Craig Fuller

Craig Fuller

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Founder & CEO, FreightWaves; freight/transportation markets analyst and media leader.

Flatbed Rates Hit Record $4.05/mile Post‑Easter
SocialApr 7, 2026

Flatbed Rates Hit Record $4.05/mile Post‑Easter

Flatbeds come out of Easter surging to record high of $4.05/mile Up from $3.93/mile before the Easter Holiday. https://t.co/lhIwUSiFya

By Craig Fuller
Industrials and Chemicals Strong, Intermodal Soft on Slow Imports
SocialApr 7, 2026

Industrials and Chemicals Strong, Intermodal Soft on Slow Imports

TD Cowen call with railroad and shipper execs: strength in industrials, with chemicals showing strength with confidence for rest of 2026 Intermodal soft Intermodal is likely soft due to slow imports https://t.co/04LgKSMRa9

By Craig Fuller
Load‑to‑truck Ratios Inflated by Hidden Ghost Loads
SocialApr 7, 2026

Load‑to‑truck Ratios Inflated by Hidden Ghost Loads

Load to truck ratios are not real because they include ghost loads, which according to former DAT insiders are far more significant than they readily admit

By Craig Fuller
ATA's Driver Shortage Myth Harms Trucking and Blocks Entry
SocialApr 7, 2026

ATA's Driver Shortage Myth Harms Trucking and Blocks Entry

The ATA damaged the trucking industry in countless ways by promoting the truck driver shortage lie, eliminating barriers to entry. The problem is that lie stuck and it’s almost impossible to unwind because it is accepted as fact by those that...

By Craig Fuller
Manufacturing Surge Signals Start of New Cycle
SocialApr 7, 2026

Manufacturing Surge Signals Start of New Cycle

He missed the most important part of the story - the strongest part of the report was upstream, not downstream. Upstream is manufacturing, downstream is retail. Upstream was much stronger than downstream, which was the opposite during the Great Freight Recession. This...

By Craig Fuller
Freight Data Signals Early Manufacturing Upswing Ahead of Indicators
SocialApr 7, 2026

Freight Data Signals Early Manufacturing Upswing Ahead of Indicators

I am not an economist, I simply read off the the high frequency data and our channel checks tell me at the time and relay that info. Freight is upstream to demand, so to a casual observer, it appears as...

By Craig Fuller
U.S. Industry’s Shift to Natural Gas Cuts Global Price Exposure
SocialApr 7, 2026

U.S. Industry’s Shift to Natural Gas Cuts Global Price Exposure

The US was far more reliant upon petroleum in the 1970's for industrial fuel and products than we are today, compounding the price shocks of the embargo. Natural gas is more prevalent for industry today and US natgas prices are...

By Craig Fuller
Bridge Collapse Seen as Deliberate Supply Chain Sabotage
SocialApr 7, 2026

Bridge Collapse Seen as Deliberate Supply Chain Sabotage

I don’t buy this was an accident. If the bridge had fallen into the water and shut down the canal, it would have a massive impact on the American supply chains. Too perfect of a hit to be an accident, considering...

By Craig Fuller
Trucking Demand Outpaces Capacity, Creating Goldilocks Balance
SocialApr 7, 2026

Trucking Demand Outpaces Capacity, Creating Goldilocks Balance

We could be moving towards a Goldilocks trucking economy, where demand ramps, but capacity increases grow much slower.

By Craig Fuller
Shutting Nuclear Plants Stalled Decades of Global Growth
SocialApr 7, 2026

Shutting Nuclear Plants Stalled Decades of Global Growth

Decades of global economic growth was stunted because of humanity’s decommissioning of its nuclear plants

By Craig Fuller
Transformer Shortage Extends US Manufacturing Upcycle
SocialApr 7, 2026

Transformer Shortage Extends US Manufacturing Upcycle

The lack of power generation transformers and infrastructure is a good thing for American manufacturing, especially with the incentives under the Big Beautiful Bill - pent up demand will drive the manufacturing upcycle longer

By Craig Fuller
Railcar Storage Plummets, Signaling Strong Freight Demand
SocialApr 7, 2026

Railcar Storage Plummets, Signaling Strong Freight Demand

SIG: "Railcars in storage experience the largest two-month decline since COVID." When the railcars come of storage, it is a very bullish sign for freight, as it means that shippers are seeing strong demand trends and want more rail car...

