Commodities Social Media and Updates
Commodities Social Media and Updates
Commodities Pulse
EMAIL DIGESTS
Daily
Every morning
Weekly
Tuesday recap
EMAIL DIGESTS
Daily
Every morning
Weekly
Tuesday recap
Trump thinks US energy independence protects Americans from Gulf shocks. But he FAILS TO SEE that global markets are pricing all barrels the same. TRUMP = CLEARLY DOESN’T UNDERSTAND THE MARKETS FOR OIL. https://t.co/tp5LhHAisM
New Delhi confirms its buying oil from Iran (after US eased sanctions): “… Indian refiners have secured their crude oil requirements, including from Iran; and there is no payment hurdle for Iranian crude imports…”
Week Ahead: Its Still Mostly about the War: The Middle East war remains the dominant fundamental condition. There continues to be some indication that market participants are hopeful of a resolution soon. The May WTI contract settled near $111.55 last…...
I'm doing a livestream this morning at 9 am (ET) to talk through: (i) the different oil prices floating around and how they all fit together; (ii) how the Dollar is trading weak, with yesterday's payrolls another example; (iii) central...
The remarkable resilience of copper prices given what we’re seeing across markets cannot be ignored. It’s striking how the metal is evolving from a traditional cyclical gauge of economic activity to one increasingly driven by structural demand and a tightening supply...
$Gold - If you want more evidence that it made a major top in January take a look at the quarterly candle. Same candle as Q1 2008, Q3 2011 and Q3 2020. As you can see it doesn't mean gold...
The Third Gulf War (aka, the ‘Hormuz War’) is entering into its 6th week, at the very end of the initial White House guidance of a 4-6 week campaign. For the oil market, we are into demand destruction territory, although...
Liontown lithium sales rose 38pc in 4Q 2025 as Kathleen Valley ramped up and auction pricing added upside. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/04/liontown-lithium-sales-jump-as-kathleen.html
“They've demonstrated to the Gulf states how vulnerable they are and how vulnerable the global economy is,” said a European official briefed on diplomatic efforts to end the war. “So the price has gone up. The Strait of Hormuz never...
#PakWatch🇵🇰: Thanks to the US-Israeli war on Iran, Pakistan is entering TROUBLED ECONOMIC WATERS. The price per litre of petrol is up 42.7% and diesel 54.9%. PAK = SHOULD SEND THE BILL FOR DAMAGES TO TRUMP AND NETANYAHU. https://t.co/iSttCgOOSF
This is insane: diesel in Pakistan had a price increase of 54.9%, not in a month or a week… OVERNIGHT. The global energy crisis is really hitting, starting to really see some crazy stuff unfold.
A prolonged Hormuz closure is not mainly about whether wealthy countries can tolerate higher prices. It is about how long the global system can keep functioning before shortages begin to appear. https://t.co/ZnTkdfQu09
This matters—but it’s 11 days old @gaurav_kochar @KellyAlspals Russia halted ammonium nitrate exports (≈40% of global trade). That shock is already moving through the system. If you’re just seeing it now, you’re late. #Commodities #SupplyChain #EnergyCrisis
Chamath has repeatedly been wrong about energy issues — sometimes to a comical degree. He could have used a refresher on ECON 101. 🥁Here are three basic realities he seems to miss: 1- The United States has never been truly energy independent...
silver traded on the #SHFE closed 2.8% lower at cny17,843/kg or $80.67/ oz #comex eq.
Experts who spoke with Money say that Americans should expect high gas prices to linger even after the Iran war concludes. https://t.co/inLuVOK07z
Electrification may not be enough to protect against gas-driven price shocks #energysky -- via pv magazine usa: https://t.co/x9CZpvmkMz
John Dizard nailed this one in The Institutional Risk Analyst w/ @rcwhalen: "Most, around half, of sulfur in the world goes through the Strait of Hormuz. You need sulfuric acid in order to produce copper, steel, nickel...you really need it to...
Friday shoutout to @joebrusuelas, chief economist at RSM, who has been doing some of the best analysis of the war in Iran's economic impact. The key question now is: When does the oil price shock trigger demand destruction? Joe has a great...
After Trump’s speech on Wednesday night, the price of brent crude futures jumped from below $100 to around $108. On Wednesday, that’s exactly what I told @MarioNawfal what oil would do. https://t.co/CbkZMrjXlx
Copper is up over the last decade but trading at an almost four-decade relative low against hard money gold. Chile's Escondida mine in the Atacama desert is the world's biggest copper mine. The world needs eight new Escondidas by 2030. https://t.co/ogTy5RdE0y
Wild. WTI oil now outperforming gold over the last twelve months. $oil : $gold ratio https://t.co/45PLa8stic
Assuming, as most of you seem to have massive confidence, that the futures curve is not a reflection of true market expectations of future spot. Current Dec Futures are 72.5 ish. What do you think the market expectations for...
It's not a great sign when you start simply rounding crude timespreads to the nearest full dollar per barrel Brent prompt spread at $10/bbl, WTI at $14, Dubai at $17 (we normally talk about term structure in cents...) Crude oil spot markets have...
