Weekly Safety Checklist Review for New Buyers
a weekly glance at our "Is It Safe for New Buying?" checklist... $TSX $QQQ $SPX $IWM https://t.co/DvO5LGSfDQ
Microsoft Nears Seasonal Low, Historically Bounces Strongly
Microsoft $MSFT is nearly retesting the Liberation Day lows and -35.4% below '25 highs... @seasonax seasonally, it tends to bottom in March and through August has a great 8/9 batting average with average gain +25.2% vs. the one loss at -4.5%......
Trump Boosts Clean Energy, Prompting Dip Buying
Trump tends to be good for clean energy $PBW stocks and we have our first "pullback against" the new rally here vs. dirty $XOP oil & gas energy stocks... who's buying the (relative) dip? https://t.co/inQkFxBlBE
Weekly US Cap Charts Show No Immediate Threat
left: U.S. micro-caps $IWC middle: U.S. small-caps $IWM right: U.S. mid-caps $MDY three weekly charts... don't know about you, but i don't see anything looking particularly ominous (yet) about the pictures... https://t.co/vbKj3xs8HY
Beta Rotation Signals Utilities Weakening vs S&P
we've got a #betarotation signal for equities that fired as the 4-week rate of change for utilities $XLU vs. $SPX has fallen significantly after it's rally... https://t.co/RslsxolzBm
MAGS7 in Persistent Downtrend, Lagging S&P 500
the big bad #MAGS7 $MAGS... nothing new to see... top: absolute downtrend with lower highs and lower lows... bottom: S&P 500 $SPX relative downtrend... https://t.co/T69qYIfvlh
Mid/Small Advance-Decl
advance decline lines in three flavours... shhh... don't tell everyone but the mid/small lines stopped going down... https://t.co/hvgFzmM45J
Consumer Staples Still Lagging After 16-Year Peak
many told me they were excited with consumer staples stocks while i reminded them it was an $XLP vs. $SPX bounce in a downtrend, as they've underperformed since the peak 16 years ago... it looks like that now, as they've...
Tech ETFs Show Strong 3‑Month Gains vs Peers
here's a bunch of the key technology $XLK ETFs in @Optuma ratio grid style, allowing for an easy comparison of the % returns vs. the others... #SectorWatch left: 3-month % change right: 1-month % change... $PTF $PSCT $SMH $CHAT doing the 3-month relative...
Canadian Banks Rise, US Banks Fall versus TSX Benchmark
4 financials... two Canadian, two American... all vs. the stronger denominator $TSX $EWC market... $CM + $TD - absolute & relative uptrends $BAC + $JPM - absolute & relative downtrends https://t.co/GewGS1r3RL
US Stocks Lag Behind Canadian Equivalents, Raising Opportunity Cost
it's clear... U.S. stocks whether equal-weighted $RSP or market-cap $SPX weighted are trending down vs. Canadian stocks $EWC making an oppoortunity cost for U.S. investors... https://t.co/MKHgNCqmYQ
Commodities Outpace S&P, Hinting Lower Stock High
did the rally of stocks $SPX vs. commodities since the '22 bottom roll over making a bigger picture lower high in favour of commodities? hmmm.... 👀 https://t.co/06LFvU59Fx
Commodities Lead Market: Absolute and Dual Relative Uptrends
commodities $DJP vs. U.S $SPX & Canadian $EWC stocks... absolute uptrend + relative uptrends (x2) https://t.co/otOoKew2k3
Fed Cuts Fail to Curb
the @federalreserve has cut interest rates six times since Sep '244 and U.S. 10-year yields $TNX have risen from 3.7% to 4.4% since that cutting program began... https://t.co/EQHFpoQsIC
20‑Day EMA Highlights Defensive Decline, Offensive Rise
i like watching the sector $SPX relatives using a short-term 20-day EMA... to see inflection points, we want to see the defensive stuff turn down, and offensive stuff turn up... #SectorWatch https://t.co/wK9aSrUKoN
DC ATR Model Justifies SPX Vertical Line
it's a weekly model, and it wouldn't take much to turn it back at this stage, BUT, i acknowledge my DC ATR model for the S&P 500 $SPX deserves a vertical line... https://t.co/Xavd5QMtFy
Semiconductors Keep Outperforming S&P Over Long Term
despite all the folks always jumping around screaming about tech stock performance, or underperformance, one thing remains clear... the semiconductors $SMH have shown a long period of $SPX outperformance and a relative uptrend... https://t.co/Ox35eNzmWs
S&P 500 Re‑tests Oct 10 Low Amid Pullback
left: S&P 500 $SPX pulled back and in the neighbourhood of the lows from the Oct 10th "biggest bar against" right: S&P/TSX $TSX https://t.co/kzsEuflLan
Gold Crushes Stocks Over Every Decade Span
imagine being an investor that is so stubborn to be unwilling to invest in an asset (gold) that has outperformed stocks on a 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 10 and 20-year time frame... $PHYS $GLD $SPX $TSX not just outperformed... crushed......
