Alex Koh
Systematic investor who reviews names around earnings, shares setup analyses and follow‑ups on software/AI names post results, and links deeper video breakdowns.
JPM and GS Beat Q1 Yet Stocks Fell—Mispricing Alert
$JPM and $GS just smashed Q1 2026. Both beat revenue. Both beat EPS. Both stocks fell. That's the kind of mispricing my system was built for. Full breakdown — what changed in my BuyTrigger system on both names: https://dralexkoh.substack.com/p/jpmorgan-and-goldman-sachs-just-became?r=4zq7nk
Members Facing Profitable Dilemmas Thanks to Proven System
Two messages I get every week from BuyTrigger members: "I wish I'd bought more $CRDO." "My $ALAB position is bloating. Do I take profit?" These are the good problems. The kind most investors never have. Here's how my members built them 👇 https://open.substack.com/pub/dralexkoh/p/13-stocks-one-system-heres-how-i?r=4zq7nk&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
Uber and Robinhood Show Opposite Signals at Same Valuation
Same price. Same ValueTrigger. Opposite signals. $UBER: PERFECT ENTRY. R40 fails at 35. Sleeping giant. $HOOD: PARTIAL ENTRY. R40 at 108 — Hyper-Elite. I sold $UBER at $80. Now my system says buy. I could be wrong about the AV timeline. But the...
NDX Shows Golden Cross Long-Term, MACD Death Cross Short-Term—Cautious Optimism
The last time I said $NDX deathcross, the market pulled back almost 9%. Today I see a build up golden cross. (Long term) Also a deathX on MACD (short term) This is the biggest dielema crossroad for a while. Enjoy the ride but stay...
13 Elite Stocks, 9 Hyper‑Elite, Diverse
66 stocks in my universe. 13 clear the R40 bar. 9 hit Hyper-Elite territory. Every elite compounder has a different profile — growth vs margin, quadrant by quadrant. $NVDA. $APP. $CRDO. $HOOD. $PLTR. Same elite score. Different engines. Full breakdown 👇 https://open.substack.com/pub/dralexkoh/p/13-stocks-one-system-heres-how-i?r=4zq7nk&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
CRDO Exits BuyTrigger; Earnings Due April 26
$CRDO is now officially over BuyTrigger. No more buying, its closed. Earnings on the 26th April and lets see how this movie pans out.
AMD Overbought Now,
I agree with the short term overbought $AMD See the red with depress cm William vix. However the CPU Agentic AI shuffled from memory will be happening soon. How long can profit trader sell? That’s the curiosity question.
Buy VIX High, Transfer Risk Low—Don’t Wait
Everybody's asking me: "When's the next VIX spike, Alex?" I called Spike 1. I've been pointing at Spike 2 for weeks. But here's the truth — don't wait for the ice cream van that doesn't turn up. Probability is high. Certainty is not. Buy...
Meta Halts Buybacks, $80B Idle for AI Chips
Meta’s quarterly buybacks in 2025: Q1: $13.4 billion Q2: $9.8 billion Q3: $3.2 billion Q4: Zero. $80 billion authorisation sitting unused. The money went to AI chips. April 29 earnings will tell us if it’s coming back. https://open.substack.com/pub/dralexkoh/p/meta-deep-dive-the-discount-nobodys?r=4zq7nk&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
Robinhood's Massive Revenue, Profit, and Diversified Business
Everyone sold $HOOD on crypto. Here's what they missed: $4.47B revenue (+52%) $1.88B net income (42% margin) Rule of 40: 108 — Hyper-Elite 11 revenue streams over $100M each 4.2M Gold subscribers (+58%) Trump Accounts: govt contract for 25M families This isn't a trading app anymore. Full breakdown: https://open.substack.com/pub/dralexkoh/p/hood-deep-dive-i-called-this-stock
Meta's Low Valuation Meets Rapid Growth, Poised for Ad Supremacy
$META trades at 21.7x forward earnings. $AAPL trades at 29.7x on 9% growth. $TSLA trades at 173x. Meta is growing revenue at 27%. About to overtake Google as the world’s #1 ad platform. Full deep dive: https://open.substack.com/pub/dralexkoh/p/meta-deep-dive-the-discount-nobodys?r=4zq7nk&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
Netflix Nets $2.8 B Breakup Fee After WBD Pullout
I did not know this till today about $NFLX Following the high-profile bidding war that concluded in February 2026, Netflix walked away with a $2.8 billion breakup fee (also called a termination fee) paid by Warner Bros. Discovery Netflix's Payout: Because...
Michelangelo's 24‑Year‑Old Marble Masterpiece Radiates Sad Grace
The most beautiful marble sculpture in the world. Carved from a single block of marble by Michelangelo, showing Mother Mary with Jesus in her arms. Observe the emotions. The softness of the art. Pure sadness. Michelangelo was just 24 when he completed this.
Rapid US Rally Could Trigger Dollar Spike and Inflation
The risk nobody speaks about. Everyone wants a V-shape recovery. I don’t. If US stocks snap back too fast, hedge funds in Europe, Japan, Brazil sell everything locally and rush into the US. Dollar spikes to 110. Inflation restarts. What I want: slow...
