Yardeni Predicts Rally Will Persist Into Next Year
Ed Yardeni tells CNBC the market rally has legs and will continue into next year. He's optimistic on equities despite recent volatility. https://t.co/tknBHpCZ0W
Bond Yields Rise, Yet Manufacturing Gains Momentum
Bond yields are rising on inflation fears while factory orders just posted their strongest gain in months and manufacturing keeps expanding. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/ra2hKn68G2
Jobless Claims Hit 1969 Low, Labor Market Still Strong
Yardeni Research Chart of the Day (April 30, 2026) Initial jobless claims just hit their lowest level since 1969. Layoffs remain remarkably subdued, and continuing claims are falling too. How long can the labor market hold at these historic lows? https://t.co/YFVWuC2kFi
U.S. Crude Exports Poised to Fill Gulf Blockade Gap
Yardeni Research Chart of the Day (April 30, 2026) US crude exports may be stepping up to fill the supply void left by Arabian Gulf blockades. Can American producers realistically bridge that gap? https://t.co/QiqCnvCaRc
High‑Tech Capital Spending Hits Record 55% of Non‑Residential Outlays
Yardeni Research Chart of the Day (April 30, 2026) High tech now accounts for 55% of all nonresidential capital spending — a record high as of Q1-2026. Businesses are betting heavily on digital over physical. Is this shift structural or still...
Spending Rises Despite Flat Real Disposable Income
The economy is growing while real disposable income has been flat for a year. Consumer spending keeps rising anyway. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/6amEjlu5DD
Fed Split as Oil Spikes and Yields Rise
Oil at $110, blockade tightening, inflation expectations rising. Bond yields climbing. Yet the Fed just split down the middle on whether to cut or hold rates. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/yK33qZsRVh
Powell Resists Cuts, Successor Pushes Immediate Rate Reductions
Powell's last press conference will argue against rate cuts while his incoming replacement has been calling for them as soon as possible. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/7rXX9awR0b
Semiconductors Claim Record Share of S&P 500 IT
Yardeni Research Chart of the Day (April 28, 2026) The S&P 500 Semiconductors industry now accounts for a record 41.9% and 47.1% of the S&P 500 Information Technology sector's market capitalization and forward earnings. Do you think this is sustainable? https://t.co/mmJzuPj5Sb
Tech‑Driven Earnings Resilience Fuels Global Market Boom
Yardeni Research Chart of the Day (April 28, 2026) Is the global stock market boom partly attributable to the resilience of earnings as technological innovations boost profit margins worldwide? https://t.co/I7VhP9xXJi
Bank Loans Surge 7.1% YoY, Easing Private Credit Risks
Yardeni Research Chart of the Day (April 26, 2026) Bank loans and leases are growing 7.1% y/y, the fastest pace in ~3 years. Traditional lenders are picking up the slack, which is why private credit stress is unlikely to spill into...
Powell in Spotlight Amid Central Bank, Tech, Data Frenzy
The busiest week of the year: Five major central banks meet, five mega-cap tech earnings, plus GDP and inflation data. All eyes on Powell Wednesday. 🟢 Open https://t.co/cLDEx6IMRe
Semis Discounted, Software at Decade‑Low Valuations Despite Strong Fundamentals
The semiconductor industry is trading at a discount to the S&P 500 despite 86% earnings growth forecasts. Software companies hit their lowest valuations in a decade with record fundamentals. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/td0KtWtXzd
Productivity Boom Raises Neutral Rate, Undermining Rate Cuts
Kevin Warsh wants lower rates soon. His reasoning is fundamentally flawed. The productivity boom raises the neutral rate, not lowers it, leaving no room for aggressive cuts. 🟢 Open https://t.co/V7JMWWBgcg
Oil Holds $100; Stocks Rise Despite Hormuz Shutdown
Oil is stuck at $100 even though the Strait of Hormuz has been effectively shut since late February. Stocks are rallying anyway. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/huz3ZbwJ6f
Fed Chair Sees Rate Cuts, Markets Delay Until 2027
The new Fed Chair thinks productivity gains mean rates should fall. Markets aren't pricing in a single cut until late 2027. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/1jwtVXGFZX
Yardeni Predicts S&P Rebound, Summer Consolidation Ahead
YARDENI RESEARCH IN BLOOMBERG (April 22, 2026) Ed Yardeni became convinced that US stocks were primed for a rebound after the S&P 500 Index had tumbled more than 9% from its record high. Yardeni said the selloff had the feeling of...
