Alex Koh
Systematic investor who reviews names around earnings, shares setup analyses and follow‑ups on software/AI names post results, and links deeper video breakdowns.
Focus on the Framework, Not the Next NVDA
The best question I got from a member this week: "Alex, what's the next $NVDA?" My honest answer: Stop asking that. The question that actually compounds wealth: "What's the framework that found $NVDA in 2020 — before anyone called it the next anything?" That framework is what I write about every week. Premium analysis: https://dralexkoh.substack.com
Focus on Fundamentals, Not Hype, After NVDA Earnings
$NVDA earnings are out. The trader reaction is loud. The questions that matter for long-term investors are quieter: → Did the underlying business change? → Did the margin trajectory hold? → Did guidance shift the thesis? Three honest answers — not the after-hours candle — determine...
Stay Still: Systematic Rules for Volatility Spikes
VIX is at 17. Earnings week. The internet is loud. 10 rules I follow when volatility spikes: 1. Don't react to the tape. Read the data. 2. Doing nothing is a position. 3. Margin > EPS. 4. Crypto fear isn't equity thesis change. 5. Forecasts aren't data. 6. Sell...
Lululemon's Growth Halving, EPS Decline Prompts Downgrade
I just downgraded $LULU. From B- to C-. My system said Perfect Entry at $131. I overrode it. Lululemon's revenue growth has halved every year for five years straight. Now they've guided fiscal 2026 EPS *down* — the first YoY decline in over a...
Only Data Centers with Silicon Truly Count
A new framework I built while researching the global AI buildout. The Empty Shell Test. Simple rule: A data centre announcement only counts when there's silicon committed to go inside it. No chips. No factory. Brazil announced 8 GW. They've delivered ~250 chips. Norway announced 0.8...
Norway Hikes Rates 25bps; Earnings up, Inflation Risk Flagged
Norway raise their Interest rates by 25bps. Enjoy the earnings but bear in mind flag 2 due to inflation risk. Monitoring closely. Always getting ahead of the curve with data.
AMD Poised for 10% Jump on 18% CPU Growth
$AMD will be up 10% tomorrow after their new 18% growth on CPU. The Datacenter demand is shifting,
Cohen's Half‑Cash, Half‑Stock Pitch Stumps Analysts
The memes are out for Gamestock Ryan Cohen’s infamous appearance in CNBC regarding his acquisition of EBay. For context- the CEO is trying to pursue eBay who is 4x its market capital and with under $10bn company cash and $20bn cash...
Burry Bets on Microsoft as Recession‑proof Dividend King
Burry just opened a brand new long in $MSFT. Microsoft. Down 25% from its July 2025 peak. Worst Q1 since 2008. He called it "forensic" analysis. That's an engineer's word. BuyTrigger: $440 Price: $428 Power Rating: A Risk Level: 22 (sleep-well-at-night) Recommend: 93 Recession Proof. Dividend King. Mega...
Adobe Undervalued: Burry Adds Position, Buyback Boosts Value
Burry's quietly added to $ADBE. Adobe at $241. The market is pricing it like Figma already won and AI ate the rest. The fundamentals say otherwise. BuyTrigger: $319 ValueTrigger: $458 (Undervalued) SellTrigger: $729 +90% to fair value. +203% to my sell zone. Buyback Reality Index: A rating....
Burry's PayPal Bet Signals Perfect Entry, Massive Upside
Michael Burry just took a 3.5% stake in $PYPL at $49.38. His biggest position. PayPal. Why? I ran it through BuyTrigger. Price: $51 BuyTrigger: $68 ValueTrigger: $68 SellTrigger: $109 25% below entry. +114% upside to my sell zone. Action Signal: PERFECT ENTRY. Buyback Reality Index: A rating. Rank: #18 of 111. Burry's...
Earnings Deep Dive: Microsoft, Google, and More
Full video from yesterday’s live session on Substack is out Earnings Unveiled: Microsoft, Google, and More—Insights and Analysis https://youtu.be/EAj9CiJQkcs
BuyTrigger Flagged Undervalued Google; 115% Gain Follows
Anyone who owned $GOOG isn’t celebrating the 7% after hours gain. They are celebrating the 115% gains because a year ago Google dropped after earnings despite a good quarter. I built the BuyTrigger system to identify situation like these. My buytrigger system...
Selling Means Two Decisions: Exit and Re‑Entry Timing
"Should I sell?" feels like one decision. It's actually two. Right to sell. Right to buy back lower. Nobody on Wall Street times that consistently. Family investors managing under 15 stocks definitely don't. Want those odds? The honest math 👇 https://open.substack.com/pub/dralexkoh/p/should-i-sell-my-stocks-the-monday
Every Past Market Crash Recovered—Don’t Panic Now
You've been here 9 times before. COVID. 2022 bear. Yen carry. Liberation Day. Epic Fury. Every single one looked like THE top while you were living through it. Every single one recovered. 9 of 9. You're at panic top number 10. Full breakdown 👇 https://open.substack.com/pub/dralexkoh/p/should-i-sell-my-stocks-the-monday