Global Commodities: A Month of Disruption
In this episode, JP Morgan analysts Greg Scheer (Precious Metals) and Tatar de Boadze (European Natural Gas) dissect the fallout from the escalating Middle‑East conflict on commodities. They note historically low European gas inventories (18‑28% full) and limited LNG flows, while oil prices surged to about $110 per barrel as the Strait of Hormuz remains closed and a new Red‑Sea threat emerges. Aluminum production is hit by missile attacks on plants in the UAE and Bahrain, removing roughly 4% of global supply and potentially pushing prices above $4,000 per metric ton, whereas gold remains volatile amid equity market stress. The analysts warn that oil inventories could hit operational minimums by early May, amplifying market strain.
Global Commodities: What Are the Markets Missing?
In this episode, JP Morgan analysts Greg Scheer (precious and base metals) and Atar de Boadze (European natural gas) dissect the escalating Middle‑East conflict’s impact on commodities. They detail how attacks on Iranian, UAE and Qatari gas infrastructure have trimmed Qatar’s...
Global Rates: Global DM Swap Spread Outlook
In this episode of At Any Rate, JP Morgan’s global rate strategy team breaks down recent dynamics in developed‑market (DM) swap spreads, highlighting how central‑bank policy expectations and technical factors drive the curves across the US, Germany, the UK, Japan and...
European Rate Markets: Eurobonds, By-Elections and the Spring Statement
In this episode, Francis Diamond and Aditya Chaudhia discuss European rate markets, focusing on euro‑area bond issuance, German duration outlook, and UK political developments. They assess the limited near‑term impact of proposed EU defence‑related Eurobonds, maintaining a neutral stance on...
Global FX: How Much Is Too Much?
In this episode, J.P. Morgan Global Research analysts Arindam Sandilya, James Nelligan, and Patrick Locke examine the current foreign‑exchange (FX) outlook, focusing on how recent US equity stress and the relative underperformance of US stocks are influencing currency markets. They...
European Rates: Scandinavian Rate Outlook – a Long Winter Hibernation
In this brief episode, J.P. Morgan analysts Francis Diamond and Frida Infante examine the current state and near‑term outlook for Swedish and Norwegian sovereign and corporate rate markets. They highlight that both countries are entering a prolonged period of low‑rate...
Global FX: RBA, JP Elections, Euro/APAC Rotation, Dovish BoE, US Data
The FX team discusses a variety of topics: the euro bloc/ APAC FX rotation, RBA hawkish pivot, scenarios around upcoming JP elections, the dovish BoE surprise and recent US data. This podcast was recorded on 06 February 2026. This communication is...
European Rates: ECB and BoE February Meetings, Skinny Carry in Euro Area, Increased UK Political Noise
In this brief episode, J.P. Morgan analysts Francis Diamond, Aditya Chordia, and Khagendra Gupta dissect the February policy meetings of the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, highlighting the limited rate‑differential (or "skinny carry") in the Eurozone and...