Ceasefire Optimism Drops Energy Stocks, yet Oil Prices Stay Elevated
Energy stocks sold off on ceasefire optimism, but oil infrastructure damage suggests prices won't return to pre-war levels even after peace. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/DPbKdFmVMI
Nasdaq's Fastest 40‑year Swing Fuels 12% S&P Rally
The Nasdaq just posted its fastest oversold-to-overbought swing in 40 years while oil spikes $5 on Middle East tensions. The S&P 500 is up 12% in three weeks. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/Y24djSuQYp
Industrials Now Outpace S&P 500 with 4.6‑point Premium
Industrials now trade at a 4.6-point premium to the S&P 500. Historically, they've traded in line or below the broader market. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/hOtouHjlPA
Markets Await Warsh Hearing, Data, Hormuz Wild Card
This week brings Warsh's confirmation hearing, retail sales, flash PMIs, and consumer sentiment. Meanwhile, the Strait of Hormuz remains the wild card for markets. 🟢 Open https://t.co/mLRfGzP6hG
Yardeni Cites Three Reasons Fueling Equity Optimism
Ed Yardeni lays out three reasons for optimism on equities and explains what's bringing back enthusiasm for the tech sector. https://t.co/0YEftxPkN4
Record Earnings and Baby Boomers Sustain Spending Despite Negative Savings
Record earnings and resilient consumers keep the economy humming. Even a negative saving rate won't derail spending thanks to Baby Boomers, while rent inflation finally cools. 🟢 Open https://t.co/XJbCE5qL7q
US Assets Attract Foreign Capital Despite Geopolitical Tensions
Markets at all-time highs while investors brace for Middle East escalation. Foreign capital keeps flooding into US assets despite the geopolitical noise. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/6dtFQpMPMO
Consumer Sentiment Plummets Even as Retail Sales Surge
Consumer sentiment just hit a record low while retail sales are running the hottest they've been in over two years. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/gH4ALHEYBO
S&P 500 Rebounds Above Pre‑war Levels; Targets Unchanged
The S&P 500 is already back above where it was before the war started. Wall Street strategists never even changed their year-end targets. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/hCPHyKZhRV
Analysts Forecast S&P Earnings Double 30‑Year Average
Wall Street analysts are projecting S&P 500 earnings growth at double the 30-year average. They're more bullish than the bulls. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/F5lhKKAzl8
Geopolitical Tensions Offer Buying Opportunities, Says Yardeni
Ed Yardeni tells CNBC that geopolitical events are buying opportunities, even as Trump announces plans to blockade the Strait of Hormuz. https://t.co/L0aaO4wMJK
Hormuz Blockade Fuels Energy Surge Ahead of Fed Data
Middle East tensions are pushing energy prices higher as the Strait of Hormuz blockade hits markets. All eyes on inflation data and Fed speakers this week. 🟢 Open https://t.co/cLaM5AJanN
Financials Lag Despite Record Earnings and Top Margins
Financials are the worst-performing sector this year despite forward earnings at record highs and profit margins second-highest in the S&P 500. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/VkoCJ4Zo5n
Stocks Rise on War De‑escalation Hopes Amid Rising Inflation
Stocks are rallying on the bet the war will cool off. But inflation was already heating up before the conflict started, and now there's an energy shock on top of tariffs. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/68iJ07VMQU
S&P 500 Barely Dips 2.8% Amid Oil‑spiking War
The S&P 500 is down just 2.8% from its record high despite a war that shut the Strait of Hormuz and sent oil near $100. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/ypIHPpMbG0
Winter Drag Fades, Q2 GDP Rebound Likely
Yardeni Research Chart of the Day (April 8, 2026) Harsh winter weather dragged on growth from December through February. With that headwind fading, a solid Q2 GDP rebound looks increasingly likely. How much of a bounce are you expecting? https://t.co/abrVYc0cb0
Rising PMI Prices‑Paid Index Signals Potential CPI Surge
Yardeni Research Chart of the Day (April 6, 2026) PMI prices-paid indexes are flashing a warning: CPI inflation may be headed higher in the coming months. Is this rebound transitory or the start of something more persistent? https://t.co/7FFNkHNo0W
Tech’s Valuation Gap Narrows, Bubble Narrative Fades
Yardeni Research Chart of the Day (April 6, 2026) In the late 1990s, Tech's market-cap share towered 15 percentage points above its earnings share. Today that spread is 1.5 points. Earnings have done the catching up. Is the bubble comparison finally...
