployment of the weapon. The deal, announced by President Aleksandar Vučić, also includes LS‑6 glide‑bomb kits and follows earlier Chinese acquisitions of drones and...

Indian Army Is Short of Artillery, the Modern Battlefield’s Most Lethal Killer
India’s army fields roughly 5,670 field artillery pieces across 226 regiments and aims to expand to 270 regiments, yet a sizable capability gap persists. The force relies on a mix of indigenous systems like the K‑9 Vajra self‑propelled howitzers, imported...

North Korea’s Risky Bet on Military AI
North Korea announced at the Workers’ Party Congress that it will embed artificial intelligence across all branches of the Korean People’s Army, aiming to accelerate decision‑making and improve unmanned systems. The plan faces major hurdles, including severe GPU shortages, limited...

Pakistan’s Military Campaign in Afghanistan Is Here to Stay
Pakistan has escalated its cross‑border campaign against the Afghan Taliban, launching Operation Ghazab Lil Haq in its fourth week. Using airpower, drones and long‑range artillery, Islamabad has struck weapons depots, intelligence hubs and even a unit linked to Taliban leader...

USFK Aerial Encounter With China Underlines the Hidden Danger of OPCON Transfer
On February 19, United States Forces Korea (USFK) dispatched fighter jets into the overlapping Air Defense Identification Zones of South Korea and China, prompting a tense aerial standoff. The incident highlights how the planned wartime operational‑control (OPCON) transfer – shifting...

Red Lines and the Reshaping of Asia’s Maritime Order
Former Chinese Vice‑Foreign Minister Fu Ying warned that the Philippines’ attempts to occupy Second Thomas Shoal and Sabina Shoal cross a newly articulated Chinese “red line.” The warning was backed by a June 2024 incident in which China Coast Guard vessels...

What the 2026 Singapore Airshow Tells Us About Asia’s Defense Industry Landscape
The 10th Singapore Airshow in February 2026 highlighted a shifting Asian defense market where cost‑effective, system‑of‑systems solutions are overtaking pure platform performance. China’s presence was muted, with fewer exhibitors and a conservative J‑10C demo aimed at budget‑constrained buyers, while its...