By Craig Fuller
Panama Canal Delays Threaten 40% Freight, 20% Energy Exports
SocialApr 6, 2026

Panama Canal Delays Threaten 40% Freight, 20% Energy Exports

Bridge day not going as planned 40% of US container freight passes through the Panama Canal and 20% of US oil and natural gas exports do as well

By Craig Fuller
Japan Commits Billions to U.S., Targets Tennessee Valley
SocialApr 6, 2026

Japan Commits Billions to U.S., Targets Tennessee Valley

Japan has agreed to invest hundreds of billions in America over the next few years. This is one of their investments - bound for the Tennessee Valley

By Craig Fuller
France’s Nuclear Embrace vs Germany’s Energy Retreat
SocialApr 6, 2026

France’s Nuclear Embrace vs Germany’s Energy Retreat

France should get a ton of credit for embracing nuclear energy, while Germany went the opposite direction

By Craig Fuller
Japan's Future Bright, Europe's Past Fades with US Alliance
SocialApr 6, 2026

Japan's Future Bright, Europe's Past Fades with US Alliance

Japan’s greatest days are ahead of it, as it recommits to its partnership with America Europe’s best days are behind it, as it moves away from its alliance with the US

By Craig Fuller
Packaging Paper Shipments Rise 4% Signals Industrial Recovery
SocialApr 5, 2026

Packaging Paper Shipments Rise 4% Signals Industrial Recovery

Another proof point that the industrial recovery is underway and the strength in freight isn’t just capacity. Packaging paper shipments are up 4% YoY https://t.co/rGPd8dyncF

By Craig Fuller
Domestic Manufacturing Essential to End Global Supply Chain Disadvantage
SocialApr 5, 2026

Domestic Manufacturing Essential to End Global Supply Chain Disadvantage

Unfortunately, this is true. And the whole reason we must bring manufacturing back from China. We are at a massive disadvantage as long as our supply chains are global.

By Craig Fuller
US Gas Prices Set to Remain Flat Amid Logistics Limits
SocialApr 5, 2026

US Gas Prices Set to Remain Flat Amid Logistics Limits

This is an amazing primer that explains the natural gas market and why prices are likely to stay flat or fall in the US, despite a global shortage and surging global prices. As Greg states - the limitation is one...

By Craig Fuller
Get Natural Gas Straight From the Permian
SocialApr 5, 2026

Get Natural Gas Straight From the Permian

Want natural gas? Come to the Permian and just take it. No really, I’m serious.

By Craig Fuller
Higher Oil Prices Trigger Gas Flood, Lower Prices
SocialApr 5, 2026

Higher Oil Prices Trigger Gas Flood, Lower Prices

Natural gas is nearly considered exhaust fluid by US oil drillers, but it is the backbone of the American plastics and petrochemicals industry. Oil is used far less than natgas in American chems or plastics. Natgas has an inverse pricing...

By Craig Fuller
Bulk Rail Growth Unlinked to Diesel Prices, Not Mode‑Shift
SocialApr 5, 2026

Bulk Rail Growth Unlinked to Diesel Prices, Not Mode‑Shift

The strength of bulk rail in Q1 has little to do with the high price of diesel. Chemical shipments had their largest month on record in February 2026 before it was broken in March. Grains actually had a bigger month...

By Craig Fuller
6% of Active Truck Drivers Likely to Fail Drug Test
SocialApr 4, 2026

6% of Active Truck Drivers Likely to Fail Drug Test

6% of active truck drivers would fail a drug test according to a study by the Trucking Alliance

By Craig Fuller
FreightWaves Launches Daily Freight News TV Show
SocialApr 4, 2026

FreightWaves Launches Daily Freight News TV Show

FreightWaves is launching a new TV show, FreightWaves Today, that will cover daily stories from trucking, rail, air, barge, and ocean. SportsCenter meets Bloomberg, but for freight https://t.co/ugYCXSUVy2

By Craig Fuller
Cheap US Gas Fuels Plastics Boom, Boosts Manufacturing
SocialApr 4, 2026

Cheap US Gas Fuels Plastics Boom, Boosts Manufacturing

US natural gas prices have dropped by 30% over the past year, even as global natural gas prices have increased substantially in wake of the war in Iran. Why? We have an abundance. 80% of American made plastics and 80-90% of...

