Summer Lull or Summer Pullback? Why the Next Dip Is a Buying Opportunity
The S&P 500 has surged roughly 20% since its late‑March correction low, propelled by strong first‑quarter earnings and upbeat guidance for the current year. A pervasive AI investment narrative is cushioning the market from inflationary pressures, rising interest rates, and geopolitical uncertainty. While the rally mirrors past tech‑driven booms, analysts warn that valuations are stretching and recommend maintaining equity exposure while gradually hedging. The next dip could therefore present a strategic buying opportunity for disciplined investors.
Morning Market Brief
In this morning market brief, Lawrence Fuller explains that a three‑day streak of stock declines is driven by rising long‑term Treasury yields, with the 30‑year hitting 5.2%—its highest level since 2007. He argues that higher rates depress growth‑stock valuations but...
Crude Realities
The S&P 500 logged its 15th all‑time high of 2024, underscoring a strong technical rally despite lingering macro concerns. Meanwhile, WTI crude slipped briefly below $90 as the Trump administration’s tentative Iran peace proposal failed to produce concrete progress. Shell’s...
The Great Divergence
U.S. equity indexes posted a fifth consecutive week of gains, delivering their strongest monthly performance since 2020, even as inflation, interest rates and non‑AI business activity deteriorate. The market’s rally is increasingly divorced from high‑frequency economic data, reflecting investor optimism...
Morning Market Brief
In this Morning Market Brief, Lawrence Fuller highlights the Nasdaq and S&P 500 hitting all‑time highs, driven by a strong rally in small‑cap stocks and upbeat earnings. He breaks down the latest economic data—Q1 GDP at 2%, personal spending up...
Morning Market Brief
In this Morning Market Brief, Lawrence Fuller highlights a sharp overnight sell‑off in futures as oil prices rebound, with WTI up $5 and Brent over $1.10, pushing national gasoline averages back to $4.11 per gallon. He notes strong earnings momentum—about...
Beyond the Highs, and the Hype
U.S. equities posted a fourth consecutive week of gains, pushing the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Russell 2000 to fresh all‑time highs, largely on strong earnings and President Trump’s optimistic comments about the Iran conflict. The White House claimed Iran sought...
Morning Market Brief
Lawrence Fuller reviews a three‑week rally that pushed major indexes to record highs, but warns that renewed tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and Iran’s attacks on shipping could spark a supply shock and higher energy prices. He explains how...
Beyond the Momentum - Selling the Greed
U.S. equity markets surged for a third straight week, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite and Russell 2000 all posting new all‑time highs. The Nasdaq logged a 13‑session winning streak, its longest run since 1992, while crude oil prices plunged...
Morning Market Brief
Lawrence Fuller warns that the recent rally in the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 was premature, driven by hopeful rhetoric around a cease‑fire in the Middle East that never materialized. He notes rising oil prices after the U.S. Navy threatened...
Oil Peaks and Market Bottoms - Lessons From 1990
U.S. equity indexes snapped a five‑week losing streak on Friday, with all three major benchmarks turning positive as investors priced in a possible reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The Nasdaq posted its largest intraday reversal since April 2025 after...
Morning Market Brief
In this Tuesday Market Brief, Lawrence Fuller highlights a strong equity rally that was quickly tempered by rising bond yields and higher oil prices. He notes the President’s extended diplomatic warning to Iran, which has created geopolitical uncertainty but no...
Finding the Floor
The Middle East conflict triggered the biggest one‑week jump in oil prices on record, pushing WTI crude above $92 a barrel. At the same time, U.S. economic data revealed the worst monthly job loss since the pandemic, with 92,000 positions...
Morning Market Brief
In this Morning Market Brief, Lars Fuller explains the S&P's rebound after a 2.5% drop, attributing it to U.S. actions securing oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, which lowered oil prices from $77 to the $74‑$75 range. He predicts...
Geopolitical Shock Meet Macro Pressures
February proved the year’s second‑worst market month as AI‑related anxieties and rising private‑credit loan‑loss fears weighed on equities. The Producer Price Index jumped 0.5% month‑over‑month and 2.9% year‑to‑date, pushing expectations of near‑term Federal Reserve rate cuts lower. Over the weekend,...