This is the spot Brent oil price (white), the Brent March futures that just expired this week (orange), the current Brent June futures (yellow) and WTI (green). If war ends quickly, white converges down to yellow. If war drags on,...
I spoke with @MarioNawfal on Iran's free cash flow benefits from the US-Israeli war on Iran: "Who's benefited economically from the war? It's Iran. Because they're exporting more oil than they were before. The price is a lot higher & the...
What Iran’s Control of the Strait of Hormuz Means for the Global Economy #oott #oil #iran @ACGlobalEnergy https://t.co/zl1MAO5TPp
China solar cell prices fall for third consecutive week as upstream costs ease #energysky -- via pv magazine global: https://t.co/Oawb2A3W9W
The world’s biggest LNG export plant has been offline for a month 🚢 ⚠️ Let me explain why you should care about that 👇 https://t.co/Ywo3ZK9mac
“… Energy prices are going down […] you don’t have to believe me, look at the futures market…” — White House top economic adviser Kevin Hassett https://t.co/RCHUpjLhW2
HASSETT: "You don't have to believe me, just look at the futures markets, which trade future contracts on these things--and they're way back headed towards normal by the fall and certainly into the summer" https://t.co/MJNzrqID5k
Soybean's $12 Ceiling Alongside $120 Crude Oil It may take some combination of WTI crude oil staying above $100 a barrel, a poor Brazilian crop and a Corn Belt drought for soybeans to stay above $12 a bushel. Alongside crude's spike...
Nice article here by my Purdue mates on the impact of the Iran War on Corn Belt crop agriculture https://t.co/eapip2SLMa
BIG: BlackRock CEO Larry Fink warns that oil prices reaching $150 could trigger a global recession https://t.co/0zsMPxObej
Gold has been surprisingly weak lately and has not acted in line with what one might expect during a geopolitical shock. My sense is that this is combination of a sentiment reversal among the fast money crowd (which had jumped...
White House top economic adviser Kevin Hassett says the oil futures market agrees Iran is a short-term disruption. Apparently he means the shape of the oil futures curve, which is massively backwardated (or inverted, if you prefer that terminology). Now, who’s...
Whatever objections Europe has to helping open up the Strait of Hormuz, it's a matter of urgent self-interest to help sort this situation out. On a similar time scale to 2022 after Russia invaded Ukraine, European natural gas prices are...
The discount on the Brent future expiring in June to the spot Brent oil price is up to 22%. There's acute shortage of oil in the spot market, while futures markets think the war ends soon. This decoupling isn't unprecedented....
Ideas Dinner Manhattan: Strait of Hormuz, how to replace 21M bpd oil?? Existing bypass pipelines (Saudi 7M + UAE 1.8M) cover 40-45%. Full replacement? 10–20+ yrs, $40B+, geopolitically brutal, not realistic. Next 5 yrs: expansions might hit 55–65% max. https://t.co/eTeUaAMFgS
Remember, the energy shock in the US is primarily about price. Elsewhere in much of the world, quantity is also a real concern. Indeed, you only need to look at the ongoing policy and household/corporate adaptations in an increasing number of...
Lots of people say the disconnect between spot and futures prices in oil means markets are broken. No! Spot Brent at $140 (white) is above the June future (yellow) because markets think the war ends soon and tanker traffic comes...
Despite the surge in oil prices on Thursday, retail diesel only went up $.06/gallon overnight to $5.48/gallon. This will cost truckers $.01/mile more for fuel. Interestingly, the rack price (wholesale price for diesel) has actually dropped over the past ten...
In any oil shock, the most politically charged part of the barrel is gasoline. Ironically in this crisis, gasoline is the least affected. (That doesn’t reduce the economic impact of sky high oil prices via diesel, jet fuel and fuel oil....
The milk in your fridge this week may cost more next month. Not because of the dairy farm. Because of a war in the Middle East that nobody told you would reach this far.
Not sure why people are criticizing the government so much over the petrol price, but the truth is that petrol prices haven’t just increased in Pakistan—they’ve risen globally. Prices in the international market have gone from around $65 to $120,...
Copper is increasingly trading like a macro hedge, raising volatility far beyond what near-term fundamentals imply. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/04/copper-as-macro-hedge-is-rewriting.html
The govt sets price ceilings here…. It’s not the govt’s fuel, it’s owned by private companies… if you think you can sell at a lower price, no one will stop you… The price set by govt is the MAXIMUM that...
Glencore’s 2025 copper and nickel output fell as lower grades, mine sequencing, and operational disruptions hit key assets. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/04/glencore-copper-and-nickel-output.html
Goldman>The gap between dated Brent-the cornerstone of the global physical oil market and the reference point for many crude purchases by global refineries-and the near-dated Brent futures-which shifted from the May to the June contract...
Nobody wanted to sell when gold and silver were at their most overbought levels in years. Now, everyone will worry about how much more selling is left to fund the geopolitical crisis that is engulfing countries around the world. In...