By Craig Fuller
US Petrochemical Edge Fueled by 30% Gas Price Drop
SocialApr 4, 2026

US Petrochemical Edge Fueled by 30% Gas Price Drop

America dominates in petrochemicals because of the robust supply of natural gas (where prices have dropped (and continue) by 30% in the past year

By Craig Fuller
U.S. Manufacturing Renaissance Fuels Record Freight Volumes
SocialApr 4, 2026

U.S. Manufacturing Renaissance Fuels Record Freight Volumes

The American Manufacturing Renaissance is happening. We are now getting confirmation from multiple freight and supply chain datasets that the industrial recovery is real and manufacturing is on course to enjoy one of the best markets in years. The...

By Craig Fuller
BoA Survey Confirms Real Freight Market Recovery
SocialApr 4, 2026

BoA Survey Confirms Real Freight Market Recovery

BoA’s shipper survey is one of the most reliable datasets to monitor the health of the freight market. In March 2022, it signaled the collapse in the freight market, alongside SONAR’s data. At the time, there was massive skeptism about the...

By Craig Fuller
ATA Records Highest Tonnage in Three Years Amid Contract Surge
SocialApr 4, 2026

ATA Records Highest Tonnage in Three Years Amid Contract Surge

ATA, which survey's their members on tonnage data, reported the highest level in three years. We discussed the spot market carriers and how strong their markets are; the ATA members tend to operate in the contract market, which is seeing...

By Craig Fuller
US Freight Rail Hits Best Start Since 2019
SocialApr 4, 2026

US Freight Rail Hits Best Start Since 2019

American Assn of Railroads April report was very strong, showing signs of industrial recovery: "US freight rail traffic posted some of its strongest readings in years, offering one of the clearest signals yet that the goods economy is regaining...

By Craig Fuller
Flatbed Spot Rates Outpace Diesel Costs Since March
SocialApr 4, 2026

Flatbed Spot Rates Outpace Diesel Costs Since March

Duke is wrong. Spot rates have shot up way past the cost of diesel. Flatbed spot rates are up $.73/mile since March 1st. Diesel costs are up $.25/mile since March 1st. Flatbed carriers are +$.48/mile since March 1st. https://t.co/3sbGlP4BmJ

By Craig Fuller
Europe's War Reluctance Grows Amid China Economic Ties
SocialApr 3, 2026

Europe's War Reluctance Grows Amid China Economic Ties

If Europe wouldn't assist in a war with a regime that every leader has condemned that has been left nearly powerless, there is little chance they would support a war against China where strong economic and supply chain dependancies exist

By Craig Fuller
Freight Leads, Payrolls Follow: Industrial Recovery Confirmed
SocialApr 3, 2026

Freight Leads, Payrolls Follow: Industrial Recovery Confirmed

Freight signals move first with payrolls to follow, confirming that the industrial recovery is real The freight charts are showing COVID like strength, all thanks to manufacturing

By Craig Fuller
Truckers Leverage Pricing Power, Spot Rates Outpace Fuel Costs
SocialApr 3, 2026

Truckers Leverage Pricing Power, Spot Rates Outpace Fuel Costs

Lots of questions about whether the surge in diesel is the reason trucking spot rates are also surging. First off, truckers are able to pass off the increased cost of fuel because they have pricing power. This is caused by...

By Craig Fuller
Wars Boost US Freight Demand and Economy
SocialApr 3, 2026

Wars Boost US Freight Demand and Economy

Unpopular opinion. Wars are good for the American economy. Freight demand across all modes is ripping and firming up in recent weeks. https://t.co/RUvpTXWcFl

By Craig Fuller
Rail Carloads Jump 4.2% Amid Broad Freight Surge
SocialApr 3, 2026

Rail Carloads Jump 4.2% Amid Broad Freight Surge

Freight volume surge is not just a trucking story. Industrials are ripping across traffic modes Rail carload traffic +4.2% YoY The recent traffic strength has caught rail execs off guard which expected a down to flat year. https://t.co/a6UpG8CwWp

By Craig Fuller
Manufacturing Demand Drives Flatbed Rates to Record High
SocialApr 3, 2026

Manufacturing Demand Drives Flatbed Rates to Record High

Flatbeds surge to all time high of $3.95/mile as industrials rip. I would have never guessed this possible with a weak housing construction market, but here we are. Manufacturing pulling the freight market up. https://t.co/1ErbIQE0QL

By Craig Fuller
Ignore Noise, See Strong Economy and Industrial Recovery
SocialApr 3, 2026

Ignore Noise, See Strong Economy and Industrial Recovery

Ignore the noise and focus on the signal. Our economy is doing well and industrials are recovering.

