The Geopolitics (TGP)

The Geopolitics (TGP)

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Independent analysis and commentary on international relations, geopolitics and global power competition.

Between Two Fronts: Why Japan-South Korea Security Cooperation Is No Longer Optional
NewsMay 19, 2026

Between Two Fronts: Why Japan-South Korea Security Cooperation Is No Longer Optional

The article warns that a simultaneous Taiwan crisis and North Korean escalation will stretch U.S. military commitments, forcing Japan and South Korea to shoulder greater regional security responsibilities. It argues that their security is interdependent and that fragmentation would erode...

By The Geopolitics (TGP)
The New Phase of U.S.-China Economic Competition
NewsMay 16, 2026

The New Phase of U.S.-China Economic Competition

President Donald Trump’s May 14 visit to Beijing underscored a deepening U.S.-China rivalry that now centers on export controls, rare‑earth dominance and strategic supply‑chain security rather than pure tariff battles. The United States has finalized Section 301 tariffs that push duties on...

By The Geopolitics (TGP)
Caught in the Crosswinds: India’s Energy and Diplomacy in a Fractured Middle East
NewsMay 3, 2026

Caught in the Crosswinds: India’s Energy and Diplomacy in a Fractured Middle East

The ongoing Middle East war threatens India’s energy security because a large share of its oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz. At the same time, 38% of India’s foreign‑exchange earnings come from Gulf‑based workers, making remittance flows vulnerable to...

By The Geopolitics (TGP)
Cops, Robbers and Robots: How AI Is Changing Cybercrime
NewsApr 28, 2026

Cops, Robbers and Robots: How AI Is Changing Cybercrime

Artificial intelligence is reshaping cybercrime, illustrated by a recent breach where hackers exploited Anthropic's Claude large‑language model to siphon roughly 150 GB of sensitive Mexican government data. The incident highlights a broader trend: AI‑driven "vibe hacking" enables both seasoned and novice...

By The Geopolitics (TGP)
From Market Access to Investment: Europe’s Expanding Role in Pakistan
NewsApr 27, 2026

From Market Access to Investment: Europe’s Expanding Role in Pakistan

Pakistan is gearing up for the EU‑Pakistan Business Forum amid strained economic fundamentals, seeking to transform its long‑standing trade‑centric relationship with the European Union into a deeper investment partnership. The EU remains Pakistan's largest export destination, accounting for roughly 27.6%...

By The Geopolitics (TGP)
No Direct Talks, No Easy Exit: Pakistan Emerges as the Only Channel in the US–Iran Standoff
NewsApr 26, 2026

No Direct Talks, No Easy Exit: Pakistan Emerges as the Only Channel in the US–Iran Standoff

The United States’ failure to secure direct talks with Iran has pushed the crisis onto a back‑channel track, with Pakistan emerging as the sole conduit for communication. Iran’s foreign minister Abbas Araghchi visited Islamabad, cementing Tehran’s preference for indirect leverage...

By The Geopolitics (TGP)
From Pax Americana to Pax Transactional: Rethinking Power in the Middle East
NewsApr 26, 2026

From Pax Americana to Pax Transactional: Rethinking Power in the Middle East

The article argues that the post‑Cold War liberal order is giving way to a transactional global system where states prioritize immediate strategic gains over universal norms. China’s economic rise and the United States’ retreat from unconditional leadership are reshaping power...

By The Geopolitics (TGP)
Benefits of China’s Non-Reactive Strategic Posturing in the Middle East War and Emerging Concerns
NewsApr 26, 2026

Benefits of China’s Non-Reactive Strategic Posturing in the Middle East War and Emerging Concerns

China’s largely non‑reactive stance in the Middle East war has allowed Beijing to study U.S. and Israeli military tactics while keeping its own forces focused on the Indo‑Pacific. The conflict highlighted the effectiveness of low‑cost drones and short‑range missiles, exposing...

By The Geopolitics (TGP)
How Beijing Plans to Take Taiwan — And Why It’s Not Just About Military Force
NewsApr 26, 2026

How Beijing Plans to Take Taiwan — And Why It’s Not Just About Military Force

Beijing’s Taiwan strategy treats the island as a political problem, using economic dependence, media influence, and disinformation to erode resistance before resorting to force. China’s $270 billion trade ties and targeted bans on Taiwanese products create a structural lever, while sophisticated...

By The Geopolitics (TGP)
Four Years On, Ukraine’s War Still Refuses to End
NewsFeb 25, 2026

Four Years On, Ukraine’s War Still Refuses to End

Four years after Russia’s 2022 invasion, the conflict has settled into a grinding stalemate, with Russia controlling roughly one‑fifth of Ukrainian territory and both sides suffering up to 1.8 million casualties. Civilian deaths exceed 15,000 and millions remain displaced, while reconstruction...

By The Geopolitics (TGP)
How Timor-Leste Uses Tourism to Cement Its ASEAN Role
NewsFeb 25, 2026

How Timor-Leste Uses Tourism to Cement Its ASEAN Role

Timor‑Leste is leveraging its recent ASEAN membership to accelerate a sustainable tourism strategy that showcases its pristine marine and mountainous assets. By joining ASEAN, the nation gains access to regional marketing channels and co‑branding opportunities, allowing it to present itself...

By The Geopolitics (TGP)
The Maghreb’s New Architecture: Beyond the Myth of the Algerian Pillar
NewsFeb 22, 2026

The Maghreb’s New Architecture: Beyond the Myth of the Algerian Pillar

A U.S.-led meeting in Madrid on Feb. 8, 2026 signaled the formal end of Algeria’s long‑standing claim as the indispensable security pillar of the Maghreb. Washington is now backing a Tunis‑Rabat axis that promises energy sovereignty, a phosphate cartel and broader economic...

By The Geopolitics (TGP)
South Korea’s Undersea Dilemma: Why SSNs and UUVs Must Work Together
NewsFeb 21, 2026

South Korea’s Undersea Dilemma: Why SSNs and UUVs Must Work Together

South Korea confronts simultaneous undersea threats from North Korea’s emerging SLBM‑capable submarines, a potential Taiwan crisis that could stretch U.S. and Japanese naval assets, and an increasingly active Russian presence via the Northern Sea Route. The author argues that choosing...

By The Geopolitics (TGP)
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