Compute Shortage Drives AMD, Amazon, Cerebras Deal Rush
Chatter being $AMD could get a deal with Anthropic which makes total sense given the compute shortage. I have been saying for a while I think Amazon is a good candidate also for Helios. Bottom line, all available viable compute will be bought. See Cerebras rumor also.
Intel Nears ATH; Terafab Deal May Redefine Foundry Landscape
Intel ~9 % away from ATH. I also think the terafab deal may be more consequential in many respects than is realized today. Wait until you see my foundry model :)
Margin Expansion Remains Core Strategy for Companies
Holy GMs. I have said this many times but the main storyline for many companies remains — margin expansion.
NVIDIA's Moat: Turning AI Complexity Into Cost Savings
Drastically symplifying, but one take as the strategy/competitive advantage that is becoming more clear from $NVDA is: NVIDIA’s moat is the ability to continuously compress the full AI factory problem into better economics for customers.
From Chip Shortage to Industrial Systems: New Value Drivers
There is a key theme here from Jensen that underscores my recurring thesis I continually unpack @DiligenceStack: The market evolves from a semiconductor scarcity story to an industrial systems story in which energy, networking, packaging, software, and algorithmic efficiency all determine...
UBS Flags Crowded Longs, Calls for More Upside
UBS has $LITE and $CIEN as crowded longs. AKA consensus favorite's requiring more consensus upside/much better results over expectations to move the stock. Sort of feels like many names in optical are getting to be in a similar spot....
TSM Boosts 2026 Outlook to More Bullish
With $TSM tonight, what I wrote in January on 2026 outlook is a good primer. May even be more bullish of a year than we anticiapted even two montsh ago. https://t.co/C0GIvgrEll
ASML Earnings Validate January WFE Outlook
Have a big report coming on WFE as I share a full model on the sector, foundry TAM forecast, and cost per transistor/cost per gb (memory) models. But on the heels of $asml earnings, my base report for WFE...
CRDO: SerDes‑Focused Interconnect Leader, Not Just Copper
Best to understand $crdo as an interconnect company whose vertical orientation, particularly their SerDes, puts them well positioned for every pocket of interconnects. They are not a copper company just now thinking about optical.
Algorithm Glitch Repeats Old Tweets, Stalls Timeline Updates
@nikitabier something up with the algo? Keep seeing a lot of old tweets, and many of the same tweets, vs newer more dynamic information flow. Not as responsive timeline updates either.
Report Shows CPUs Can Achieve 2:1 Scaling
None of this would surprise anyone who read my full report. I even made the case that in what scenarios CPUs could go to 2:1. https://t.co/jjdrB3k1Bt
Apple's Edge Token Lead Makes Windows Price Fight Futile
Will be increasingly hard for Windows OEMs to compete with Apple on price. Not something many had on their bingo card. AND if Mac’s end up being better at edge token generation, any cost argument from IT is...
Dual Copper and Optical Roadmaps Drive Interconnect Success
Guess what is a good business and technology strategy in the interconnect world? Having both a great copper and a great opical roadmap. $CRDO
Compute Constraints Are Compounding; Deeper Layers Reveal New Scarcity
In this moment we are in where constraints in the compute stack are basically “stacking” you have to go one more layer deep to find even more situations of scarcity.
Memory Shortage Pushes Supply Normalization to 2027
Summary of key points from a memory tracker I'm running weekly: Supply normalization now looks pushed to late 2027. New capacity is delayed, DRAM bit supply growth is only ~16% YoY, and that is still below historical norms. Demand Destruction: Memory inflation...