By Craig Fuller
Retail Diesel up Slightly While Wholesale Prices Decline
SocialApr 3, 2026

Retail Diesel up Slightly While Wholesale Prices Decline

Despite the surge in oil prices on Thursday, retail diesel only went up $.06/gallon overnight to $5.48/gallon. This will cost truckers $.01/mile more for fuel. Interestingly, the rack price (wholesale price for diesel) has actually dropped over the past ten...

By Craig Fuller
SONAR Maps Now Feature Quick Top‑Pick Datasets
SocialApr 3, 2026

SONAR Maps Now Feature Quick Top‑Pick Datasets

New enhancements to the SONAR maps. Rather than digging through the thousands of datasets, we have added these as quick "top picks." https://t.co/iFOfqpZLDM

By Craig Fuller
Supply Chains Shift to Redundant, Costlier Model
SocialApr 3, 2026

Supply Chains Shift to Redundant, Costlier Model

"Supply chains will have to pivot from "just-in-time" efficiency back to "just-in-case" redundancy. Inflation returns as safety costs money. Trade routes diversify away from vulnerable chokepoints. The global friction tax becomes permanent."

By Craig Fuller
FMCSA Official to Reveal New Freight Fraud Crackdown
SocialApr 2, 2026

FMCSA Official to Reveal New Freight Fraud Crackdown

The speaker roster for the Freight Fraud event in Cleveland just got even better. We will have a senior official from the FMCSA to speak about the efforts that the regulators are making to stop freight fraud and cargo crime....

By Craig Fuller
Legal Language Mandates Shutdown Load, but Never Enforced
SocialApr 2, 2026

Legal Language Mandates Shutdown Load, but Never Enforced

The confirmation sheet says plant shutdown load and mentions contingent liability, but the shipper said they’d never enforce that language. It’s just required by legal.

By Craig Fuller
Fuel Discount Programs Offer Historic Rack‑to‑Retail Savings
SocialApr 2, 2026

Fuel Discount Programs Offer Historic Rack‑to‑Retail Savings

If you are a motor carrier and aren't buying fuel on a discount program, get one today. Rack to retail discount near historical highs. https://t.co/dPpwT6v2cE

By Craig Fuller
Corporate Control Stifles Profitable Editorial Top‑of‑funnel
SocialApr 2, 2026

Corporate Control Stifles Profitable Editorial Top‑of‑funnel

Been saying this for years, but it rarely works out. It is a very profitable way to generate top of funnel for a non-media business, but corporates struggle to let editorial teams maintain their autonomy. Hopefully it works, but often...

By Craig Fuller
Retail Diesel Rises, but Less Sharply than WTI
SocialApr 2, 2026

Retail Diesel Rises, but Less Sharply than WTI

WTI is important for diesel pricing, but retail diesel is set on on ULSD heating oil contract traded n NYMEX, which already saw these levels over last 10 days. Retail diesel will move up in price, but nearly as dramatic...

By Craig Fuller
Enforced $50K Penalty Could Deter Hiring Revoked CDLs
SocialApr 2, 2026

Enforced $50K Penalty Could Deter Hiring Revoked CDLs

The $50k employer penalty for hiring revoked CDLs is a big deterrent, assuming it gets enforced https://t.co/z0Mw4dFKAt

By Craig Fuller
Overbidding to Lose Business Can Unexpectedly Boost Volumes
SocialApr 2, 2026

Overbidding to Lose Business Can Unexpectedly Boost Volumes

Hearing that RFP season is chaotic for shippers. A mega fleet CEO told me that they wanted to get rid of a block of business that didn’t fit their network, so they bid 30% higher than the market rate, expecting...

By Craig Fuller
SONAR Thrives with Deep Logistics Analytics Amid Market Squeeze
SocialApr 2, 2026

SONAR Thrives with Deep Logistics Analytics Amid Market Squeeze

In markets like this one, companies understand the value of high frequency market analysis, backed by the deepest team of market experts in logistics. Alternative data platforms are failing clients in a tightening market. This is why SONAR just had...

By Craig Fuller