Manufacturing Expands Despite Oil Surge and Negative Sentiment
Oil prices spiking from geopolitical chaos, yet manufacturing PMI just hit its highest level since 2022. Firms are expanding even as 64% of their comments turn negative. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/y8VyQR2euZ
S&P 500 Historically Surges 30‑44% After Wars
Yardeni Research Chart of the Day (April 6, 2026) History is on the side of the bulls. The S&P 500 rose 31%-44% in the two years after four of six major US military conflicts since WWII. Does history rhyme here? https://t.co/L002x8ENP4
S&P 500 Valuation Drops as Earnings Surge, Recession Fears Unfounded
The S&P 500's valuation multiple fell 18% while forward earnings climbed to a record high. The market priced in recession fears that analysts never shared. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/nsxnGQf0yN
CPI to Gauge Oil Shock; Fed Minutes Hint Iran Stance
March CPI on Friday will show how the oil spike hit consumer prices. Meanwhile, Fed Minutes offer a window into policymakers' early thinking on the Iran conflict. 🟢 Open https://t.co/51FrxswWr9
Bond Vigilantes Reprice Yields as Oil Shocks Drive Inflation Outlook
Bond Vigilantes are repricing yield curves worldwide as oil shocks reshape inflation expectations. Global spreads reveal where markets see the biggest shifts ahead. 🟢 Open https://t.co/ntInn7MIg4
Jobless Claims Hint March Unemployment May Dip
Yardeni Research Chart of the Day (April 2, 2026) Jobless claims data rarely lies. The 4-week moving average suggests March may bring a lower unemployment rate than February's 4.4%. Is the labor market more resilient than the headlines suggest? https://t.co/Q9AwUK9yDy
Buy Signal Returns as S&P 500 Drops 9%
The S&P 500 just pulled back 9.1% from its record high. Sentiment indicators are flashing the same buy signal that nailed the bottom last April. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/GcAng779YL
Yardeni Confirms Market Bottom Amid Thursday Volatility
Ed Yardeni tells CNBC the market bottom is in. He's sticking to his thesis despite Thursday's volatility. https://t.co/rnvPZiNW7A
War‑End News Sparks S&P Rally, Oil Surge
The S&P 500 just rallied on news the war will end soon. Oil jumped $4 and stock futures fell 0.8%. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/6xmtarJB5C
Earnings Outlook Rises Even as Markets Plunge Amid War
The S&P 500 just pulled back 9% and the Nasdaq fell 13% during a Middle East war. Corporate earnings expectations kept rising the entire time. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/gBCdVSxqZS
S&P 500 Forward P/E Drops 16% as Earnings Rise
Stock valuations are compressing sharply even as earnings estimates keep rising. The S&P 500 forward P/E has fallen 16% while the index itself is down just 8.7%. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/QZg0BjpnPg
Oil Hits $99 Amid Tensions; Economy’s Resilience Tested
Oil spiked above $99 as Middle East tensions escalate. This week's jobs and confidence data will show if the economy can handle the shock or if cracks are starting to emerge. 🟢 Open https://t.co/muP4Yrt2q1
Yardeni: Iran War Could Trap Fed in Stagflation Bind
Ed Yardeni warns the Fed could face a policy bind if the Iran war triggers stagflation, caught between its dual mandate. https://t.co/AEdPXCYmJy
Iran War Scenarios Shape New Fed Policy Outlook
Three scenarios for the Iran war and what they mean for Fed policy under new leadership. Plus eight key takeaways from the latest FOMC meeting. 🟢 Open https://t.co/Tx6udRxjvm
Yardeni Predicts Fed Will Hold Rates Steady All Year
Ed Yardeni tells CNBC he expects "none and done" from the Fed this year—no rate hikes ahead. https://t.co/Ml4LwB5aky