Treasury Declares U.S. Insolvent; Media Turns Blind Eye
the writing has been on the wall... but still most will continue to scoff it off and kick the can down the road, as the politicians similarly do... The Treasury just declared the U.S. insolvent. The media missed it https://t.co/6xs6EPNFXr
Weekly S&P 500 Sector Strength Rankings Revealed
a weekly glance at short, intermediate and long-term S&P 500 $SPX relative trends of the key North American sectors and indices... (sorted by strength itself)... #SectorWatch https://t.co/UyBRPkmYj2
Gold Bullion Returns to 200-Day MA After 2.5 Years
gold bullion just pulled back to the 200-day moving average, which is the first pullback to the 200-day in 2.5 years... https://t.co/dwiNknUEwy
Financially In Sync Checklist Revealed: Rarely Fully Ticked Low
a number of you asked to see how our #FinanciallyINsync bottom checklist actually looks. this is for context and #marketpulse, not a black/white buy program. i wouldn't expect to ever see this whole checklist ticked at a low......
Rates Aren’t High—History Shows They’ve Just Risen
and when you find yourself thinking that rates/yields are high, just remember, they're not... they rose for 40 years... they fell for 38 years... they bottomed (big time), almost 6 years ago... https://t.co/6tRJ9pYxtQ
Rising Yields Don't Spell Trouble for the S&P
when they tell you that rising yields $TNX are bad for stocks $SPX, just tell'em they're wrong... https://t.co/xFoneNHg9i
S&P Dips, VIX Stays Flat Despite Market Drop
last week, as the S&P 500 $SPX made lower (ugly) lows, the volatility $VIX index did not... https://t.co/Vmdmxc3JXz
Metals Surge, Stocks Modest; Bonds Fall
1-year % change: silver +105% gold +50.3% oil +44% S&P 500 $SPX +14.9% bonds $AGG -0.2% long bonds $TLT -5.9%
Consider Exiting Real Estate Amid Systemic Trust Risks
it's an awful spot to be and many are sitting in it due to naive trust in the system, the banks and the government and @bankofcanada It could be the right time to walk away from your real estate | Financial...
Global Yield Spike Persists After Consolidation, No Single Cause
yields - what a week(!) as they appear to be resolving higher after consolidating... it's a global phenomenon... not a U.S. thing, or a Canada thing, or a Europe thing... $TNX $TYX 😜 please don't blame Trump, or the Iran war, or...
Gold Bullion Faces Potential Peak, Bearish Engulfing Forms
did gold bullion peak? monthly bearish engulfing (in progress) & "biggest bar against" in motion #chartcrime... https://t.co/KU8aiYgVE8
Canada 5‑Year Yields Surge, Hinting at Rate Hikes
Canada 5-year year yields... looking poised to move higher as they break to 14+ month highs... rate hikes on the horizon to battle inflationary pressures? https://t.co/3jtEuhVfkZ
Oversold Markets May Signal an Emerging Bottom
the selling has slowed, the markets are oversold, sentiment has turned quite bearish, fear is running high... let's watch for opening selling to turn into buying as a bottom forms... notice i said "a bottom", not "the bottom", the latter of...