Market Near Bottom: Death Cross, Only 27% Above 50‑Day Avg
S&P down 7-8% from the January high. We touched -10% on March 27th and bounced. NASDAQ death cross confirmed. Only 27.6% of stocks above their 50-day average. We're in Scenario A. For now. https://open.substack.com/pub/dralexkoh/p/is-the-market-bottomed-in
Impending Short Squeeze Near NDX 22,000 Signals Micro Switch
The real relief rally will come soon folks. It will be a sudden short squeeze where all active short sellers will lose their pants. Smart traders will switch soon. The NDX 22,000 is nearby. Not today. Not next week. Just DCA and average...
Extended Scenario Shows Most Likely S&P Low
How low can we go? I built three scenarios. Bull: S&P 6,300+ (25-30%) Base: S&P 5,950-6,300 (45-55%) Extended: S&P 5,600-5,950 (25-35%) Bear: S&P 4,885-5,250 (10-15%) Fibonacci levels. Probability weightings. Historical parallels. The extended case is where I'm spending the most time. https://open.substack.com/pub/dralexkoh/p/how-low-can-we-go
High‑Yield Spreads Below 400 Signal Market Bounce
The stock market is screaming fear. VIX at 31. The bond market? Shrugging. High-yield credit spreads are at 317 basis points — BELOW the 20-year average. One of these markets is wrong. If spreads stay below 400, we bounce. If they blow through 500, brace...
Stocks Set to Dive as War Impact Unpriced
Macro economist gone all wild bear mode. Stocks will be raging lower. Why? Market is still not pricing the impact of a prolonged war as the credit spread is gapping. Will share more details today.
100k Troops in Iran Signal Prolonged War, Inflation Surge
The ‘100k troops on land in Iran’ is the new risk narratives for prolonged war and confirmation of escalation of inflation which would lead in global rate hikes again. Rumble in the Jungle is here…
VIX Spike Signals Bigger Move After Inflation Data
$VIX is pumping this morning. Last night I walked my club members through the outflow data. This is the first $VIX spike — a second, bigger one is coming post-inflation data (pushed from April to May). I’ll be publishing my full market...
Simple Three‑Tier Kids Portfolio for Market Volatility
My kids' portfolio for 2026: 30% Staples — boring ETFs. Don't think. Just automate. 40% Mature Growth — $NVDA $TSM $META $AMZN $GOOG $NFLX $MS $GS 30% High Growth — $PLTR $APP $HIMS $CRDO $SHOP $UBER No high risk tier for kids. Three tiers...
Analyst Admits Early‑year Oil Optimism Was Misplaced
oil companies up and mining stocks down. First time I have seen an analyst (PJ Invesco) admit hey we’re wrongly optimistic start of the year and many positions are locked in. Outlook hopeful and great point said- we are not as dependent...
Kids' Best Investment: Time, Not Pokemon Packs
This dad spent $1,750 on Pokemon cards for his kid's 9th birthday. That's 10 shares of $NTDOY — the company that makes Pokemon. $1,750 invested at 10% growth for 9 years = $4,100. The cards will be in a shoebox by Christmas. Parents, wake...
Mag 7 Stocks Hit Multi‑year Lows, Earnings Still Rising
While the leveraged crowd was getting margin called, here's what they left behind. $MSFT at 20x forward. Below the S&P 500. $META at 21x. $GOOG at 23x. Cheapest Mag 7 valuations in years. Earnings still growing 12.5%. The stocks got cheaper. The businesses didn't.
Record Margin Debt Triggers Forced Liquidation Across All Assets
Stocks, bonds, and gold all fell at the same time last week. That's not normal. That's a forced liquidation event. Margin debt hit $1.28 trillion — 4.07% of GDP. Highest ratio in history. Higher than dot-com. Higher than 2008. When that unwinds, it...
War, Debt, and Inflation Will Cripple Growth Stocks
Growth stocks will be severely decapitated from this war. I just check some data and growth stocks valuations will get capped. Working overtime to get the data ready. It’s not as simple as just buying the dip with 1. Cost of War 2. Escalation of...
Big Scores Mislead: Growth and Margin Matter
$NBIS has an R40 score of 445. $CRWV has an R40 score of 228. Higher is better, right? Not always. $CRWV's 228 = 168% growth + 60% margin. Both legs working. $NBIS's 445 = 457% growth + negative margin. One leg. The other is dragging...
HIMS Spikes 55%—Classic Short Squeeze, Lock in Profits
$HIMS surged 55% while the S&P hit its 2026 low. 35.5% short interest. Novo Nordisk deal. Classic squeeze. Fat people need weight loss drugs But here's the thing — if it rips past the value trigger, take profit. Don't fall in love...
AVGO's AI Surge Forces Target Revision to $310
I've been saying $AVGO is overvalued for months. Last week's earnings proved me wrong. $8.4B AI revenue. 77% gross margin. Q2 guide +140%. I take my words back. Updated my BuyTrigger to $310. But the war isn't stopping tomorrow. No rush, darling. Let...