Canada 5‑Year Yield Surges to 14‑Month High
it's 6am. i'm drinking black coffee. a @tradingview alert just buzzed in my pocket and appeared on my screen to tell me the Canada 5-year yield just broke out to 14-month highs > ~3.1%... 🧐 cool. https://t.co/IHj3aa1dV0
Large‑Cap Market Split: 40 New Highs, 37 New Lows
there are 40 large-cap stocks hitting the 52-week new highs list today... there are 37 large-cap stocks hitting the 52-week new lows list... #FinanciallyINsync #HighLowShow #marketUpdate #investing
Canadian Solar Nears Breakout After 28% Decline
Canadian Solar $CSIQ shareholders quietly singing to themselves, "the sun will come out... tomorrow??"... the stock is -27.9% and trading right back to the Oct 1/25 breakout bar... https://t.co/SKgnzJIXax
Energy Stocks Overbought After Mid‑January Surge
energy stocks seem a tad (short-term) stretched and pretty cleary overbought... since they took off (no, not when Iran was attacked) but instaed in mid-January as they broke out, they've had little in the way of pullback... $XEG $XLE
Emerging Markets Hold Up, S&P Bounces After Pullback
emerging markets $EEM vs. S&P 500 $SPX still looks legit and bounced after the first "pullback against"... let's keep an eye... https://t.co/2tOH6LJWWS
Copper Stocks Tumble as Supply Outpaces Demand
i can hear the copper stock investors from here... "but, but, but, there is a shortfall of copper" why are the stocks falling? $COPX $FCX $SCCO answer: more supply than demand... they rallied hard, many were surely late, and now...
Market Breadth Oversold, Bullish Divergence Emerging
still sitting #marketbreadth oversold on the % of stocks in S&P 1500 > 10-day EMA... currently ~20.9% with a slight bullish divergence in development... https://t.co/lAQ6MQiufR
Commodity Prices, Not War, Driving Canada’s Inflation Surge
the Canadian government is gaslighting Canadians again to buy into the inflation is rising because of the U.S./Israel vs. Iran war... not true. tell them commodity prices were rising, in an uptrend, and (rising) more strongly than $TSX stocks, before the...
DXY: The Most Boring Chart Gets Endless Commentary
the $DXY still gets my vote as the most boring of charts, ironically receiving much commentary and opinion over the years... 🥱🥱🥱 https://t.co/vcUAoh6aPi
Combine Relative and Absolute Strength for Superior Stock Picks
owning stocks with strong relative strength is great, but it's far greater if they also have strong absolute strength...
BTC Hits 6‑Hour RSI Oversold Amid Uptrend
Bitcoin #BTC $BTCUSD is RSI(5) oversold on the 6-hour chart, in an uptrend, for the first time since the mid $60K's... sitting ~$70,400... https://t.co/froI9P5R8I
70 US Large‑Cap Stocks Up 30%+ YTD—Own Any?
attention all you who are decidedly negative and pessimistic... there are 70 large-cap U.S. stocks that are up more than +30% YTD... how many do you own? study the charts, learn to understand how to spot demand and supply inflection......
Bank of Canada Cuts Rates, yet Yields Rise
tonight at your cocktail 🍸 party when someone says that interest rates are coming down and the central bank has you covered, tell them the @bankofcanada has dropped rates 7 times since Sep/24 and 5 & 10 yields are higher...
Sector Returns Shift Since U.S./Israel‑Iran Conflict
here are the sector returns that i showed in the #WhereDoWeStand webinar today, with the % change from the start of the U.S./Israel vs. Iran attacks... https://t.co/1Ym7meMAVf
Crude, VIX, Bitcoin Surge After US‑Israel Iran Attack
big picture % change since U.S. & Israel attacked Iran... crude + $VIX & Bitcoin up the most... https://t.co/lK9FCWy5TY
US Long Bonds Have Halved Since 2020 Peak
U.S. long bonds $TLT are -51.7% over the last 6-years since peaking in 2020... https://t.co/5aCcOZfJZT
Lennar Shares Plunge over 50%, Hitting Multi-Year Lows
Lennar $LEN - reporting today... currently more than -50% from highs... and a contestant on the 52-week new lows list (and multi-year new lows list)... https://t.co/gPTOqr0qj4
Dollar, VIX, and Yields Surge Past 20‑Day EMA
U.S. dollar $DXY, volatility $VIX and yields $TNX all rising in tandem > 20-day EMA... https://t.co/Dv49pGJIRC
